Dont Stop Billeiving

Even a lot of the other Jets fans on their board seem embarrassed by him. What a legend lol

Unfortunately, I don't think so. Wallace got IR'd so out at least three weeks. CB depth is hurting especially if Tre can't play.

Yeah felt like that didn't even need to be mentioned. I actually can't remember a football team looking so bad, who are they going to beat this year to avoid going 0-16?

With their incredible talent on offense, Cleveland should literally score 40+ points every game (like last week) and set multiple records. Mayfield looks better this year but he's definitely their weak link right?

Examining our last three opponents (all Bills wins) and their performances today: - Miami: currently dominating San Fran and making Jimmy G look as bad as I've ever seen him. - LA Rams: outplayed THE Football Team in all three phases and scored at will. Now 4-1. - Vegas: put up 40 points and handed the Chiefs their first loss in almost a full calendar year. Should note that Ruggs and Trent Brown were back and made an impact after missing our game, but Carr, Jacobs, and Waller all went off. The Bills wins and schedule in 2020 feel a lot better than the 2019 version so far. Also, the quality of these opponents may help explain some of the defensive struggles we've had. Hopefully we can keep stacking wins as we move forward into an even tougher part of our schedule, but seeing the success of our previous opponents gives me hope.

On Friday's Locked On Bills podcast, Joe Marino talked about Corey B and how his struggles with holding were at fault for 2 of Tyler Bass' missed FGs (one vs the Jets and the other last week vs Vegas). The laces were either facing in or right on both kicks. Joe spoke to a former NFL kicker who said that he immediately identified the direction of the missed kicks (wide right) based on the holds and said that quality NFL holders only mess up with a laces-in hold once in every 4-5 games. Interesting to consider that Bass has missed three FGs I believe, two were on bad holds and the other was possibly an incorrect call. I preached patience after Week 1 (also thought the poor/windy conditions were a factor that day) and after seeing Haushka implode today, I still think we made the right call a few weeks in.

So he'll be back? Do we know this for sure?

A big X-factor for this game I haven't seen mentioned here yet: With Adoree Jackson ruled out, Kristian Fulton has been Tennessee's starting slot CB. However, he is on the COVID list. If he is also out, the Titans will have to start their 2020 7th round draft pick Chris Jackson. Advantage Bills.

Agree with your whole post...except the part about Bojo. He was one of the worst punters in the league by most metrics last season and while he hasn't had many opportunities this season due to the success of our offense, he had a terrible game this past Sunday. He's also been partly responsible for two of our missed FGs due to bad holds (laces turned in or sideways). For a team that's really building something and is ready to be a contender, it's important to be strong/consistent in all three phases and Bojo isn't either. Behind our LB and CB depth, he's the weak link of the team.

Tough game to predict as many have said but I'll give it a try with some assumptions based on what we think we know now (final injury designations are posted tomorrow which will give us a lot more information): - Game goes ahead on Tuesday as scheduled - Simmons, Humphries, and Davis miss the game for the Titans. - Milano and White miss the game for the Bills. - Bills stack the box and bracket Jonnu Smith in coverage and dare Tannehill to beat us. - Josh continues his excellent start to the season and passes for 300+ yards. Bills win 35-25.

For sure, an underrated piece/reason for why our offense has gotten off to such a great start. We haven't had a good RT for ages.

Yeah agree that we could use a young guy or two on the right side of the line (need an upgrade at RG and hoping we re-sign Daryl Williams who's been very good so far at RT). We probably need a speed guy at RB3 as well, could bring a whole new element to the offense. Of course FA will play a role as well. That being said, I'd be pretty cool with it being a defense-heavy draft. Need youth and depth at DE, LB, and CB.

If Milano leaves in FA, our first round pick would ideally be an LB right? Even if he stays, obviously BPA plays into the decision but I think we look to draft a CB2 and/or an LB with the first couple picks... CB2 (Norman can change this) and LB depth are the biggest issues on this team (slot CB and Punter as well).

Forget everything you read here I guess lol. I'll have to go back and review the tape on their back ups from pre-season...2019 preseason. What a year we're having. Hope the NFL does the right thing here and punishes the Titans effectively first and foremost for putting the whole league in jeopardy and then either we play what's left of their team safely (is this even possible at this stage?) this weekend OR get the forfeit W (and one for Pittsburgh) and we can rest up for the Chiefs. Try really hard not to screw this up Goodell!

