YattaOkasan

I was looking at FG only. Yes Bass has more PAT misses. Again for aubrey indoors. He was a UDFA. If you trust your ability to scout well enough to invest a 4th, why not just get one in the draft. If you dont trust your ability to scout, why do you think an indoor kicker in the NFL can do it outdoors? Theres too many unknowns to be sure. Heres the cake for me. Cause Aubrey is doing great things, but in favorable conditions. He hes 86% for FG. Hes 82.5% outdoors which is the same as bass outdoors (82.5%). Its not worth a 4th yall

I get it. and there is def value to an elite kicker. but i dont think its worth the cost and potential unknown when we have potentially have a good one already. If we dont have Davis then we are gonna give carries to Evans or Gore Jr? Nah I think we get a few more first downs (and thus points) from having Davis. appreciate you talking through it though.

But the question is what would you give up for it and its crazy to me to think Aubrey is worth a 4th round. Particularly when he has as many misses as Bass and he plays in a dome! Getting the best kicker has some value but its a tricky game cause their play can be very streaky. Agree the line has moved back but Bass has the leg for it too so its not like it moves the line back much (again Aubrey is kicking those in great conditions). Aubrey has played 3 games outdoors and he has 2 misses in those games. I aint paying a 4th for that.

Game script matters. Giving up a TD on the first play really hurt. With that in mind we started working back (3 first downs on the drive) before the trick play. At that point it was just hard to stop them when they can pound the rock or abuse our 2nd level back ups with short passes.

Please hold things back and lose an extra game. would love that for us.

I def think he has a role going forward, and its the dime package. Particularly against Lamar and Mahomes in obvious passing downs i would take a DL off (leave Groot, Von, Oliver and let them go crazy) and let Milano spy. Then Lewis can play coverage in Dime. They did this against Chiefs but sub Milano for Dorian and Im pretty pumped.

Lol at all the 60 yarders. Im not gonna assume those are all in. Noone is automatic from that distance (Aubrey has as many misses this year as bass playing in a DOME!!!!!) the 64 yarder against Bal is the first drive? I have that as a 67 yarder as the ball was at the 50. the 66 yarder against Houston is risky business as they didnt score that next drive. if they get the ball in our territory they very well might (probably a FG). the 62 yarder against Houston is a TD if it misses cause they settled for a FG after a long drive. KC i have another 67 yarder as ball was at midfield. Considering they had to punt on the subsequent drive I wouldnt give them the short field either. Would love to have an automatic kicker but its way more complicated than you make it out to be (I dont consider anything <90% automatic lol).

So you have to consider points greater than what we have, which is Bass. Hes left a total of 13 points on the field this year (little known fact, if he hits his next 2 FGs its his best kicking % of his career). Please let me know if theres any situation you think McD would have kicked instead of punted (cause that would add to the total). So thats 1 point per game that bass has left on the field versus a perfect kicker. I think Ray Davis's 428 yards have resulted in 13 points (see the Jets game) over replacement, so I def think a 4th round pick at a position offers greater return. You can start convincing me maybe in the 5th, but really the 6th. And again this is against a perfect kicker.

Well the motion is not gonna stop. It’s been helping Josh ID the coverage. The Josh run is also the same play that fooled the dolphins completely on critical 4th down. It’s an awesome play call against man (pretty much unstoppable). But they played zone and it ain’t good at that. However, the coaching point is to take off if the trick Josh and come out in zone. Why? Cause when Josh threatens the line of scrimmage a coverage player has to leave their responsibility and there’s and an easyish toss. So to me it’s a well designed play against man and has a well coached point that Josh executed as super man. I’m not sure what you want from any OC if the DC knows what’s coming (why game script matters). Also of note Josh gets two play calls in the huddle. He’s puts us in one of them. If he had IDed zone he would’ve switched the call. Brady seems to have ok play design but it is a bit more simple. That’s different than Dorsey’s plays that had an answer for everything but were complicated. Brady will make the simple work (not a TD but successful) by doing super slight things like changing the width of the formation. Keeping the plays simple lets players execute better while doing the slight adjustments to make plays pretty much always successful. He could probably scheme things up a bit better but the offense you’re asking for is essentially Dorsey’s. I’ll take Brady’s all day.

