Thanks for the work on this
Don't see any team beating the Jets in the 2017 Tank-a-palooza.
Also, definitely agree with the gist of this argument.
Look at all the QBs recently who have had degrees of success and were not high 1st round picks: Prescott (4), Siemian (7), Bridgewater (1, but pick 32), Carr (2), and Savage (4). That's back through 2014.
While 2013 sucked for QBs overall, look at 2012: Wilson (3), Foles (3), and Cousins (4).
2011: Dalton (2), Kaepernick (2), and Taylor (6).
Point being, if we're not picking top 3, I'd almost rather we wait til round 2-4 and get "our guy." All depends on who is there though.