All good points. For Hurts I see the Eagles getting beat at Dallas. If Hurts sucks in that game, gets blown out, is exposed/‘figured out’, throws 3-4 picks that opens the door for Allen. If Hurts blows any other game then the door is wide open. Allen’s case would be I have the strongest strength of schedule, road wins at Mahomes and Burrow, less receiver quality than the other top 3 Hurts, Mahomes or Burrow.