So you want more trick plays? I hated that one call and am good with 30 shades (wrinkles) of vanilla. It’s doing pretty good. And it’s not just variations. It’s coaching points to beat the way the defense is playing. Those are wrinkles to me. Trick plays are something else. I think he could do a bit better scripting plays early and taking advantage of known defensive tendencies. But dude is able to make his gameplan work later in the game by making super minor adjustments.

What are you talking about? There plenty of examples of Brady wrinkles. Why do you think we’re so good in the 3rd quarter? Brady runs the same plays from slightly different alignments cause he knows what the defense will be. This creates the rubs and leverage that spring so many plays. Be angry at his scripted plays but not at his ability to throw a wrinkle sheesh.

Should be noted how much Brady is running 5 man protections too. Hes putting everyone he can into a route which really stresses the OL, but they have responded really well by figuring out the creeper and simulated pressures that were getting free runners on Josh. Now Josh has time and 5 players running routes without chips on many obvious passing downs. Just tremendous.

Despite stacking my team with Bills the last few years my fantasy football team is inversely correlated with Bills wins almost exactly (got a win week 3 otherwise exact opposite). I will continue blowing it for yall

But it doesn’t have to be. We can definitely measure its position. We decide not to. There are other objective things we make subjective. Like delay of game (would’ve hurt us) and ineligible man down field (would’ve helped us). Objective things should be reviewable and would stop teams from pushing the edge.

What does this mean. Cover 0 is basically designed to get you a free runner no matter the protection. How do you not “struggle” against cover 0 as an OL. If you give up an extra free runner (seems hard cause they are sending so many) is it really much of a difference than having one free runner? All this to say beating cover 0 is about having hot reads and not the OL.

Morris has my complete trust after catching the GW on a sprained ankle against the giants. He also has two TDs against the dolphins (little flip two weeks ago in 4Q and one against holland, maybe snow game). Davidson might have more upside but when Morris has his number called he’s ready.

they can do whatever if Josh hits his average against them. 250 yards, 2.5 TD, 0.5 INT (reg season; playoffs are better). I sorta think Josh has Spags figured out similar to how he sorta figured Bellichek out for a bit. Theres a lot of new to our offense (and their defense is its best iteration) but Im much more scared of lou anarumo than Spags. https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/josh-allen-career-stats-vs-chiefs

If they late season collapse I think it’s more the variety the eagles had last year.

agree McDuffie on Shakir could be rough, but I think having an extra OL on the field is the preference for KC defense. OL will def need to show up cause my plan requires them having 5 man protection which is tough and your plan has them run which requires them to get push in the run game. KC defense is def a tough nut to crack, and i think running into the best run defense in the league is not wise.

Line them out wide even if its 1 RB. I think were gonna pass A LOT. If brady is gonna run 5 man protection as he has all year, itll be good to spread them out to show their hand. Our OL doesnt get beat so much as the scheme gets beat. Typically we have to run condensed formations but I think this week I hope we use spread a bit more.

Leads the league in TFL, 4th in QB hits, 10th in pressures and top 20 in sacks. Thinking that is just a notch above JAG is madness.

I agree. Trying to find the source but heard the chiefs are pretty rough against spread. If Kincaid is out this needs to be 11 personnel game. LB corp for KC is deep and I would much rather they have to put another CB on the field.

Why does he have to be better? Spector was a better athlete coming out and has shown he can command our defense. Spector has better missed tackle % and more TFL. Will say Kwon has generated more splash plays (FF particularly) across his career and has previously been a better coverage player but the caveat there is that Baylon knows our system a lot better. I would rather stay with the younger cheaper player that knows our system better. baylon also feels like a better culture fit.

Consequence of playing in the AFC east and against the AFC South. Would also note that if Miami doesnt lose Tua they are almost certainly not a sub 500 team (they dont lose to Tenn and Colts). We beat them with Tua so I do not discount that win so for the moment I would consider that to be wins over a winning team.

I think hes below average and getting worse, but i also think that still is a threat against our run defense. 🙃