Cincinnati may have a poor record (due to missing Burrow for two months), but if they win out--they could win the division. They will be motivated for this game.
Which of the bipolar Bills will show up? The one that trounces the competition like the Steelers game? Or the one that folds like a cheap lawn chair?
Bills run game is >> Bengals run D, maybe significantly so
Bills passing game will be anemic due to injuries
Josh will be average, but will not cause any turnovers (his December record is exemplary)
Joe Brady was effective last week, and will be again this week.
Bengals run game is not great but they face a porous Bills D
Joe Burrow will have an average day in poor weather against a slightly improved Bflo secondary.
Zac Taylor is no Andy Reid. (that may be a bad analogy, Reid may be average--but elevated by Mahomes)
Only because it's a home game, do I think the Bills will eek out a narrow victory. Burrows win streak against the Bills will come to an end.