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HappyDays

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Everything posted by HappyDays

  1. Garrett Wilson DJ Moore Michael Pittman Davante Adams Ja'Marr Chase (for most of last year) What is the point of this question anyways? You know not a single WR on our team is a "stud" WR, right?
  2. Allen - No brainer extension, if not next offseason then the one after. Cook - Let go. Never give RBs 2nd contracts. Brown - I know this will be unpopular but I would let him go. I think Brown is in line for a massive contract on the open market. We're in an environment where Jawaan Taylor got $20M AAV and Mike McGlinchey got $17.5M AAV. Personally I would not pay that much for a RT. I would accept the 3rd round comp pick and use the money on a high end WR instead. Rousseau - Let it play out, take advantage of two years of cost controlled salary. I need to see him stay healthy for an entire season and get double digit sacks. If his best trait is always going to be run stopping I don't think that's worth a 2nd contract. Knox - I would let him go but we seemingly got him to restructure his contract by setting it up in a way that makes it extremely difficult to cut him next offseason. Maybe some team throws us a 5th rounder to take him off our hands. Otherwise we are stuck with him until the 2026 offseason. Shakir - This is an easy let it play out. We need to see how he does in a higher volume role this year before we even begin to have this discussion.
  3. I think this is two unrelated statements. We needed a pro-ready outside WR, agreed. That doesn't mean you throw out the draft process though. Early draft picks are about picking premium positions with high ceilings. If you start drafting based on who's more ready on day one you've already lost. That's how you end up with Sam Darnold instead of Josh Allen. That being said I also worry about Coleman being ready to be the starting X from day one which is unfortunately somewhat of a necessity because of how little we invested at the position. The fans will judge him too harshly I fear and that will be Beane's fault, not Coleman's.
  4. For anyone that cares about Reception Perception: So that was my takeaway from the season too. He did a lot of the little things better than ever in his career. As far as just playing the position normally I thought it was his most consistent season, which shows up across the board in any analytics measurement that accounts for context. But I also think he had some of the lowest lows of his career since 2019 which sticks out in people's minds and makes them forget how he looked on a play to play basis.
  5. Yeah this is what gets missed in the discussion. Can't just look at additions without looking at losses. I would say the Bills did the absolute bare minimum at adding to the offense this year. On the OL they made zero substantial investments after cutting Morse so it is actually a net loss there. At WR they just did a straight 1:1 replacement for every player they lost. So no the Bills have not suddenly changed their philosophy. They are choosing to add just enough on offense to field a competent roster, but they are not really actively building around their best asset (Allen, obviously). Plugging holes is not the same as genuine investment.
  6. Kelce is arguably the greatest pass catching TE of all time. I love Kincaid but that is quite the lofty expectation to make up for a below average WR corps. If I thought our defense was suddenly going to become elite in the playoffs I would feel better about the pass catchers. As it stands though I think we will need our offense to be the best offense in football to make up for the defense, and I'm sorry but I just don't see that. I think it would be a pleasant surprise if we have even the 5th ranked offense this year. Several best case scenarios have to come true to end up ranking even at that level, let alone higher.
  7. Zero Super Bowl winners or losers have not had a clear top tier pass catcher in the last 6 Super Bowls at least. I don't know why this statement keeps getting repeated? It flat out isn't true.
  8. The other way of phrasing this is that having a #1 WR is worse than not having a #1 WR, and that statement is obviously false. Yes you want to spread the ball around, but having a true go-to pass catcher that defenses have to think about and give extra attention to is obviously a massive benefit that we aren't likely to have this year. There have been multiple games over the last four years where force feeding the ball to Diggs was in fact the solution to getting the offense out of a rut, so in those cases the defenses knowing where the ball was going was actually better than spreading the ball around. This isn't Madden where Allen can scan the entire field at once and throw to the "most open" target. He will have to go through his progressions, and his targets along that progression will have to get open in order for the play to be successful, like any other offense. We can only "spread the ball around" if skill players are winning their matchups. In general though I don't know how to answer whether or not the pass catchers got "better" than last year because last year is split into two - before Diggs fell off a cliff and after. Like if the question is, will the Bills pass catchers be better than the group we had on the field against KC at the very end, that is a very different question from will the Bills pass catchers be better than what we had on the field from week 1 to week 6. I think the better more consistent question is "will the Bills pass catchers be championship caliber?" and on that I have very serious doubts.
  9. Samuel is going to be Isaiah McKenzie/Deonte Harty in the offense, just a much much much better version of them. Beane this offseason has called Samuel a "weapon" and "not a traditional WR." They've been trying for years to plug that role with cheap talent and it just hasn't worked, so Beane finally relented and shelled out mid-tier money to get the role locked down with a real talent. Hamler and Isabella are probably competing for a PS spot to be Samuel's de facto backup.
  10. Davis got a joke of a contract that the Jags are going to quickly regret, much like another bumbling former Bills WR they overpaid in Zay Jones. You know contracts aren't how we judge the quality of players, unless you also think Albert Haynesworth is a Hall of Famer. And get out of here with "nearly double." $24M is not "nearly double" $15M. I don't know if I can say Samuel is a definitive improvement over Davis because they couldn't be more different as players and it's hard to compare such disparate roles in the offense, but Samuel will absolutely be more efficient and less mistake prone. Samuel had more yards per route run than Davis last year despite a substantially worse QB situation. My biggest concern with him is health.
