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Artful Dodger

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Posts posted by Artful Dodger

  1. 5 hours ago, Rob's House said:

     

    * Banks have full control of every single penny you own.

     

    * You will have no choice but to declare & be taxed on every dollar in your possession.

     

    In addition to the obvious privacy concerns, what I worry about under such a system is that the Federal Reserve would attempt to force people to spend by gradually removing funds from bank accounts via negative interest rates.  For at least ten years, the Fed's repressing interest rates has punished savers.  In future recessions, under such a system, policy makers would undoubtedly see negative rates as a tool for forcing people to spend to get the economy moving again.  What you don't spend, you would lose, via negative interest rates.

     

    If they go ahead with this, and because it's a terrible idea I'm sure there's a lot of support for it (because there are few adults running our country right now), I assume people would move to alternative forms of currency, like Bitcoin.

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. 9 hours ago, IDBillzFan said:

     

    That would be fine if Biden wasn't suffering from dementia, or at least facing the belief by millions of people, that he's suffering from dementia.

     

    Eliminate the dementia angle, and I get your point. But all Trump has to say is "Is it really my tax returns, or are you afraid to display your dementia to people."

     

    He follows this repeatedly with "Biden must fear showing his dementia" over and over and you'll quickly learn that no one of importance cares about Trumps taxes NEAR as much as they are concerned that the next Democratic president looks to have the cognitive skills of a baked potato.

     

     

    UNLESS Biden shows his dementia on the debate stage. The Dems would bleed out voters. They wouldn't vote for Trump, obviously, but they will stay home and refuse to vote for a guy who goes blank because his brain is tapioca.

     

    This is an awful choice between someone who fundamentally does not have the temperament to be president  and who has failed to carry out his primary campaign promise of clearing out the swamp (Trump) and the aging and increasingly impaired nominee of a party that has gone totally insane.  (Biden).  Biden seems like a fundamentally decent guy, but I doubt he's strong enough to withstand the crazies on the left of his party who have all the energy and enthusiasm right now.  It will be very telling to see who he picks as his running mate.

     

    I didn't think it was possible, but this is an even more depressing choice than the one we had four years ago.  

    • Like (+1) 1
  3. On 6/24/2020 at 2:43 PM, Doc Brown said:

    Nicky Haley.  I haven't seen the "it" factor with a politician since Obama came onto the scene in '04 until now.  She's one of the few who worked for Trump, stood up to him several times, and left on good graces. 

     

    I like her as well.  Executive experience, foreign policy experience, and her nomination would also make it very difficult for the Democrats and the national media to scream "racism."

    • Like (+1) 1
  4. I live near Washington DC and my hometown newspaper is the Washington Post.  I just checked its website and there's no mention of the deaths.  In fact, a search reveals there's been no mention of CHAZ at all in the Post for the last four days. It's as if the editors think if they don't report on it, it doesn't exist or will go away. 

     

  5. 53 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said:

    And oh my, look at THAT beard!

    Fitzpatrick is a really smart guy, and I think the beard is the first part of his post-football strategy.  Once he stops playing, he'll cut the beard off and no one will recognize him.  He'll be totally anonymous and be able to get through airports without having to talk to fans.

  6. There's Belichick

     

    and Lombardi

     

     

     

     

    And then down here, the rest of the list starts.

     

    Of all the coaches on that list, I still like Marv Levy the best, and not just because he coached the Bills.  He was smart and classy, fought in WW 2, and quoted Shakespeare to his players.  I love the idea that when he was speaking to players he would go off on historical tangents and his players couldn't figure out the heck what he was talking about.  I also liked his sense of humor -" You know why Hitler lost WW 2?  He couldn't win on the road."  <rimshot>

     

    But his players loved him, and didn't he do the HOF introductions for all of the players from those Bills teams who have so far been elected to the HOF?  If there was such thing as karma, Levy would have won at least a couple of those superbowls. 

  7. 19 minutes ago, Buffalo_Gal said:

    Barr Says DOJ May Act Against Governors With Strict Virus Limits


    The Justice Department will consider taking legal action against governors who continue to impose stringent rules for dealing with the coronavirus that infringe on constitutional rights once the crisis subsides in their states, Attorney General William Barr said.

