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Everything posted by Nihilarian
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National Josh Allen buzz after 1 preseason half
Nihilarian replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
You weren't alone as I'd say about 90% of the board hated the idea of drafting Allen before the draft. Right after the Bills selected him most Bills fans here acted like they were gut shot with that pick. I rejoiced when the Bills drafted him over Rosen as I had done some extensive research pre-draft on all this years QB's and fell in love with what Allen brings and not just with the arm. He wasn't the most polished QB of the bunch but had the highest ceiling. In his final year at Wyoming, he played with a bunch of rookies and carried them to an 8-5 record and a bowl win. The biggest drawback everyone had with him was with his accuracy issues and then you realize he only played a full two seasons in college which should allow him to improve those accuracy issues over time. If you take the time to research it so many great QB's started out with a bad completion percentage only to improve over time. Joe Montana started out with a 42.4 % and left ND with a 54.2 %. While finishing his NFL career with a 63.2%. Brett Farve was another with a horrific completion percentage in his first year at S Miss with a 40.7 % to see it rise to 54.5 in his senior year. Then finished his NFL career with a 62.0. Allen's accuracy issues mostly revolve around his footwork and he has worked very hard to improve that since he left college. -
National Josh Allen buzz after 1 preseason half
Nihilarian replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Brady has a career 63.9 comp percentage. Brees in his career has a much better 66.9 completion percentage. Brees has the NFL's best ever completion percentage. Warner, Cousins, P Manning, Romo, Rodgers are all in the 65 comp % range. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/leaders/pass_cmp_perc_career.htm I don't think it's that far fetched that Allen can someday attain a percentage between Brady and Brees. EDIT: I think what you are missing John is a big reason as to why Beane/McD drafted Allen over Rosen who as of now is the more polished QB. My take is that they think he can become a very accurate passer in the NFL given time to develop. -
National Josh Allen buzz after 1 preseason half
Nihilarian replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The thing is, as good as Darnold (64.9 comp%) and Mayfield (68.5 comp %)were in college with their accuracy. Josh Allen was the only QB in this year draft class to hit the crossbar from 35 yards away with one pass for Trent Dilfer's soul, science camp. As far as the accuracy issues with Allen goes, it was all about his footwork and none of his college coaches worked with him on that issue. After his final year in college, he worked with Jordan Palmer and started working on his footwork which showed in the senior bowl and at his pro day. During his time at the combine, he met with Mike Mayock and acknowledged that his footwork was whacked in college. Palmer has stated that he has fixed Allen's footwork and that Allen simply needs to keep working at it. -
National Josh Allen buzz after 1 preseason half
Nihilarian replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The 3rd string talent he was surrounded with in his first NFL preseason game was about what he played with at Wyoming in his last season there. Everyone who had touched the ball the previous year was gone and what he had to deal with were rookies. He took that team of rookies to an 8-3 record while winning their bowl game. The Bills coaches must have thought he played well enough as they rewarded Allen with some reps with the first string in Friday's practice. There is no question that the kid needs more playing experience as it showed Thurs night. What was also shown is that he has an arm as good as it gets and the Jeff George reference comparing the arms is the only thing comparable between those two...Allen's arm is stronger. My take is it won't take much time before most every Bills fan will love this kid. -
I watched Darnold for awhile and didn't see anything special. But, it's only one preseason game. Let's see how he looks when the game is on the line and he needs to go 80 yards for the win. For this year the Jests should let Bridgewater start and see how he does while letting Darnold sit and learn. JMO That regime might not last another losing season.
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National Josh Allen buzz after 1 preseason half
Nihilarian replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Ask this question again in a few weeks. We Bills fans love our pick now as well as the other teams love theirs as well. Thinks should become clearer as the season moves on. Funny thing though as I recall that most of this board acted gut punched when they saw Allen get drafted over Rosen. -
Lets give some credit to THE O LINE
Nihilarian replied to John from Riverside's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I'd be willing to think that the two HC's, GM's had a gentleman's agreement to not blitz much while keeping things simple. Even Cleveland, Cincy and Chicago won't show their full defenses in the preseason. I think I'll wait until I see how the line plays with the real bullets flying at Baltimore, the Chargers, at Minnesota. We should know how well that line will do this season following how they protect and run block against those three teams. I suspect the line is not as good as it currently looks. 25 of 39 for 338 passing with only 21 rushing attempts, 430 yards of offense total seems off the charts against a usually stout Carolina defense. This! -
Love this kid, smart and knows the fan base.