  11. I don't know what you mean by prominent. There are a lot of groups and clubs that prominently advertise themselves in public schools. I really think it is just confirmation bias on your part. You think LGBT stuff is getting pushed in your face, therefore every time you see it it's another example. You have the cause/effect backwards. The things in American culture that are truly pushed in your face are so aggressive and constant that they have become the background noise of your life. Somewhat of a tangent here - If you want to know why subjects like LGBT, guns, abortion, etc. seem to be prevalent in the media, it's because the algorithms that now run every major media outlet in this country have quickly discovered that they're an easy way to get clicks. I'm well aware that hot button issues have become a commodity in the modern American culture, but you can actively choose not to engage with it if you want to. The more you engage, the more content you'll see. Confirmation bias is a booming business, it's been technologically perfected in fact, and the secret is that negative engagement is even more profitable than positive engagement.
  12. One obvious counter to this is our performance against the Chiefs in the regular season versus our performance against the Chiefs in the playoffs. Each of the three seasons that we have faced them in both, our defense was much much better in the regular season game than the playoff game. Even the regular season game we lost to them in 2020 was not a complete slaughter like the AFCCG game was, and of course we beat them in the regular season in 2021 and 2023. The discrepancy is a bit baffling to be honest. But it shows that the roster has been good enough to beat them. It appears to be just repeated coaching mistakes killing us in the playoffs against them IMO.
  13. Honestly man, you know this is total nonsense. At no point in my life could I ever have been "swayed" to be attracted by the male body. Quite frankly, the thought of sleeping with another man absolutely disgusts me. But I'm also self-aware enough to know that my disgust is not objective, and it doesn't take a huge leap of critical thinking to see how other men could find men attractive. The idea that I could have been "taken in" by homosexuality at any point in my life is laughable. If you think that somebody can be easily swayed to become homosexual, you may have just accidentally revealed something about yourself in fact...
  14. It really isn't though. Fast food commercials are constantly in my face. Beer commercials. Gambling commercials. The gay pride stuff is a tiny tiny percentage of the content that I come across, yet it gets by far some of the highest engagement. If you feel that it is being shoved in your face, I would say you're probably the one shoving it there yourself. The rest of us just keep on scrolling and it doesn't bother me a tick.
  15. As I've said before I'm not looking to perfectly model other Super Bowl winners. I'm looking to build the best team for the Buffalo Bills. For a myriad of reasons that I don't feel like getting into we are not going to copy the Chiefs formula. We've already tried the formula of over investing in the defense and it just isn't working. It's time to try a different direction and do everything possible to set up Josh Allen to steamroll opponents all the way to the Super Bowl.
  16. So I mean really invest in the offense. Over invest if anything, even to the detriment of other areas on the team. In other words I wish he would treat our WR room like he's treated our DL. Multiple 1st and 2nd round picks, a blockbuster free agent signing, plus mid-tier free agency dollars spent every single offseason. I'm a big believer in building on top of your biggest strength. As long as Allen is here our biggest strength will be the passing offense. No way you can say Beane has made that the focus of his tenure here. He has made up some ground over the past two offseasons but it still does not come close to the level of investment I'm talking about. In your analysis you don't account for what the team lost. We lost Diggs, Davis, Harty, and Sherfield this year. In their place we added Coleman, MVS, Samuel, and Hollins. Even if you want to be extremely charitable that is at best a clean swap of like for like. I don't consider that true investment. That is just the bare minimum of what needed to happen to field a competent passing offense.
  17. There are zero circumstances where an offense racks up 8.5 yards per play and it has nothing to do with Xs and Os on defense.
  18. I'm pretty sure we have skipped the final day of minicamp every year McDermott has been here including his first year. I could be wrong though. Anyways I was complimenting him. The team should be looking for any and every advantage they can find to get over the hump. Even a token gesture that says "we haven't been good enough to earn a break" is worth something.
  19. Beane frustrates me because he's an elite executive and seemingly isn't just shooting from the hip. I think he makes every move with a clear plan in mind. But he has just refused to really build around the franchise's greatest asset. That is such an important function of his job that failing to do it almost wipes out all of the good that he's done.
  20. McDermott gets credit for the team hitting a certain floor with an established elite QB. He also gets blame for us hitting a certain ceiling.
  21. Doug Marrone got us to 9-7 too. He just didn't have the playoff luck from the rest of the AFC that McDermott did. Like I said McDermott is a good coach. I also think his ceiling has been established.
  22. Mahomes had a down year in 2021. He was genuinely bad for a stretch in the middle of the season. He put together one elite game against our defense in the divisional round (how about that) before being almost the sole reason they lost the AFCCG to the Bengals. So that next offseason Andy Reid completely revamped the offense and got Mahomes back on track, helping him remove some of the bad habits he'd picked up by totally changing the structure of the offense. Mahomes turned in the best season of his career (IMO) that following year. So yes coaching impacts player performance and that includes the QB. I thought everybody knew that. Of course that doesn't mean every single bad player performance is the coach's fault, but below average streaks from otherwise great players can be turned around by great coaching. But like I said, as a fanbase we've now internalized that McDermott has zero impact on the offense's performance. Zero. That mindset tells on itself. I just don't understand why a certain side of the fanbase is so defensive about firing McDermott when their whole argument is that coaching isn't that important. Do you think he's just a super swell guy and you'd hate to see him go?
  23. Player performance depends on coaching too. I get that as a fanbase we've just accepted that McDermott has exactly zero relevance to Allen's performance, or the offense as a whole for that matter, but in reality he should be held accountable for everything. Comes with the job title.
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