jrober38

Like I said a few days ago, the contract suggests he's probably not going to make the team. That's the type of contract you see for guys who are struggling to stay in the league. EJ should hire a new agent. At 6'4, 240 with 4.6 speed, he should try being a tight end otherwise he'll be in the CFL next year.

Other: 2010

They didn't have to take a QB. If was their choice to cut Fitzpatrick and leave us with a roster without any NFL calibre QBs.

Is EJ even a lock to make the Raider's roster? They could go with just Carr and Cook as their top 2 guys.

Want - TJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin Don't want - OJ Howard, TE, Alabama Dark horse - Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State Think - Mike Williams, WR, Clemson

You know I'm not sold on any of these QBs. If they pick Trubisky, I won't moan about it. He's got some good traits and there's upside. With that said, I'd rather wait and see what's there in round 2 or 3. I think our 1st rounder has to be a stud who we can build around for the next 5+ years. I like Peterman's scouting report the best of all the QBs in this class. You'll probably think I'm contradicting myself with that statement but I think scouting reports are really important for QBs and not as important for pass rushers. Pass rushers it's all about athleticism that NFL coaches can develop. I love Peterman's accuracy, ability to throw with anticipation and the fact that he can read the whole field. I also don't see the point in using more two tight end sets. If we take a tight end 10th overall I'm going to be pretty upset. They might not bust very often, but how often do 1st round tight ends become true difference makers at the NFL level?

We have a ton of needs and we can't fill them all. Long terms, I think Watt becomes a special edge rusher, Tabor becomes a #1 CB and Peterman has the potential be something similar to Kirk Cousins (lots of analysts are moving him up their boards as they study him more). I don't think the Bills value the WR position beyond Sammy. They went dumpster diving in FA last year and they've done the same this year. Safety is a huge need but the draft is top heavy. Beyond the top 2 guys there's not much to get excited about IMO. Next year you go after a DT, S and WR. Possibly a linebacker as well.

That's a good number. With a gun to my head, I think I pick the under. Our lack of talent at WR and in the Secondary is going to hold us back this year. The schedule looks super tough. Probably finish somewhere between 5-7 wins.

Ideally we'd trade down a couple spots (someone wants to leapfrog Cleveland for a QB), but the likelihood of that happening is small. Right now my first three rounds is: 1. TJ Watt - DE, Wisconsin 2. Teez Tabor - CB, Florida 3. Nathan Peterman - QB, Pitt Then use rounds 5 and 6 adding WRs and OL help.

Fair enough. I think he's got a good chance to be an elite NFL pass rusher. Von Miller probably is premature as a comparison, but the Clay Matthews comparisons make a lot of sense. Matthews obviously has never been an every down DE, but you could still probably plug him in as a SLB in your base package in a 4-3 and kick him to the edge in your Nickel package. Elite athleticism, elite intangibles, prototypical size, scheme diverse, incredible blood lines. I think you can do a lot worse with a 1st round pick than roll the dice on a guy with all that going for him.

Yeah, I read somewhere that he tested in the 94th percentile of all athletes at the combine. His combo of athleticism and intangibles is going to make him a stud in the NFL.

To some degree, but it doesn't seem to matter a ton. Guys with his type of measurables don't bust as DEs or 3-4 OLBs. Guys like Watt work out and become very good NFL players at an extremely high rate. JJ Watt's game film said his first step wasn't very good. Scouting reports are wrong all the time. And with that said, it's not like his scouting reports are describing a bad player. TJ Watt has been a late 1st round pick for a while now. His combine test scores will move him up into the top 15 picks.

37 inches at 252 lbs.

I'm not sure it matters. Guys who put up his test numbers are almost always really good pros. As I said earlier, this is a 22 year old guy who is just scratching his potential. Put him in an NFL calibre weight program for a year or two and you're going to have an elite pass rusher on your hands. Bruce Irvin is probably the least successful guy with these type of scores, and he's still a really good player. The floor for a guy with this type of athleticism is very high.