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Allen in my view is better than AJ, Peterman, and yet I still want to see him sit and develop. I'm hoping that Allen doesn't see the field before week 8 or more, and if he does it means the other two are either injured or terribad. The long Allen sits the better his chances are to properly develop into a quality starter IMHO.
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If the Bills are 3-5 at midpoint after playing the @ Ravens, Chargers, @ Vikings @ Packers, Titans, @ Houston, @ Colts, Patriots I'll be rejoicing! This means that the Bills beat one of the really good teams that most are saying will be making the playoffs this year. It also means that the offensive line won't be so offensive in defending a pocket QB! The remainder of the season consists of the Bears, Jets, Jags, Dolphins, Jets, Lions, Patriots, Dolphins. The bolded teams are the ones I think they have a shot at beating so 8-8 realistically. OTOH, should the Bills make some moves to replace Mills at RT and do a better upgrade at center I could see them winning a few more games. Perhaps even obtain a decent WR to go along with KB. Those teams I underlined. The offensive linemen currently on the roster will face some brutal defenses Chargers, Vikings, Packers (new DC Mike Pettine), Houston, Jags. Even the Lions and Patriots might be fielding top 10 defenses this year.
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Many Bills fans are forgetting about that linebacker the Bills also took in the first round. Even if somehow Josh Allen fails to impress because of the lack of talent around him that LBer pick should stand out from day one. Regardless of the QB position should Edmunds turn into another Luke Kuechly this draft will be considered by many a success. A kid only 19 years old that is 6'5'' 253 lbs and he can run a 4.5 40, can play inside or out. Beane killed this year's draft.
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Here, here. I think Mills received a decent grade from PFF for his run blocking as he really did stink up the field at times with his pass blocking. 32 teams, 64 starting tackles, and Mills tied for 43rd among tackles. SB thinks the Bills should move on from him. https://www.buffalorumblings.com/2018/2/20/17031574/which-upcoming-buffalo-bills-free-agents-dont-deserve-a-contract-extension-2018 EDIT: Some interesting items on how some of the Bills linemen look going into the season. "The Bills added a solid center in free agency and a solid reserve guard in the draft, but they have definitely downgraded on the interior of the offensive line. Their hope is that Miller returns to form in the new blocking scheme and they can go back to their success he had earlier in his career." https://www.buffalorumblings.com/2018/7/18/17580698/buffalo-bills-interior-offensive-line-training-camp-preview-eric-wood-richie-incognito-groy-bodine
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Calais Campbell had a grade of 90.7 (PFF) and led all edge defenders with seven QB pressures. Campbell also dominated in the run game with a run defense grade of 89.7. The Jags defense pressured Tyrod Taylor all game on 38.3% of dropbacks which was the highest percentage in the playoffs. The 2018 Buffalo Bills will be without Tyrod Taylor as they traded away that elusive mobile QB and replaced him with a pair of pocket QB's in AJ McCarron, Nathan Peterman. I shudder to think of how that line will look this year with all pros Glenn, Woods and Incognito gone from the team and a roster of nobodies on the line attempting to protect those pocket QBs. I also want to mention that, The 2013 Buffalo Bills were #1 in rushing attempts, #2 in rushing yards. In 2014 they took several steps back into the 20s in rushing. In 2015 they were #2 in rushing attempts, #1 in rushing yards, #1 in rushing TDs, #1 in yards per rushing attempt. In 2016 they were #2 in rushing attempts, #1 in rushing yards, #1 in rushing TDs, #1 in yards per rushing attempt. In 2017 they were #4 in rushing attempts, #6 in rushing yards, #15 in rushing TDs, #14 in yards per rushing attempt. For the first part of the 2017 season, the run game wasn't anywhere near as good as the previous two seasons and in the last half of the season, it got much better. I suspect the line was getting used to Dawkins at LT and the line getting used to the new O line coach/run game coordinator in Juan Castillio. Those rushing TDs and yards per attempt never did come close to what they were in 2015, 2016. You have made your points and I have made mine. Preseason games start on August 9th for Buffalo so we shall soon see if the current players on the roster are good enough. 15 days.
