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Everything posted by Dont Stop Billeiving
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Who is your surprising Round 1 Pick
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to RyanC883's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Think there's a good chance that Jalen Hurts, Ashtyn Davis, and Bradlee Anae all go in the first round which would be higher than their consensus Big Board rankings. -
All Gunner's Draft stuff 2020 edition...
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to GunnerBill's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Sorry dude, I skimmed the thread since I was working, must have missed that. Thanks for the comments! -
All Gunner's Draft stuff 2020 edition...
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to GunnerBill's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Huge effort as always Gunner, much appreciated! I made an amateur attempt with my own draft board this year given the extra free time indoors and I think our rankings are fairly alike. The one player that stood out to me in your positional rankings was CJ Henderson. I have him as the clear #2 CB and I think there's a chance he gets drafted in the top 10 tonight. Also, I noticed that Jeremy Chinn wasn't in your top 5 safeties whereas I think he'll be a better pro than Dugger. Just wanted to get your thoughts on those two players and why you had them ranked the way you did if/when you get the chance! Lastly, who would be your pick for the Bills at #54 of the realistic options? Cheers buddy and go Bills! -
2020 mock drafts/ fanspeak/ draft network
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to ScorpionZero's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
My Picks 54 Jonathan Taylor , RB Wisconsin 86 Matthew Peart , OT UConn 128 Michael Ojemudia , CB Iowa 167 Quintez Cephus , WR Wisconsin 188 Jonathan Garvin , EDGE Miami 207 Jauan Jennings , WR Tennessee 239 Braden Mann , P Texas A&M Make it happen Beane! Every single one of these players can contribute on Day 1 at needed areas and also represent key depth and talent for future years. -
Cover 1 article: Brandon Beane’s Draft tendencies
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Trading some Day 3 picks to get an extra 3rd round pick seems like a smart move this year. We won't have many available roster spots and Rounds 2-3 seem like the sweet spot of the draft for many positions such as CB, RB, and WR to an extent. Getting three players in this range (say Jonathan Taylor, Bryce Hall, and Chase Claypool) would give us the higher-end talent we need. -
It's interesting that of the replies so far, half are more bullish on the Dolphins and less convinced by the Pats than I predicted and then the other half feel the opposite. Everyone seems to agree on the Bills and Jets for the most part (Bills are in a strong position and the Jets are a couple years away while Douglas attempts to fix the cap/roster). Miami and NE have undergone a massive amount of change and that will continue with the larger draft stockpiles they have. Can't predict what they will do in the draft and their projections could change significantly depending on what players they're able to land, but as it stands, both teams have above average defenses (not top 10 though) and very subpar offenses. Unless Miami lands either Tua or Burrow with a huge trade up and the Pats somehow find the money to trade for Dalton/Newton or draft one of the top 3 QBs, neither team is a threat to the Bills in 2020 IMO.
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Thanks man. Yeah 100%, I get what you're saying. I promise I did my best to look at each team objectively and I genuinely believe the Bills are in the strongest position to win at the moment. But Dolphins fans should be super excited...they aren't far removed from being called one of the worst teams in history and now have a bunch of new pricey FAs and a ton of draft picks to look forward to. I'm high on a few of their signings as well as their head coach and I mentioned the draft capital, but I think they will either miss out on Tua at pick #5 or have to trade a lot of those picks in order to get him. The draft is hard to predict so it's therefore hard to predict what the Dolphins will ultimately look like on Sundays. In the end, Miami is likely headed in the right direction and could be a big threat to us in the coming years (as others have said, it's not difficult to envision a return to the 90s when it was Buffalo vs. Miami for the division with the Jets a bit behind and the Pats being irrelevant). I just don't think Miami will field a winning team in 2020 and that's kind of what I was focused on.