I don't know, but if his floor is Bruce Irvin he's worth at least a mid first round pick. You can make a pretty strong case that his intangibles (Irvin had numerous off the field issues coming out of college) move his floor a little higher than Irvin. He's squeaky clean off the field and his motor is relentless. You know Watt is a guy who is going to put the time in off the field to get bigger and stronger. The Clay Matthews comparisons seem to make the most sense. Most of the guys who post his type of measurable numbers are phenomenal, game changing football players. I think we need more of those guys on our team.

The data from the combine says he's a great athlete. Guys with his test scores routinely go to the NFL and become perennial All Pros. That's a fact. That's all I care about. Guys with his athleticism fit in any defense. He might not be an every down base defensive end (I think otherwise), so you play him at SLB in your 4-3 sets and DE when you go Nickel. Von Miller has been used the same way in Denver. Over the years, they've flipped back and forth between 3-4 and 4-3 schemes, and he's always been incredibly productive. Watt's test scores say he's the same player, and given the track record of success for guys with this level of athleticism, I want this guy on our team.

Why wasn't JJ Watt the #1 overall pick? He was also described as an effort guy who lacked athleticism and agility. WEAKNESSES Won't consistently get the edge on tackles with his get off or quickness. Plays high at times, can be blown off the ball by the double team, but does fight hard to hold ground. Lacks some lateral mobility both rushing the passer and playing in space. Will occasionally give up outside contain. The weaknesses section of his report was dead wrong. Scouting reports are often wrong. That's why 1st round picks bust and late round picks can be successful. Test scores don't lie (and I'm not saying they're the be all, end all for every position). You don't put up elite numbers across the board if you're not an elite athlete.

Their combine numbers say they're both quick twitch, explosive guys. The guys who post these type of numbers pretty much always go on to become elite NFL pass rushers. "Low risk" guys are low risk because they work out all the time.

Why not? Athletically they're essentially the same guy. Von Miller Forty time - 4.53 seconds Bench press - 21 reps Vertical - 37 inches 3-Cone - 6.7 seconds Short shuttle - 4.06 seconds Demarcus Ware Forty time - 4.65 seconds Bench press - 26 reps Vertical - 38 inches 3-Cone - 6.83 seconds Short shuttle - 4.09 seconds Clay Matthews Forty time - 4.67 seconds Bench press - 23 reps Vertical - 35.5 inches 3-Cone - 6.9 seconds Short shuttle - 4.18 seconds TJ Watt Forty time - 4.69 seconds Bench press - 21 reps Vertical 37 inches 3-cone - 6.79 seconds Short shuttle - 4.16 seconds Defensive End.

He's going to be a top 16 pick.

There's no doubt in my mind that he's going to be a stud. You can tell when you watch him play that he loves football, that he's got a non stop motor, and to top it all off he's a freak athlete. In 3-4 years when he's in the prime of his career, and he's filled out his body, he's going to be wrecking the NFL. I wanted JJ Watt over Marcel Dareus 6 years ago. People called me crazy. JJ's performance against Ohio State and his test scores at the combine (one of the most freakish performances ever) did it for me. High floor, with an unlimited ceiling. I don't want to miss again. This guy is going to be an elite NFL pass rusher for the next decade. He's a guy you build your defense around (think Von Miller, Demarcus Ware and Clay Matthews).

There's not a ton of video online, but from what I've seen plenty of his production was beating offensive tackles one on one.

Dan and Glenn aren't athletic. TJ Watt is a freak, just like his brother. His movement skills are on the same level as numerous prospects who went on to become elite NFL pass rushers.

Not really. Von Miller had all of the same concerns coming out of college. Clay Matthews couldn't crack the starting lineup at USC until his final year. This guy's movement skills are elite. The thread from the BBMB would have classified him as "low risk", and guys in that category pretty much always went on to become excellent NFL players.

In all seriousness his numbers are insane. From a test score standpoint (which are proven to matter a LOT with edge rushers), he's right there with guys like Von Miller, Demarcus Ware and Clay Matthews. This guy is going to be a stud pass rusher in the NFL. All the signs are there.