Those are the rankings of Tennessee's opponent each week immediately after that particular game (rather than their ranks now which I think is less relevant). Football Outsiders calculates their stats the Tuesday after each game week I believe. Agreed on your second point. The key to everything on defense is shutting down Henry because most of what they do in the pass game is play action. As for your last question, I don't think we really know 100%, but Vrabel did a press conference or call today where it sounded like everyone on the list will miss the game. I believe Yolo posted more specific details in the game week thread. 👍

Hope everyone's keeping well and enjoying the Bills' 4-0 start as much as I am! I have been living in the Bills-Titans game week thread this week and really hoping that this game can go ahead safely on Sunday. In the meantime, I wanted to do an amateur deep dive/scouting session into the Titans first three games/wins of 2020 based on their game highlights (granted it's not the All-22 film but still a combined 40 minutes of video). Anyways, hope you enjoy/find this useful: ***Offensive and Defensive Ranks are based on Football Outsiders' Defense-adjusted Value Over Average statistics*** https://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings September 15th- Week 1 Win AT Denver (23rd ranked offense and 19th ranked defense after Week 1, current record: 1-3) by a score of 16-14: Tannehill- 249 yards and 2 TDs. Any successful play in the passing game seemed to be a result of play-action. Threw a terrible pick on their first drive after halftime, but Denver committed an unnecessary roughness penalty prior to the INT so he got lucky. Had two passes batted down by old friend Jurrell Casey. Derrick Henry- 116 yards and 3.7 YPC with 0 TDs. Was held in check for the most part. Corey Davis- seemed open a lot on crossing routes, helped Tennessee move the chains on 3rd down a few times. Looks like he has taken a step up this season. Adam Humphries- made a number of clutch receptions to keep drives going. Titans Run Defense- not winning at the LoS on the majority of plays. LBs looked slow. Melvin Gordon had 78 yards, 5.2 YPC, and a TD in his debut. Jeffrey Simmons beat his man and stuffed a 4th and goal attempt by Denver from the 1 yard line, huge game-changing play. Titans Pass Defense- Kevin Byard made a great play punching the ball out of Melvin Gordon's hands on a screen pass and forcing a fumble in the first half. The secondary were giving big cushions to Denver's WRs and there were a lot of soft zones in coverage. Noah Fant and Denver's RBs were targeted a lot between the hashmarks with positive results. Gostkowski- had one FG blocked and missed 2 others. Missed an extra point as well. Hit a 25 yard game winning FG with seconds left. Miscellaneous- Clowney had a QB hurry early in the game, but didn't seem to make a play after that and didn't play too many snaps. AJ Brown (in his only active game of the season so far) drew a big PI call late and had a couple catches, but didn't look as dangerous as last year. O-line only gave up 1 sack. September 20th- Week 2 Win at Home vs Jacksonville (6th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense after Week 2, current record: 1-3) by a score of 33-30: Tannehill- very efficient in this game, his best of 2020. Just 239 yards but 75% CP and 4 TDs. Passing game seemed to mainly focus on Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith. No AJ Brown in this one. Derrick Henry- just 84 yards and 3.4 YPC in this one. Jacksonville stacked the box and dared Tannehill to beat them which is a viable strategy I think, but that defense has lost so much talent and it showed. Jonnu Smith- dominant on their opening drive and throughout the game (84 yards and 2 TDs). Did some damage against us last year and looks the part again in 2020. Milano should be able to cover him better than anyone Jacksonville assigned, but need him to be available/healthy for this game. Fingers crossed. Corey Davis- caught a TD and helped move the chains throughout the game. Titans Run Defense- gashed between the tackles by the rookies James Robinson (102 yards, 6.4 YPC, and 1 TD) and Laviska Shenault for some huge gains. Titans Pass Defense- Minshew carved them up for 339 yards and 3 TDs. Huge turnover luck for Tennessee so far this year, benefitted from a tipped ball by a Jags WR on Fulton's INT in the first quarter and a Simmons' PD on a late game-clinching INT (good play but you see that ball hit the turf more times than not). Butler looks like a shell of the player he once was, got burned by Chark on numerous occasions. The Jags used a lot of crossing/drag routes (similar to what Buffalo has done this year) and it did not appear that Tennessee had an answer. The middle of the field was wide open all game. Kenny Vaccaro and Jack Crawford registered the first two sacks of the Titans' 2020 campaign. Gostkowski- missed an extra point, but hit a 50 yard FG as the first half expired. Then hit the game-winning FG from 49 yards out. Looks