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Appreciate that buddy! Yeah very tough schedule that will keep the win totals down for each team and very tough to predict the outcomes of each of the other AFC East teams (it definitely stood out as I wrote this that the Bills are the most stable team/organization at the moment which would have been hard to believe just a few short seasons ago). I think you make a lot of fair points about each team. Pats will win more games than they should due to Belichick and some of the leadership they retained there. Miami will probably not live up to the hype they are getting at the moment (although if they find a way to get Tua and hit on some other high draft picks, that could save them). And the Jets are definitely in flux. I think Douglas is doing a good job so far, but as you can tell, I'm not a Gase fan at all. And as you pointed out, they haven't brought in the high-end talent on offense yet to help Darnold. He definitely has the worst supporting cast out of that QB class not counting Rosen.
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Do you have a link? At what spots did Tua and Ruggs III get drafted? Because I think in order for Miami to wind up with those two players, they'd have to hope Tua falls to pick #5 and then package picks #18 and #26 to trade up into the top 12 for Ruggs. Personally, I don't think Tua makes it to 5 and Ruggs won't make it past 13. I think your wider point is that Miami can improve a lot based on all their draft capital and I agree, they should be able to bring in a lot of young talent. My argument would be that those players will need time to gel and develop and I think they had such a talent deficit to start with. Their past history suggests they will miss on a lot of these picks as well. I think Miami is moving in the right direction for the most part, but I doubt they'll be a winning team this season. As for the Pats, we've all been burned too many times before predicting their demise. 7-9 seems fair to me as they still have a few difference-makers on both sides of the ball plus the draft, but the lack of a QB and the talent they lost on defense will hurt them significantly as things stand.
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With the free agency adrenaline rush seemingly over, I thought it would be interesting (hopefully to others as well) to attempt a comprehensive assessment of the current state of the Bills and our AFC East rivals and then make some predictions about the performance of each team moving forward. I know that bits and pieces of this sort of topic have likely been discussed in other threads, but hoping this can be a sort of 'one-stop shop' for everyone. Let's start with the home team. (Figures per Spotrac as of March 31st) Buffalo Bills Current 2020 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Players): $26,703,466 Dead Cap: $1,043,674 # of 2020 Players Signed: 69 (note that these figures don't appear to factor in the financials for EJ Gaines and Daryl Williams) Current 2021 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Players): $69,834,150 # of 2021 Players Signed: 45 2020 Key Free Agent/Trade Acquisitions or Re-signings Offense: WR Stefon Diggs (traded from Minnesota), OT Daryl Williams (Carolina), OG Quinton Spain (resigned) Defense: DE Mario Addison (Carolina), DT Vernon Butler (Carolina), DT Quinton Jefferson (Seattle), LB A.J. Klein (New Orleans), CB Josh Norman (Washington), CB E.J. Gaines (technically re-signed after not playing last season), Jordan Poyer (resigned) Special Teams: LB Tyler Matakevich (Pittsburgh), RB Taiwan Jones (Houston) 2020 Key Free Agent/Trade Losses and Retirements Offense: RB Frank Gore (***don't think he was a key loss by the second half of 2019, but we will have to replace his snaps) Defense: DE Shaq Lawson (Miami), DT Jordan Phillips (Arizona), LB Lorenzo Alexander (retired), CB Kevin Johnson (Cleveland) Special Teams: None 2020 Draft Capital (Draft Pool Cap: $4,645,086): Picks #54 (2nd Rd), #86 (3rd Rd), #128 (4th Rd), #167 (5th Rd), #188 (6th Rd), #207 (6th Rd), #239 (7th Rd) 2021 Draft Capital (Draft Cap Pool and Exact Selections Not Yet Available): One 1st Rd Pick, One 