YattaOkasan

I think Milano is only penciled in as started Should this continue along into the week and the game on Friday, then perhaps there is something more to this. However, the Bills love Milano and likely just needed to challenge him a bit to get a response. The difference is between him and O'Leary is that O'Leary has been bleeding reps a lot longer. If Milano starts taking reps back then I wouldn't worry about it. But O'Leary seems to have some work to do to make the roster.

HAHAHA that was in the article too. Milano was great last year, and I think he is in a better spot than O'Leary. However, LB and TE are both positions we can look to improve.

Interesting cause I thought the protection last night was pretty good. Maybe its just the third string O Line

McD mentioned Redmond's play a C today. Some took it as an opening for Groy to slide to Guard potentially.

I get your point and can agree. I would use different language than basic competence; I would probably say regularly achieving 300 yards would be good QB play rather than basic competence.

Totally support this. I think you might find the magic number to 150 yards or so where theres steep drop off. Taylor throws for 160 and bills win seemed like a pretty common stat line. I would also not expect a strong negative correlation with <2 TDs, but would with 0 TDs If you think less than 200 yards is a major deficiency I think we should look at the data to see how the win percentages compare. I got a funny feeling its better than the win % of the 300+ yards. Also "better correlated" versus "more significant" would the correct term I believe as even yards per game show statistical significance just worse correlation than TD% etc..

Further on your point about any stat out of context doesnt tell the whole story. 300 pass yards per game is the perfect example of that statement!!!!! This stat tells you almost nothing about who won the game. That this line gets thrown around so much is annoying. Yes Kelly could win you a game through the air and TT could not. Shouldn't you be able to see that in another stat like TD% as was alluded to? This 300 pass yards per game needs to die as a metric thats considered to successful QBs. To the fan of the team it shouldn't mean almost nothing; to fantasy football player it means a lot more.

Poll?

To your point though have Mayock and others done any of those things? They are all just spitballing right? The draft tape I watched was like 1 incredible throw with 2 ir 3 routine throw misses. The other advanced metrics have seemed to agree. He’s a hard pass for me.

Thoroughly enjoyed this analysis. I think I am getting behind taking jackson at 12 and keep the rest of our picks.

Probably should add CB3 and WR3 too considering how much time we spend in nickel. Maybe TE2? Thanks.

Amazes me that a NFL reporter wouldnt know this

Ugghh... We do not need 10 mil for the rooks. We need like 6. Rule of 51/53 says its only the difference in salaries essentially. The rooks will account for 10 mil of cap but we do not need 10 mil to sign them cause we already have players signed that will get bumped off.

Yes camp fodder but fodder that counts agains the cap. So the the cap hit for each player is 500k less than this number. But yes this is what the rooks make

Yeah but they bump out two players from top 51. That makes the first rounders more like 3.5 mill right? Later rounds are not expensive at all. Over the cap has you 10 mil number but that just adds the cost of all the picks. I don’t think it considers the top 51. Is @BarleyNY around to give his thoughts on the cap cost of the draft? I remember him having good insight last year.

The rookie pool doesn’t need to be 10 mil does it? It’s gonna cost 10 mil probably but because of the rule of 51 it should only cost about 5 mil from what I’ve seen elsewhere

Ahh instead of trading for foles can A have use cap space on vet FA. I think this trade will end up being ~10 mil in cap + TT + 1st round + 2nd round = Bridgewater/McCarron/Bradford + Mayfield/Jackson/Rudolph + High 3rd round. We won't have a ton of cap space after the vet but we have signed at least CB3, RB2, & DE4 pre-FA, have a bunch of picks, and look to be playing the comp pick game. The only thing missing in this FA period is a DT (we gonna get 1 in the draft anyway)?

I always liked john miller but hes been average at best (2nd year), and we are sorta in desperate interior line play. Wood retired and Richie doesn't have much past this contract. I don't want to stake my future on Vlad (ugh), Groy (admirable), Miller (so far average at best).

So you didn't watch the video then. Its been stated there and elsewhere that the Jackson has the most relevant experience to NFL offenses. He has been asked to read defenses and has demonstrated an ability to work his way through progressions (check out the cover1 article). He needs to work on his deep ball accuracy but checks most every other box.

Yes but theres a bit of nuance in that argument. Allen has targets that arent draftable but the difference is that Jackson plays in the ACC. But yes I agree Louisville does not seem to have a lot offensive talent (Miss State got to Jackson a lot in the 2nd half of that bowl game).

OMFG this has been done. Their numbers did go up. Not as much as Jackson's did (I think Mayfield was second). A third party did the analysis so I think they can be attributed to the catcher. I watched a ton of drops by his guys. I also saw a bunch of plays that could've been made by his guys that were probably not considered drops.

You could argue Kap was successful considering he lead a super bowl appearance.

Very much appreciate this. Probably the best comment I’ve gotten out of the tire fires that are TT threads. I think this is a very interesting point and could explain why we don’t really ever blow anyone out despite winning the TO battle. Maybe I’ll go to that PFR tool and look for game stats about points off turnovers and try to model winning percentage with turnovers. Thank you again

I agree with MrEpsYtown. The ACC is comparable to the Big 12. They are both Power 6 conferences that arent the SEC. If anything the defense in the ACC is better than the Big 12 right?

I think it’s the 50 passing attempts. There are 4 qbs that are pretty awful just under that line. I posted it up thread but I believe he only has like 71 passes. He was one of the lowerer ranked in terms of attempts (doesn’t explain his poor efficiency metrics though). I included 4th quarter plus OT with 50 attempts and he looked much more middling.