like he has turned it around. Miscellaneous- Clowney and Byard all but invisible in this game (Clowney pressured Minshew in the 4th quarter on one play where he was left unblocked). Tennessee seems to be doing a good job this season limiting their penalties. Also, the Tennessee O-line gave up just 1 sack. September 27th - Week 3 Win AT Minnesota (23rd ranked offense and 19th ranked defense after Week 3, current record: 1-3) by a score of 31-30: Titans Offense- continually stalled out in or near the red zone and settled for SIX field goals. They leaned on Henry and the kicking game in this one, but hit on the few deep passes they rang up. No AJ Brown in this game. The O-line only gave up 2 sacks, continuing their strong pass protection throughout this early part of the season. Tannehill- still looks mobile/athletic and can run (expect to hear on the broadcast that he used to play WR 837468364 times lol). Had some nice throws, but had a lot of negative plays as well (botched snap that cost 20 yards on a 3rd down play, terrible INT into double coverage, a near INT at the end that would have cost them the game). Wound up leading an impressive 4th quarter comeback drive that led to the winning FG. Derrick Henry- 119 yards, 4.6 YPC, and 2 TDs. Hard to bring down and looked unstoppable in goal-line situations vs the Vikings. His best game of the season. Adam Humphries- likely out/on the COVID list. A big loss for this offense, looks like he has settled in (2nd year with the Titans) and become Tannehill's safety valve/option on 3rd down. Kalif Raymond- made two excellent catches on 40+ yard and 60+ yard bombs from Tannehill. Not a player I was familiar with before tonight, but looks like he has good speed/hands and is able to track the ball effectively. Jeffrey Simmons- also expected out/on the COVID list. Sacked Cousins and pressured him on a number of other drop backs. Jumped off the screen more than any other Titans defensive player. Titans Run Defense- struggled particularly on pitches and outside runs. Dalvin Cook did whatever he wanted whenever he wanted (181 yards , 8.2 YPC, and a TD). Cook did fumble once, but it looked like he was barely touched. Malcolm Butler and Jonathan Joseph- Justin Jefferson feasted on these two whenever Cousins threw his way. 7 catches for 175 yards and a TD. Kid looks like a good one...our WRs should win these matchups based on what I saw. Joseph did have a pick-6 on a terrible Cousins throw while under pressure (Tennessee used the double A gap blitz that we like to run with Edmunds and Milano sometimes). Gostkowski- since his nightmare game in Week 1, he has rebounded in a huge way hitting multiple 50+ yard kicks and being a lot more accurate. Made a career-high 6 FGs including the game-winner (3 in a row!). Miscellaneous- Clowney and Byard were pretty much invisible to my eye again based on these highlights, was expecting to see a lot more from them. Kristian Fulton had a huge sack late in the 4th quarter and looks to have played fairly well given that he's a rookie with no pre-season, but he is also expected out/on the COVID list. October 11th - Week 4 Tennessee Titans (current record: 3-0, 13rd ranked offense and 18th ranked defense after Week 4) at Home vs Buffalo Bills (current record: 4-0, 5th ranked offense and 22nd ranked defense after Week 4) On Offense- we can/should move the ball on the ground AND through the air successfully this week. The Titans defense boasts some big names on paper, but they've looked rusty and slow through the first 3 games against some middling offenses. While Clowney hasn't made a significant impact yet, I think he and Byard are the two players I'd want to watch out for. Diggs should have his way with either Butler or Joseph and this could be a big game for Beasley and the TEs as well (Tennessee struggled to cover slot guys/TEs/anyone in the middle of the field in previous games). If Daboll and Allen can execute the way they have in the first 4 games, we should put up 30+ points again. On Defense- a game plan similar to what we employed against the Raiders (hopefully with better execution than we showed in the first half) would be successful here. Stack the box and bracket Jonnu Smith where possible (or just Milano if he's ok). Put White on AJ Brown if he returns or Corey Davis (who's having his best season based on what I saw). Force Tannehill to beat you with his arm and make Tennessee settle for field goals as they have done all year. Tennessee has done a great job of keeping their QB clean so far (only 4 sacks allowed), but hopefully we can bring pressure and cause some mistakes like we did vs Carr last week. Alright cheers guys, I enjoyed putting this together and it could be something I can continue each week moving forward (I don't have anywhere near the street cred of @Virgil around here, but I love those post-game thoughts and maybe this can be a pre-game version of sorts). Hopefully our Bills can keep this momentum going and get out of Nashville 5-0 and healthy as well. All the best and Go Bills!