2nd Rd Pick, One 3rd Rd Pick, One 4th Rd Pick, Two 5th Rd Picks, One 6th Rd Pick, One 7th Rd Pick Observations: - Diggs' elite route running (per Matt Harmon, Diggs has finished above the 93rd percentile vs. man coverage for 3 straight years) and contested catch abilities will bring out the best in Josh and give our offense a dimension we haven't had in years. Not to mention the more advantageous match ups Brown and Beasley will face in 2020 as well. - Jefferson could be one of the steals of this offseason. The underlying statistics show that he was one of the most disruptive pass rushers last season and the 12th Man were very upset to see him leave. While it wouldn't hurt to add another speed edge rusher, this defensive line group is the best top-end talent we've had since the peak year of Mario-Dareus-Kyle-Hughes AND is deeper than that year's group IMO. - Resigning Spain and keeping the entire offensive line together (whether Williams or a draft pick can win a spot is another matter) is huge and a level of continuity we've rarely experienced. After a 2018 season where we only returned 2 offensive starters, the fact that Diggs might be the only change should do wonders. - After years of trying to build this team to match up with the Pats, we now need to turn our attention to the Chiefs and Ravens. The additions of Diggs as a bonafide #1 WR and our defensive line signings all being skilled run defenders should help that regard. Furthermore, the pick at #54 needs to be the player that gives us the biggest edge in those match ups as well and after hearing Joe Marino and a few others on my Bills podcasts rotation sing his praises more and more, I'm coming around to the idea that Jeremy Chinn would be BPA and should be the pick if he reaches 54. Chinn would give us a true position-less defender with excellent range who can play in big nickel, three safety, and dime linebacker packages and mitigate some of that elite speed that Baltimore and KC have on offense. Ran a 4.45 40 yd dash with a 41" vertical. Kyle Dugger seems to be getting more attention, but Chinn is the better version of that type of versatile match up neutralizer we need. - 'Dirty Red' Matakevich (T-1st in ST tackles with 19 last season), Klein, and Jones should all provide a boost on special teams. Now all we need is a punter! - With an inevitably shortened offseason program, the Bills did an excellent job of finding several players who are already familiar with our system. Combined with the longevity and consistency of our coaching staff, I believe this will prove to be a significant advantage over our division rivals. Outlook: Three years into the current regime of Sean McDermott and Brandon Beane, I believe it's fair to say we're ahead of schedule. Two playoff berths and a significant culture shift later, we're coming off a 10 win season with a plethora of young talent from the draft and have now executed two strong free agency plans in consecutive offseasons. We have a very tough schedule ahead in 2020 and I'm not going to write off the Pats until I see it with my own eyes on Sundays, but the division is up for grabs for the first time in 20 years and if Allen takes the step many of us believe he can, our team will be a genuine contender and should be hosting a playoff game in the snow next January. LET THAT SINK IN. Prediction: 10-6 and AFC East title Miami Dolphins Current 2020 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Players): $33,016,394 Dead Cap: $10,708,110 # of 2020 Players Signed: 79 Current 2021 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Players): $75,375,937 # of 2021 Players Signed: 41 2020 Key Free Agent/Trade Acquisitions or Re-signings Offense: OL Ereck Flowers (Washington), OL Ted Karras (New England), RB Jordan Howard (Philadelphia) Defense: CB Byron Jones (Dallas), DE Shaq Lawson (Buffalo), DE Emmanuel Ogbah (Kansas City), LB Elandon Roberts (New England), LB Kyle Van Noy (New England), Special Teams: S Clayton Fejedelem (Cincinnati), LB Kamu Grugier-Hill (Philadelphia) 2020 Key Free Agent/Trade Losses and Retirements: Offense: None Defense: S Reshad Jones (released) Special Teams: S Walt Aikens 2020 Draft Capital (Draft Pool Cap: $17,913,284): Picks #5 (1st Rd), #18 (1st Rd), #26 (1st Rd), #39 (2nd Rd), #56 (2nd Rd), #70 (3rd Rd), #141 (4th Rd), #153 (5th Rd), #154 (5th Rd), #173 (5th Rd), #185 (6th Rd), #227 (7th Rd), #246 (7th Rd), #251 (7th Rd) 2021 Draft Capital (Draft Cap Pool and Exact Selections Not Yet Available): Two 1st Rd Picks, Two 2nd Rd Picks, One 3rd Rd Pick, One 4th Rd Pick, One 5th Rd Pick, No 6th Rd Picks, One 7th Rd Pick Observations: - A mixed bag of players acquired IMO. I think the Lawson and Van Noy moves were good buys albeit the standard early free agency overpays and Elandon Roberts/Ted Karras are solid versatile assets on both sides of the ball. However, while they filled positions of need, the deals to bring in Jones, Ogbah, and Flowers look very questionable to me and the money doesn't match the production. Jones hasn't intercepted a pass since 2017 (has 2 total in 79 games) and has never stood out on tape to me. Ogbah struggles to stay healthy (two season-ending injuries in his 4 years) and benefited from the attention Chris Jones and Frank Clark drew last year. Flowers had a bounce-back year at guard under BIll Callaghan after proving he couldn't play OT at the NFL level and is now moving to his third team in 3 years with even less talent around him. - We should dominate the LOS against this team next year regardless of what they do in the draft. I have serious questions about Flowers and he's still probably their most talented O-lineman. Whoever is at QB for Miami will not have much time to throw and Jordan Howard will experience the worst run blocking he's seen in his career thus far. - My first impression is that this is a collection of individuals rather than a team and it will take them a while to gel so hopefully we will play them early in the schedule. Flores was impressive at times in an experimental/zero expectations-type first year as HC and made the most out of a bad situation, but now the pressure will be ramped up with all these new signings and he'll be truly tested for the first time. - The Dolphins do have an outstanding amount of draft capital at their disposal in not just 2020, but in the 2021 draft as well (the legend of Bill O'Brien strikes again!). I think Miami will have to trade up for Tua and burn a decent amount of these picks in the process if that's their target. Ideally, Tua will land outside the AFC East and the Dolphins will struggle to hit on their picks as they have in past years. -The current Bills front office seems to subscribe to the theory that you should only allocate a relatively proportionate amount of cap to each position group and one has to assume that agreeing to pay two cornerbacks a combined $159 million over the next 5 years will backfire. Especially when neither one is Tre White or Stephon Gilmore. Outlook: Definitely the most unpredictable team of the AFC East. With the most cap space and draft capital in the league, they had a huge talent deficit to fill after using a league-record 84 players in 2019 and they have done an average job on spending their resources so far IMO. The defense looks like it will be much improved in 2020 with some returning building blocks like Xavien Howard and Christian Wilkins combined with new faces like Van Noy, Lawson, and Jones. However, the offense has a long way to go (ask yourself, is there a single player on Miami's offense that would start for the Bills? And we're not exactly an offensive juggernaut yet either) and I still think they have more gaps than what their meaningful draft picks can fill at this point. I do think Miami could become a strong team in the future, but there are too many variables for them to put it all together this year. Prediction: 7-9, missing the new third AFC wildcard spot by 2 games New England Patriots Current 2020 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Players): $1,918,880 Dead Cap: $23,998,306 # of 2020 Players Signed: 67 Current 2021 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Players): $105,874,695 # of 2021 Players Signed: 30 2020 Key Free Agent/Trade Acquisitions or Re-signings Offense: Joe Thuney (franchise-tagged), WR Damiere Byrd (Arizona), QB Brian Hoyer (Indianapolis), FB Danny Vitale (Green Bay) Defense: DT