YattaOkasan

gonna be hard no matter what

Def a good team. This offseason will be interesting for them. Some of the UFA they need to resign or replace: McCourty (S), Brown (RT), Hightower (MLB), Jackson (CB), White (RB), Folk (K), Collins (OLB). While they aint broke, spotrac only has them with 31 million in cap space with potential savings from Agholor (5 mil), Mason (7 mil), Godchaux (5 mil), Jones (5 mil), Van Noy (5 mil), Bourne (3 mill), Anderson (3 mil). I think theres a pretty decent chance they take a step back as core pieces of that defense might be gone.

Cause he might not make it to the season if we draft his replacement. I’m thinking of a Singeltary and McCoy situation. If you are suggesting that Cole might not accept that offer, then I agree it’s not 100% that he would sign. Beane has done well at managing the end of contracts, and I do think 5 mill is closer to Beaslys value than 7.6.

With McKenzie and sanders as UFA I think we keep Beasley. Surprised it was only mentioned once in this thread since it’s a beane staple. Give him less money but guaranteed. 5 million sounds great to me. Gives us an option if the board doesn’t give us a WR they like.

Very fair points on positional flex.

Correlation is not necessarily causation. Teams that draft a RB high may feel the need to run them more. Looking at rush attempts you see something similar, but Kamara is in top 5. YPA seems a better metric, and when we remove QBs we get 1. N Chubb 2nd round (6.0) 2. J Taylor 2nd round (5.8) 3. C Edmonds 4th round (5.7) 4 J Robinson UDFA (5.4) 5 T Pollard 4th round (5.4) It continues this way that for every 2nd or 1st round pick there is a later pick. I guess where we might disagree is need for a franchise RB. You want 1 guy to carry the rock 20+ times? I dont want that and it seems we can get plenty of efficiency drafting players later.

Did you mean 11 personnel spread looks (you later list an 11 personnel grouping)? I dont think weve run a lot of 12 especially lately since Knox has been out. Overall I agree with a lot of posters including you. I think we had been trying to figure out how to run from shotgun. This week (I also felt like there was more in the KC game) it felt like we said lets pass from under center. thats pretty dangerous cause zone against the bigger personnel groupings will cause chunk plays in the run game. Man is tough cause we can basically just have Diggs run a route that will beat you.

I could see the Niners helping us out. Also one of those upset things that are so en Vogue right now.

Personal insult? Sheesh. I am actually excited to get my personal insult from the team. Does it come as a letter, do they visit us in person (seems unsafe with covid), a personal video. Sorta excited. I didn’t know I matter that much to be personally insulted.

I think it was the TJ watt strip sack. I also flagged that number as wrong.

There’s no doubt to me they are hiding some things. How many snaps did Gilliam have against the chiefs? There are matchup specific things that could work but we are not using.

I think with the fake he’s supposed to go that side. It’s cover 0. They are bringing more than we can block up.

Miami was running a lot of cover 0. We started doing better in the second quarter against it, but they were committed and that throw was in the 4th quarter iirc. Poor tryout to be punter. But we know he’s got the hands to hold. 😂

Is it Stephenson? No doubt. I didn’t hear about it until today. Even without the no look it’s a sick play where he runs through a face mask. That with the bent face mask is just crazy.

Feels like a good time to bring this back up

Sorry I know you werent making the who weve played arguement that was others. Although since you brought up 30+ to the Titans (understandable), I would say they have given up 30+ to the Cowboys (understandable) and Vikings (less understandable). We have also put up one of the best defensive performance (top 5 by QB rating) against Mahomes. From talent, our Coverage def seems better (more picks in less games) and their rush seems better so maybe youre a pass rush type of guy...? I dont really see big differences in talent elsewhere. Depth I dont agree as they have a couple of Bills cast offs playing for them. Why do you think their depth is better...?

Fair I read it as the last attempt is not 50/50 cause the first attempt. I read your other posts and did come away with it being loose language not misunderstanding.

Id pass on the Panthers. I like what were doing better. 30+ points to the Vikings ughh.... Panthers are doing well to keep yards down but Bills are getting takeaways. Also if were on the subject of teams that havent played anyone can I have the Panthers for 100 Doc

Ahh... this is still just saying we had ONE bad game. Our game against KC is one of the best defensive performance against Mahomes (I found a total of 3 lower QB ratings than our game). They had 1 bad game where they gave up 143 rushing yards on 20 attempts to a guy not playing the rest of the season.

Overall not a problem. I do wonder if we could get more efficiency with the Gold (rip and liz) calls for WR screens. Miami played a LOT of cover 0 and we used WR screen to counter. It was ok. However at least a couple times (from the Cover 1 breakdown) when we went to beasley on one side, diggs was on the other alone and getting cushion (as you would expect). This is what happened on the TD to Diggs. Middle field open in a cover 0 look and we went his way. I wonder if we could drop the WR screen and throw to Diggs whos gets cushion on the other side.

I agree with you from the onset. Don't agree with your last line. If you go for it again you odds dont change. your language implies that the odds change on the second attempt because the first attempt failed; thats not true, Its still 50/50. But again agree with you notion that at the onset if you are committed to trying twice you have 75% chance of getting at least one.

Disagree on points about his having trouble against good QBs. No QB has had a good game against us this year (including mahomes and tannehill). I think we are designed to play TB in many ways. Everyone struggles with them from a defensive perspective but I think we would do better than most (by inviting the run). I think our weakness is a really strong run first team that can be complimented with a good passing attack when the box is stacked. Titans (before Henry was out), Browns, Ravens are teams I’m thinking of (some top offensive teams from last year).

To the bold, you mean like the Dolphins, WFT, Houston, KC? What? we have done very well against our schedule. Hell we covered the spread against the fish yesterday. To the underline, Pretty sure noone in the world makes their rankings this way. If we were just sneaking out wins sure, but we have been winning by > 1 possession and with losses by a total of 10 points to good teams. If anything we are getting the short end of the draw on these close games. Could the Pats beat? Sure. Do I think well be doing well to beat the Pats once? No thats what I expect. Winning twice would be doing well. Your BBFS is strong still.

Can you remind me? From my recollection we have a lot that have played. Dane Jackson (2x last year), Cam Lewis, off the top of my head. Isn’t making them inactive burning one of their 2 call ups. Who would be the TE that would be made inactive before game day?

4th and 15 from your own 35? Keeps punts relevant to high octane offenses. Also odds of converting 4th and 15 are better than onside kick and ultimately more exciting.