GoBills808

Thanks for the update

Insecure Chefs fans. It’s a real thing. Word is they were more interested in lighting up the Bears over of the Trubisky/Mahomes thing than anything else.

Bob Marley. Bonus- Bunny Wailer and Peter Tosh Original rudeboys

Steelers

I said in real time that's a catchable ball that Knox needs to make more of attempt on. Not a perfect throw obviously, but absolutely catchable. It's strange to watch the replay...Knox doesn't jump for it at all, just reaches and extends. Not sure if he was off balance or not expecting the ball at that trajectory but this throw gets caught by TEs at a nonzero frequency.

In the most simplistic terms (there's obviously a lot more to it) the EV of a run play is significantly less than a pass play...ideally you want to incentivize teams to run at a certain frequency and with a certain amount of success.

Also consider the Patriots defense has allowed exactly one other QB (Watson) to throw for multiple TDs against them. That's it the entire season- only two QBs w/multiple TD throws in a game vs Pats: Watson and Allen. Not Jackson, not Mahomes, not Prescott, not Darnold or Mayfield or Roethlisberger or Daniel ***** Jones

Run defense is largely overrated. McD is on top of this. Edmunds is the result. Buffalo has a top defensive unit. It's the offense that will need to come along, defensively we are set especially at MLB. Run defense by and large doesn't matter.

We are talking about very thin margins just fyi If the wideout drops clean up to NFL average we are looking at better passing stats If pass pro executes slightly better we are looking at 1-2 more important plays per game w/positive outcomes for Bills If Allen completes a few more passes/game or a few more deep throws over the course of the season he's probably statistically close to top 10 If the defense is able to maintain fundamentals on a couple key plays/drives our defensive PPG drops ...and this team still locked up a playoff spot w/2 games to go. If the above had occurred we are talking about a #1 overall seed imo and I doubt anyone would have expected that of this roster, this year.

Pass pro had more missed assignments vs Patriots than Allen had missed throws/reads from what I've seen

IE how the Vikings use Dalvin Cook in their passing offense

This is really my takeaway as well. They ran a bunch of different misdirection on offense that I haven't seen from Pats all season. They were prepped for this defense and our staff didn't have checks to deal with different looks.

Nobody in the front seven had a great game and I know this will sound like sour grapes but the Patriots offensive line really is allowed to basically do whatever they want without fear of getting called for holding. I've rewatched the first half now and it's blatantly obvious. First real bad example was 2nd and 4 from Bills 33 in the first quarter 5:29 remaining, Bills up 3-0. They pull LG and Oliver beats the double and is in position to make the play when C Karras who missed his block literally grabs him in a bear hug from behind with both arms wrapped around his body and pulls him out of the hole. Michel gains two yards. Should have been a 10 yard penalty, instead Pats convert a third and 2. After the play is over Karras actually looks around for the flag. Very, very obvious holding not called.

Best way imo to get a formula for predictive W/L would be ANY/A differential; takes into account both sides of the team.

^for detailed explanation as well as why passer rating is basically useless, this is a good place to start- https://www.footballperspective.com/correlating-passing-stats-with-wins/

It’s called adjusted net yards per attempt.

Shreds pectoralis major: back to NFL action in 8 weeks no problem WHAT AN ATHLETE lmao

Means zero!?!?!?! Excuse me but crushing the Jets is a must no matter when where why or how

Fine wit it

Or you could just not be deliberately obtuse and figure out what the OP was saying Last 12 weeks- 31 other QBs have thrown more picks than Allen #inaccurate

Duck Hodges

Really bad math.

Amazingly, we also have rookies at the RB and TE spots...and that’s where the meat of comp% is at Sure it’s an excuse but it’s also the truth. The pass offense is not great and Allen deserves his share of blame, but in terms of the issues wrt passing overall he’s not in the top 3 imo.

Yes! But set against the backdrop of the high fashion European male modeling business a la Zoolander. I call it ‘Glamlet’

I wanna see more fake punt throws when stupid Pats line up in all out punt block. Bet Bojorquez can spin it, leak dimarco for the first down. Just for the look on Belichick’s face