Beau Allen (Tampa Bay), LB Brandon Copeland (Jets), Devin McCourty (re-signed) Special Teams: Matthew Slater (resigned), S Adrian Phillips (Chargers) 2020 Key Free Agent/Trade Losses and Retirements Offense: QB Tom Brady (Tampa Bay), WR Phillip Dorsett (Seattle), OL Ted Karras (Miami) Defense: LB Jamie Collins (Detroit), DB Duron Harmon (traded to Detroit), DT Danny Shelton (Detroit), LB Kyle Van Noy (Miami) Special Teams: DB Nate Ebner (Giants) 2020 Draft Capital (Draft Pool Cap: $9,038,977): Picks #23 (1st Rd), #87 (3rd Rd), #98 (3rd Rd), #100 (3rd Rd), #125 (4th Rd), #172 (5th Rd), #195 (6th Rd), #204 (6th Rd), #212 (6th Rd), #213 (6th Rd), #230 (7th Rd), #241 (7th Rd) 2021 Draft Capital (Draft Cap Pool and Exact Selections Not Yet Available): One 1st Rd Pick, One 2nd Rd Pick, One 3rd Rd Pick, One 4th Rd Pick, One 5th Rd Pick, Two 6th Rd Picks, Two 7th Rd Picks Observations: - Everyone's tired of hearing about TB12, but you cannot overstate what he meant to that offense, coaching staff, and fan base. He covered up a lot of weaknesses and draft misses in that roster and it will be very interesting to see how the team and fans react going forward. - Currently, the Pats have the worst QB room in the league and are lacking the cap space to trade for/sign a Dalton or Newton in free agency (they could get the money to work by trading Thuney, but then that leaves a huge hole on their offensive line) so I would expect them to draft a QB in the first round like Jordan Love to compete with Stidham. I don't believe the coaching staff or the locker room would accept a 'tanking' strategy. - The front seven of that defense has been gutted and that will put a lot of pressure on what is still a strong secondary. - The loss of the fantastic special teams ace and Olympian Ebner is probably being underestimated and Matthew Slater turns 35 in September. Combined with the release of Gostowski, expect this unit to take a step back. Outlook: There's no other way to put it...the Pats took a massive step backwards on paper this offseason. While they'll surely be swimming in those much-desired comp picks again next year, they lost a significant amount of talent in all three phases and did very little to replace it. Not one of their acquisitions above is equal to or better than the guy they're replacing. Add to that the relatively geriatric age of the roster and minuscule amount of cap space and it's hard to see how the Evil Empire will worm their way out of this hole. The Hoodie has his work cut out for him. Prediction: 7-9, missing the new third AFC wildcard spot by 2 games New York Jets Current 2020 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Players): $34,188,936 Dead Cap: $1,087,320 # of 2020 Players Signed: 75 Current 2021 Cap Space Remaining (Top 51 Players): $109,241, 051 # of 2021 Players Signed: 35 2020 Key Free Agent/Trade Acquisitions or Re-signings Offense: OL Josh Andrews (Indianapolis), OT George Fant (Seattle), C Connor McGovern (Denver), OL Greg Van Roten (Carolina), G Alex Lewis (re-signed), WR Josh Doctson (Minnesota), WR Breshad Perriman (Tampa Bay) Defense: DE Jordan Jenkins (re-signed), LB Patrick Onwuasor (Baltimore), CB Brian Poole (resigned), CB Pierre Desir (Indianapolis) Special Teams: None 2020 Key Free Agent/Trade Losses and Retirements Offense: WR Robby Anderson (Carolina), OT Brandon Shell (Seattle), OT Kelvin Beachum Defense: LB Brandon Copeland (New England), CB Trumaine Johnson, CB Darryl Roberts Special Teams: None 2020 Draft Capital (Draft Pool Cap: $8,441,384): Picks #11 (1st Rd), #48 (2nd Rd), #68 (3rd Rd), #79 (3rd Rd), #120 (4th Rd), #158 (5th Rd), #191 (6th Rd), #211 (7th Rd) 2021 Draft Capital (Draft Cap Pool and Exact Selections Not Yet Available): One 1st Rd Pick, One 2nd Rd Pick, One 3rd Rd Pick, One 4th Rd Pick, Two 5th Rd Picks, No 6th Rd Picks, Two 7th Rd Picks Observations: - With the exception of the Fant signing, I actually like what the Jets have done in the offseason. Their new GM Joe Douglas seems to be imitating the Brandon Beane approach to a degree as opposed to the wild spending of the previous regime. Douglas focused on adding role players on short term contracts with low guaranteed dollars. McGovern