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Everything posted by jrober38
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Glad I went on record. Hopefully there aren't 30,000+ new cases on Monday. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Exponential means the rate of infection doubles every 3 days. For example, 3 days ago there were about 8,000 new cases. Yesterday there was over 17,000 new cases. As the numbers go up, hospitals become overwhelmed. Some hospitals across the North Eastern US are now at capacity. They're out of beds. Keep in mind that many of these new cases are just beginning to show symptoms. Some of them will get much worse, and as that happens the lack of space in ICUs and access to ventilators will become critical. Once you make it to an ICU, you cannot survive without a ventilator. When they run out of ventilators, that's when people start being left to die in the hallways, as has been the case in Italy. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
We do know where it's going to some extent. Maybe not exactly, but all the experts on this subject matter expect it to get exponentially worse over the coming weeks. If by Monday night the US sees 30,000 new cases there will be hundreds of people dying every day. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
It will likely go higher as NYC hospitals become overwhelmed. I heard Cuomo say that on average patients spend 5 to 11 days hooked up to a ventilator. The major concern is that when hospitals run out of ventilators (as they did in Italy), new patients who turn critical will be left to die because the only way to survive at that point is to be hooked up to one. This is the whole reason people have been asked to socially distance themselves so that everyone doesn't get sick at the same time and completely incapacitate the healthcare system. Italy's hospitals got over run. So far that hasn't happened in the US, but it likely will in certain spots within the next week or so. The number of infected people is still doubling about every 3 days. A few days ago I said there'd be 16,000 cases today simply based off the math (up from 8,000). As things stand that looks pretty likely given the stats out so far today. The main question is in 3 days will there be 32,000 new cases? If so there's absolutely no chance Trump can try to reopen the country at Easter. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
By the end of the day the US will have the most COVID-19 cases in the world. However the rate of which new cases is doubling seems to have slowed down slightly which is positive. -
There should be a national dialogue in getting back to work
jrober38 replied to Magox's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The die is cast. The economy isn't going back to normal until this virus is under control. Consumer confidence will be shot, the travel industry will be annihilated, restaurants destroyed, car companies in trouble, etc. Every service industry will be affected as people tighten the purse strings. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The numbers are getting worse. Yesterday 140 people dead. Today over 220 deaths. Today over 110 fatalities in NYC alone. -
The Thread To Vent On Nancy Pelosi & Her Hubris
jrober38 replied to 3rdnlng's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You're fired.... in 10 months. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The US will likely have the most COVID-19 cases in the world by the end of the week. Pretty scary stuff. -
Josh Allen "Prove it" Season In Year 3
jrober38 replied to longtimebillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I'd draft someone new and cut bait. Don't get bogged down in a huge contract for a QB who isn't truly an elite player. -
Josh Allen "Prove it" Season In Year 3
jrober38 replied to longtimebillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
At the end of this season you have to decide if we're picking up his 5th year option which will come with a payday of approximately $30-32 million in 2022. I think that by default makes this year a prove it year for Allen. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
As they should. The US should do the same thing. It should have been done 10 days ago. -
This won't accomplish anything. You can't force such a large portion of the population to exit the economy and pretend that everything will be fine. People are not going to go on with their lives as they did a month ago. No one is booking a family trip. No one is buying a new car. No one is going out to restaurants as regularly as they did. The die is cast. With real leadership. This is a crisis. The country is essentially at war. Someone needs to step up and make the tough decisions that won't be popular.
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Holy hyperbole. Asking people to stay home for 30 days means dictatorship, human rights violations and "censorship?" I see it as the only way to save the economy. China reopened Wuhan today. That could be America if you follow that model. Shut everything down, don't collect mortgage payments, don't collect utility payments, don't collect rent. Just stay home, and then in 30 days you can reopen everything after you fully quarantine everyone who is sick. Prolonging thing will only decimate consumer confidence and wreck the service and hospitality industries, the airline industries and contract GDP. Then other companies will begin laying people off, and the whole thing will snowball.
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I think the issue is that in many places social distancing guidelines haven't been followed. China seemed to have had success because they're an authoritarian regime who was locking people in their homes. I think the western world is struggling because they took so much longer to act in a meaningful way. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
jrober38 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Exactly. Cases went up by 8,000 ONE DAY. The number literally gets bigger every day. In 3 days it will likely be 16,000 new cases. -
You really have no clue as to the economic cost of being a 20 year old female, making minimum wage who unexpectedly got pregnant. Let's accept that more old people need to die than is necessary to "save the economy", but if a young female decides to end a life because it will affect their personal finances and she doesn't have the financial resources to take care of that child, that's unacceptable. The hypocrisy is laughable. You can't be pro life and accept that old people need to die so that your stock portfolio isn't inconvenienced.