Herbert never throws past the sticks on 3rd and long. He plays it safe and throws mid range checkdowns. Allen might get picked or die hurdling someone but you know he’s going for it!
Now things get interesting. Jags can quick strike here and get 7 or 3 and turn it into a 1 possession game. Huge miss. Herbert inability to score TDs might cost him. 1 TD pass might not be enough.
What bothers me with Herbert is he’s been anointed nearly to the top echelon of Burrow, Allen, Mahomes without winning consistently. The dude is 25-24 as a starter. He will need to actually win his division to get my respect.