and Van Roten are not stars, but were signed for reasonable contracts and should be fairly dependable starters for the Jets. They will be upgrades by default over what they had last year. Despite poor play in 2019, Desir was a good pickup as well and someone I would have liked the Bills to target. - I'm not a believer in Perriman and I think their WR corps has downgraded with the loss of Robby Anderson. Their lack of talent at the skill positions on offense will hurt Darnold and this offense will struggle to score points (***drafting Jeudy/Lamb/Ruggs at pick #11 could help improve this drastically, but I really think they have a bigger need at left tackle). - The relationship between Gase and Bell seems likely to blow up this year. Guessing he gets moved at the deadline for a 5th round pick to a contender with an injured starter. - A healthy CJ Mosley would make a huge impact for this defense which is already sneaky good IMO. Whether he can return to form could swing their season 1-2 games in either direction. Outlook: Might not be a popular opinion, but I think Joe Douglas is cleaning up a huge mess and doing a decent job of bringing in some steady players and fixing the cap in Year 1 (circa Bills 2017). The interior O-line and CB positions have been reinforced by solid not spectacular players and healthier versions of Darnold and Mosley could place this team solidly in the wildcard race. However, unfortunately for Jets fans, there's one huge factor that mitigates a lot of that potential improvement/optimism and its name is Adam Gase. He will continue to make curious in-game decisions, alienate his players, and drive whatever culture is left in the NYJ locker room off whatever bridge they have in Jersey. If there is a team in the league that will underperform solely due to its head coach, this is it. Will he see a third season in green? Prediction: 6-10, missing the new third AFC wildcard spot by 3 games ********* A longer read than I had planned on, but hopefully some of you have made it this far. Excited to get your feedback and discuss...most importantly, I hope this provided a momentary distraction from everything COVID-19 related. Hope you and your families are all healthy and staying safe. All the best and Go Bills!
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Earlier today, the NFL tweeted out Diggs' highlights from Week 6 last year where he torched the Eagles for 167 yards and 3 TDs. Admittedly, Philly's secondary was a very easy match up, but he made some incredible catches/adjustments to the ball and showcased some good YAC and end-around ability. Yet the thing that stood out to me most about the highlight video was that after every TD, Cousins never made a move towards Diggs, literally running in the opposite direction to celebrate at times. Sounds silly and their relationship was notoriously bad, but I just love that JA is a guy that everyone loves to play with and is everyone's biggest cheerleader. I think Diggs is going to love it in Buffalo, can't wait for next season.
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Bills signing Daryl Williams OT
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to PIZ's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Three years removed from being an All-Pro RT in 2017 and another year removed from his big injury in 2018...I'd argue that he was criminally misused and not allowed to get comfortable at one position last season on a bad Carolina team blocking for below average QBs. For all those reasons, it's not unreasonable to expect an improved season from DW. The risk vs reward on this move is significantly in our favor and despite the fact that it feels like WIlliams has been around for forever, I was happily surprised to learn he's only 27. Love the signing. -
This is significant. A lot of hype for Baltimore's vaunted D-line additions in the past couple weeks and now they've essentially lost Pierce and only gained Campbell which I would view as a wash. They should still have a great defense and are probably the AFC favorites along with the Chiefs, but something to watch. They have a lot of draft capital, but I think their roster has gotten worse as a result of free agency.