The defensive line will be a huge weakness for them if Simmons and Jones miss the game as expected (Clowney is technically an OLB in their system). But yeah I agree with you, their back 7 in particular looks really strong on paper. Not matching the stats/analytics so far. I suspect their inside LBs and Landry haven't taken the next step as many thought they would and their outside CBs (Joseph and Butler) are living off their names from a few seasons ago. Also, is it possible that Casey was the straw that stirred their drink to an even larger extent than we thought?

A new part of my traditional game week preparations (Bills podcasts, checking this thread every 5 min etc) this season has been scouting around on the opposing team's fan forums. Here's the link to Tennessee's Titans vs Bills thread if anyone's interested: https://www.titansreport.com/topic/40526-bills-week/ A few observations: 1) There seems to be one Bills fan who posts on there frequently whose name is Logical (is this you @Logic? lol). Whoever they are, they seem to have successfully stirred them up into a frenzy. 2) There are more references to 'sand' than I expected to find on a football message board. 3) There are a few trolls and a few reasonable posters as can be expected on any online platform, but in general I'm as unimpressed with these Titans fans than I was with the Jets fans in Week 1. A lot of lazy takes about Josh Allen being inaccurate/turning the ball over and the level of analysis/knowledge on the forum is rather poor. (Conversely, I thought the Raiders/Rams/Dolphins fans from the last three weeks were pretty realistic and knowledgeable.) 4) For being fans of a team whose lack of discipline/controls regarding COVID has put the entire league in doubt (and less importantly, could cost their team wins), no one seems to be that upset with the Titans organization. A few jokes about giving it to Josh Allen though... 5) Most posters seem high on Vrabel and the offense and less happy with the defense/special teams. Also mixed expectations for the returns of Taylor Lewan, AJ Brown, and Adoree Jackson from injury. No matter who is available for Tennessee, I like our guys and expect them to get the win on Sunday. Fingers crossed the game goes ahead safely and Go Bills!

The two best parts of their starting D-line in their 3-4 scheme (Simmons who apparently has been their best player this season and Jones) are on the COVID list. Clowney and Landry are listed as OLBs. Fulton has been their starting slot CB and has 5 tackles, 1 INT, 1 PD, and 1 sack in 3 games. Having lurked on the Tennessee fan forums a bit already this week, there may be a chance that Adoree Jackson can return from injury this week to fill that role, but we'll see. 👍

Thanks for posting this man, really interesting. What jumped out to me is that the Titans have *2 fewer TDs* than their opponents so far this season, they have won these games because of that +5 turnover differential and a lot of penalties by their opponents (more on this below). These stats all fit the story on them so far. The Titans are a 3-0 team who have beaten three bad teams (the Broncos/Jags/Vikings are each 1-3 so far) and their three wins are by a COMBINED 6 points. The Bills look like the best team the Titans will have faced by a mile and some regression to the mean is coming for them.

Me after Milano being described as 'a week to week situation'

A bygone era when Jordan Mills was the emotional leader of the O-line and Charles Clay was supposed to be one of our biggest offensive weapons 🤢🤢🤢 Look how far we've come in 2 years. Onwards and upwards!

Projected Tennessee Titans starters post COVID outbreak as of today: https://titansized.com/2020/10/05/titans-starters-covid-outbreak/ Aside from the defensive line, they're in better shape than I thought. Sounds like Taylor Lewan, AJ Brown, and Adoree Jackson all missed time with injuries earlier in the season but are expected back for Sunday (if the game goes ahead). Also forgot they have Clowney...weird. Still, no matter who is available for the Titans or not, I like our chances here. We should be able to score on their defense (which has been below average this year) and *if Milano is active/close to 100%*, I think we can limit their run game like we did to Vegas. Henry > Jacobs but the Raiders O-line is better than Tennessee's. Put White on AJ Brown and stack the box. Interested to see if the Titans will be rusty or rested and we can still affect Tannehill the way we used to when he was a Dolphin.

Think you hit the nail on the head with your first point. Josh is a gamer and a 'dog' as his teammates have described him. He's actively demonstrated that on plays like the Hurdle of Anthony Barr, the 4th down conversion last year against Dallas, and the trampling of Van Noy and Ogbah in Week 2 vs Miami. He lives and breathes football and you can see how much he cares about the team and the fanbase every minute of every game. As someone who has been optimistic about Darnold until this season and thought he could put it all together (the turnovers were always my main concern with Sam, but I thought he would clean that up), I genuinely do not see any of those traits in Darnold. I don't see a guy that is a leader and inspires his teammates. The Jets deserve a lot of the blame, but he hasn't shown me any reason to continue believing in his potential.

Plus their starting slot WR who's a great player in Humphries. The FB (for a team who is so reliant on Henry and the run game) and the LS could be underrated losses as well. Think I heard that Simmons has been their best player on defense this season so far. For all that are concerned about the Bills defense (myself included), it's worth noting that the Titans seem to have taken an even bigger step back on that side of the call. Per Football Outsiders: 'Speaking of Tennessee and Chicago, they are very low for 3-0 teams before we even start considering opponent adjustments. Each team's three opponents so far are a combined 1-5 in their other games. Tennessee and Chicago rank among the ten lowest-rated 3-0 teams in DVOA history.'