    </snip>

     

    “We have to give businesses more freedom to operate in a way that’s reasonably safe,” Barr said. “To the extent that governors don’t and impinge on either civil rights or on the national commerce -- our common market that we have here -- then we’ll have to address that.”

     

    </snip>

     

     

    I'm one who believes we should open back up as soon as is possible once the risks have been mitigated, but when President Trump issued his guidelines for reopening last Friday, he suggested that reopening was "implementable on a statewide basis at governors' discretion."  And yet four days later, the attorney general is threatening governors with legal action if they impose stringent rules for dealing with the coronavirus.

     

    So what's changed between last Friday and today?  No wonder governors get so frustrated with Trump. 

  8. 1 hour ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

     

     

    State Department leaked cables renew theories on origin of coronavirus

     

    A Chinese laboratory at the center of new theories about how the coronavirus pandemic started was the subject of multiple urgent warnings inside the U.S. State Department two years ago, according to a new report.

     

    U.S. Embassy officials warned in January 2018 about inadequate safety at the Wuhan Institute of Virology lab and passed on information about scientists conducting risky research on coronavirus from bats, The Washington Post reported Tuesday.

     

    Those cables have renewed speculation inside the U.S. government about whether Wuhan-based labs were the source of the novel coronavirus, although no firm connection has been established. The theory, however, has gained traction in recent days.

     

    https://www.foxnews.com/world/state-department-cables-coronavirus-origin-chinese-lab-bats

     

     

     

     

     

    It's truly an odd coincidence that out of hundreds of large Chinese cities, the viral outbreak developed in the city where China has its most prominent virology research lab. 

    • Like (+1) 2
  9. 1 hour ago, reddogblitz said:

     

    I don't think this is known yet.  Will it be like chicken pox immunity?  Get it once never get it again.  Or will it be like flu immunity?  I heard Dr. Bird say last week or maybe the week before that if you get the flu, you get some immunity but you might catch it again but it won't be as bad.

     

    I hear a lot of people running with this theory, but is not a given.

     

    If you have more definitive information please share.

     

    I don't have any more information.  But if it's not true, then we're royally effed until they develop a vaccine.

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. 1 minute ago, Magox said:

    In regards to opening up, it wouldn’t be a full throttle approach but more of a staggered phasing in based off of geography. 

     

    Also another fascinating test case is to see what is happening in Sweden.  They have had a more surgical approach to the social distancing and for weeks now there have been grim predictions regarding what they thought they would go through.  It still hasn’t happened yet.  That could change but they are faring considerably better than most of Europe.

     

     

     

    I actually agree with you.  If people are going to die anyway, we might has well have a working economy.   We can't all sit around for an entire next year waiting for a vaccine to be developed.   So once we've got enough masks and ventilators and hospital beds, then people should gradually get back to work and practice social distancing as much as possible, recognizing that some people are going to get sick and some will die.  But once you've  had the virus and survived, you've got immunity, and then you can resume living a normal life.

     

    I just don't understand why so many people celebrate a plateauing in the number of cases as some kind of major victory.   If you can't leave your home, it's not much of a victory.

    • Like (+1) 1
  11. 1 minute ago, Magox said:


     

    One major problem with your faulty take.

     

    Australia is in the Southern Hemisphere, not only is it in the Southern Hemisphere but it’s way down south.  And not only is it way down south but their population centers are on the southern side.

     

    Why do you think this is important?

     

    Let me give you a hint, the Southern Hemisphere are not in their flu seasons.  More heat and humidity.  Recorded Infection rates in the Southern Hemisphere are Over 10,000% less than the Northern Hemisphere.
     

    You aren’t even comparing apples to oranges but rather apples to turnips 

     

     

     

     

     

    Last time I looked, Austria was in Europe. 

  12. 15 hours ago, SoCal Deek said:

    May 1st is a long time from now! We shut  our office in Southern California three weeks ago. May 1st is another three weeks from now. The country will be in a far better place by then. 

     

    From the Guardian newspaper:  https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/10/less-than-1-of-austria-infected-with-coronavirus-new-study-shows

     

    "Less than 1% of the Austrian population is “acutely infected” with coronavirus, new research based on testing a representative sample of more than 1,500 people suggests."