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2020 mock drafts/ fanspeak/ draft network
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to ScorpionZero's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Is anyone else on board with spending one of our sixths on a punter? Bojo exceeded expectations last year but was still very inconsistent and meh overall. We haven’t had an above average punter since Moorman. Time to invest in that position and make sure it doesn’t cost us wins. IMO go get the kid from Texas A&M and then set it and forget it. -
Do the Patriots have a bottom 5 roster?
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Didn’t see it mentioned specifically yet but Harmon was an underrated piece of their secondary and a significant loss for the Pats as well as the more obvious big names. Think he had 7-8 picks over the past two seasons. -
2020 mock drafts/ fanspeak/ draft network
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to ScorpionZero's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
My Picks on the DraftNetwork Simulator: 54 J.K. Dobbins, RB Ohio State 86 Chase Claypool, WR Notre Dame 128 Alton Robinson EDGE Syracuse 167 Khalil Davis, IDL Nebraska 188 Dalton Keene, TE Virginia Tech 207 Alex Taylor, OT South Carolina State 239 Joe Reed, WR Virginia Wanted to get a CB, but the draft never fell that way and the value wasn't there. Dobbins, Claypool, and Reed (who I view as an upgrade over McKenzie in the gadget/jet sweep role) add new dimensions to our offense. Robinson and Davis bring speed and athleticism to the defensive line. Keene (imagine the marketing potential of two Dalton's/DK's at tight end) and Taylor (6'9"!!!!!) are players with a lot of potential to develop into quality starters. Go Bills! -
Robby Anderson to Panthers
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Jets are in a really tough situation in the first round now...they desperately need an OT (I don't rate Fant at all) and a WR. Either way, Bell can plan on seeing a lot of 8 man boxes this year. On the plus side, PFF and others will use Darnold's lack of weapons to continue to rank him ahead of Allen. ? -
Mock with Dobbins in second...
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Dobbins or Taylor in the 2nd would be reasonably good value and at an area of need. I think we should ideally target CB and RB in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. Now that RB is one of our biggest remaining needs, it's too bad that Etienne Jr. wound up going back to Clemson. He would have been another possible option on Day 2. -
Draft: RB Prospect Opinions
Dont Stop Billeiving replied to OldTimer1960's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I like Dillon, Perine, Moss, and Akers probably in that order. Started a thread about AJ Dillon a few weeks back, think he can be a game changer for us. Hoping we can trade up into the third round as we did last year. Would allow us to get our WR4, RB2, and CB2 on Day 2. Bring me Claypool, Bryce Hall, and Dillon and I’ll be ecstatic. -
JMO, I wouldn't be in favor of trading up as high as you're proposing necessarily. My ideal scenario would be to keep picks #54 and #86 and then trade back into the third round as we did last year (to pick Knox). Imagine getting Chase Claypool, Bryce Hall, and AJ Dillon on Day 2. Think that's a realistic possibility with an extra 3rd rounder and that would be our WR4, CB2, and RB2 sorted.
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Keeping in mind the needed extensions for Dawkins/Tre/Milano and the fact that we’d pay to pay Ngakoue $20-22 million per season and will cost at least a second round pick, trading for him seems prohibitive. However, the Diggs trade and our other moves combined with Brady leaving the AFC has sped up our timeline. And in my opinion, Ngakoue is about as sure of a bet as you’d ever find in free agency. He’s young, productive, and is a good guy on and off the field. His salary could be offset to a decent extent by cutting Murphy this year and Star next year (since we signed Butler). What are your thoughts guys? Would Ngakoue put us over the top and make us a top 3 AFC team (Chiefs and Ravens) or is the cost in draft capital/cap space too much?
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Bottom line is Jeudy/Lamb/Ruggs weren’t going to make it to pick #22. Reports out now saying the Bills hated Tee Higgins’ pro day and Shenault’s injury history is terrifying. Based on the standard draft value chart, we traded the equivalent of pick #18 for Diggs who is just 26, on a team-friendly contract for 4 years, and is a proven star and elite route runner in the league. Absolute win for us and another example of Beane’s wizardry.