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Thanks. The line is my biggest concern so far as I don't see McCarron, Peterman lasting past that week 6 Texan's game and they might not even make it that far. Hopefully, by then Beane will work a trade to bring in much-needed help. The very last thing I want to see is that rookie QB being thrown to the wolves like a lamb to the slaughter.
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I'm happy for you that you were content with the play of the line against the Jags defense in that playoff game. They passed the test for you because the Jags defense didn't annihilate them? Perhaps their defensive game plan was to keep that running QB contained so he didn't make big plays with his legs. Rather than go for sacks and get burned by a big run. Perhaps they wanted to also contain McCoy so he didn't kill them with his legs. The Buffalo Bills lost that game 10-3 which is a sad thing that they couldn't score more than 3 points. In my view, a better O line would have greatly helped score more points. They passed nothing for me as I would have liked to see McCoy score a few times on the ground and Taylor throw a few TDs. The 49ers scored 44 pts on them in week 16 and Pittsburg rolled up 545 yards of offense on them with Big Ben throwing 5 TD passes. The Jags did field a solid defense but they went 10-6, were swept by Tennessee, also lost to the Jets, the Rams, the Cards, and 49ers. I want to see a Bills line that can dominate the competition like they did in the 60's AFL championship years, 90's super bowl years. The current roster isn't even close at this point.
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Undermine some part of the unit? Joey Bosa had a field day against that line and stated at times they didn't even block him. The Jags game was the supposed litmus test in your view? The O line passed the test against Jacksonville? News flash! Buffalo lost that game and only scored 3 points all game. The Jags defense sacked a very mobile running QB 2x, intercepted Bills QB's 2x and knocked Taylor out of the game. The Buffalo defense was the hero of that game holding the Jags to 10 pts. Did they look as bad as they did against the Chargers, no! However, the Bills do get to play them again in Buffalo in week two of this year... with no Tyrod. Let's see how they do, shall we? I'm not optimistic at all about this season and I hope it will open some eyes towards building a better line. I look at this year's offensive lines players and liken what I see to the 2010 season's starting line. I wouldn't be surprised to see this year's team start 0-8 because that line won't be able to protect the pocket QB's in Peterman, McCarron. I also doubt the run game will work very well regardless of how often they attempt to run the ball. Naturally, the QB's and RB's will get the blame. @Ravens, Chargers, @Vikings, @Packers, Titans, @Texans, @Colts, Patriots. Tough first eight games and I'm hoping I'm wrong.
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Whaley's failure wasn't the fact that he didn't target a QB as he did scout and draft EJ. It was the fact that he kept attempting to build a mostly skill player offense around a bad QB. Let's also not forget that he drafts a rookie QB in EJ and has no senior QB on the roster to help groom him. That year they had rookie EJ, near rookie Thad Lewis, and rookie Jeff Tuel as the QB's on the roster. Plus no QB coach and the only guy teaching these young QB's was an OC who had no previous NFL OC experience. Simply put, moronic! Not to mention that this was the year of OG Colin Brown who started six games before being outright cut. Doug Legursky was another bad player who was the worst player on the Steelers line who was brought in to be the backup center and ended up the starting LG because Colin Brown was even worse. Sam Young, really? That season the Bills O-line ranked 29th with a rookie QB starting!! Whaley was a bad GM from his signing guys like OG Chris Williams for four years 13.5 mill with 5.5 million in guaranteed money...and the guy lasted 3 games! "I am particularly excited about the direction our offensive line is moving in because we wanted to address this position," general manager Doug Whaley said in a statement released by the team. "We feel like we filled the need with a very good player." http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/10594140/chris-williams-signs-buffalo-bills The guy was the worst player on a bad rams line the year before and Whaley thought he was a quality starter! The Bills signed WR Mike Williams...Whaley let Chris Hogan leave for the Patriots. The list of Doug Whaley's screw-ups is almost endless...