    "The research, if replicated and confirmed elsewhere, would appear to scotch hopes of countries being remotely close to relying on “herd immunity” – where enough of the population is exposed to the virus to build up a combined immunity – as a viable policy option."

     

    If the same is true for the United States, it means that if we open up in May, the country will be in about the same place it is now, except that hopefully we'll have more masks and ventilators available for the many people who are going to get sick and need to be hospitalized.  Social distancing and shutdowns were never meant to eliminate the virus; they were meant to ensure that we don't all get sick at the same time and overwhelm hospitals.  You can bend the curve, but the curve is still there. 

     

    The price for opening up the economy is that a lot of people are going to die.  That's true if we open up in May; it will be true if we open up in July.  It will be true until a vaccine is developed.

    • Like (+1) 1
  13. 9 minutes ago, Foxx said:

    no way in hell can you have an accurate CFR in the States right now. the only real number of cases showing up are those who are very ill from the virus, which dramatically inflates the current CFR. those who have contracted it and are showing little symptoms will not seek out medical assistance and therefore not be counted. 

     

    800 people died in Italy today from the CoronaVirus.  That's a big number no matter how you look at it.   600 died yesterday; 400 died the day before. 

     

    Yesterday, 221 people died in the US from the CoronaVirus.  172 died two days ago; 122 died three days ago.

     

    Are you starting to see a pattern here?

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  14. On 3/14/2020 at 8:58 PM, RocCityRoller said:

    Let's put things into perspective:

    A total of 156k people globally have been 'confirmed' to be infected, out of a world population of 7.7 billion people over 3 months of mixed responses.

    The number of infected is higher than currently reported due to lack of good testing in all countries (hard to develop a test for a new virus and be accurate).

    But, based on what we know the count is 156,000 globally, or 1 in 50,000.

     

    Global known deaths are 5819, largely clustered in a few places. That is 1 in 1.3 million people.

    The probability of being struck by lightning is 1 in 700,000.

    The probability of dying in a car crash in the USA is 1 in 77

    USA Heart attack 1 in 4.

     

     

    It's not where you are; it's where you're going.   

  15. In the "one less thing to worry about department", due to the CoronaVirus, ISIS has banned its followers from carrying out jihad in plague stricken countries. 

     

    https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/isis-issues-travel-warning-over-coronavirus-pandemic/

     

    ISIS also suggests that the Faithful should wash their hands frequently and place their hands over their mouths when sneezing. 

  16. Don't think so.  Through its slow reaction to this viral outbreak, China has discredited itself in the eyes of much of the world which is now dealing with a public health crisis.  China has been going hard on soft power around the world, and it's going to take a long time to regain that trust.  They also managed to cripple their economy and will likely throw the rest of the world into recession.  It's also highlighted for the rest of the world how much stuff, including pharmaceuticals, comes from China, and that will probably change in the future.

     

    All these things are of much greater consequence to them than some temporary problems in Hong Kong.  This is a complete disaster for them.  It's a real life example of a butterfly effect.  Someone ate bat soup made from a bat that didn't live right, and three months later, the world economy is nosediving into a recession and trillions of dollars have been lost in the stock market.  Or it's equally likely it came from a lab and escaped accidentally; we'll never know. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  17. 4 minutes ago, PaoloBillsFanFromItaly said:

    I want to remark this because I saw your posts about the high mortality of the disease in Italy.

    We count every death, there are no reserved information (I hope), but I want to remark this important difference.

    And I repeat, the problem is not the letality, it is the HUGE number of people that require special cares in hospitals.

     

    That, and the fact that if large numbers of people get sick at the same time, medical facilities are overwhelmed.  If you can bend the infection curve down so that not everyone gets sick at the same time, then the mortality rate goes down. 

  18. 4 minutes ago, 3rdnlng said:

    Horseshit. Trump has been on this since at least January with shutting down our borders and putting a response team together. You're still on your "hoax" bs even though you know that it never was true. Now, if we get it under control it will be because of the states but if we have problems it will be because of Trump. 

     

    If Trump had been on the case since at least January, surely we would have had more than a few thousand working testing kits by now, the middle of March?

     

     

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