Chuck Wagon

ODB 142 Targets Catch % - 60% of targets Yards per Target - 9.29 Touchdown % - 8.45 % of targets Sammy 64 Targets Catch % - 61% of targets Yards per Target - 11.19 Touchdown % - 11% of targets The Giants design ways to get Beckham open, move him all over the formation and feed him with targets. Sammy largely lines up in the same spots and runs the same few routes. ODB has made some highlight catches, but he's also missed some easy ones he's tried to turn into highlights. Sammy's move on Revis to clinch the Jets game was a thing of beauty, but that's not leading sportscenter. You can argue Sammy's production may diminish with more targets, but looking at how each team uses each guy and the end result of their targets, it's conjecture to say ODB is clearly a better player than Sammy.

There aren't "Complete Teams" in the NFL. Because of the salary cap, teams have to pick and choose their weak points. The Panthers have some of the worst "skill" talent in the NFL and are 13-0. The Cardinals may be the most "complete" team and they can't rush the passer. The Pats have a crap Oline and rely in Brady getting the ball out quicker than anyone else. The problem isn't not being a complete team, it's that we don't do anything well enough to make up for doing something else poorly.

Really curious NE Ohio wouldn't get the Bengals - Cinci over the Broncos - Raiders.

Exactly. Once you get your QB up into that pay stratosphere, you have to crush your draft picks to keep the pipeline of cheap talent. The Saints / Falcons / Chargers have done an incredibly bad job in the draft, leaving massive holes all over their rosters. It absolutely takes a good management team around a good QB, but if you don't have a good QB you'll be drafting top 10 instead of in the 20s more times than not.

Exactly this. The Colts / early time in Denver were a vertical offense, Manning throwing the ball down the field to Wayne / Harrison / Demaryius / Decker along with strong running games coming from the defense being stretched vertically. They were what they were, they forced you to match up with them, if you had corners who could keep up it usually ended with good results for you and thus Peyton only won 1 SB. Peyton got hurt in week 14 of last year (the torn quad) and hasn't been able to throw the ball effectively down the field since. Now Peyton's personal does not match up with him only able to play a ball control/quick passing/power running game (Demaryius-Sanders are vertical WRs, their line is garbage, RBs nothing special). More to that point, Kubiak's offensive scheme requires a lot of bootlegs/stretch runs, something Peyton is not capable of doing at this point. The Pats offense has always been more flexible, morphing to attack what the other defense does worst. Brady hasn't been effectively able to throw the ball down the field for some time, but the Pats personnel fits his current game (small slot WRs all over the field, Gronk, quick pass catching backs) and he gets the ball out quickly to guys who can make moves in space (after benefiting from offensive pass interference). If you spread out too much to defend them, they'll beat you up inside with Blount or Gronk. Basically, if you tried to put Brady in a vertical offense like the Cardinals, he'd likely look a lot closer to Peyton now than how Carson Palmer looks right now. If you put Peyton into an offense like the Pats, allowing him to make quick reads, get the ball out of his hand quickly and running power straight ahead, he wouldn't look quite so done.

2-2 is the worst I can see the Steelers going. Baltimore simply doesn't have the fire power to keep up with them.

If we take care of business, there's a chance that Jets game in week 17 is the one to get flexed into primetime on SNF. Right now the favorites would be Vikings vs Packers and Giants vs Eagles, those games could be meaningless or decide playoff spots (just like our Jets game).

We need to win out. I don't see the Steelers dropping both the Cincy and Denver games and they won't lose to the Ravens or Browns. I don't see the Chiefs losing either, even if they do slip up and drop 1, they still have the H2H on us should we win out. Simple truth, we sacrificed any margin for error and any control of our own destiny with the loss to the Chiefs.

Brees was the one we are closest to, from the story I've heard he was on the plane to head to Buffalo when the Saints stopped it and gave him what he wanted. That's an all time "what if".

I still can't get over 2004. I was really high on Roethlisberger, not moving up to get him, then trading up to get Losman, then missing out on Rodgers with the pick we traded was the ultimate kick in the juevos.

2004 - Big Ben was there at 9, we stayed put at 11, took Lee Evans then traded the next year's 1st for JP Losman at 22 2005 - No pick, Rodgers drops to 24, 4 picks after the spot we traded the prior year (pick 20) came up 2006 - We have pick 8 and took Whitner, Jay Cutler (say what you will about him, but he was the best QB from this class) went 11 2007 - All the QBs from this class sucked 2008 - Ryan went #1, took McKelvin at pick 11, Flacco goes 18 2009 - Stafford was the only QB who wasn't garbage, went #1 overall 2010 - Every QB = Bad (Bradford was the best) 2011 - Cam went #1, we were 0-8 then decided to win 4 of our last 8. Andy Dalton (he's meh, but winning) went 1 pick after we took Aaron Williams in round 2 2012- Luck went #1, we took TJ Graham at #69, Russell Wilson went #75 2013 - We took EJ, the whole class is garbage 2014 - Bortles went 1 pick before us, passed on Carr/Bridgewater Ever since 2003 we missed chances to draft Eli / Rivers / Big Ben / Alex Smith / Matt Ryan / Stafford / Cam / Luck / Bortles / Jameis / Mariota (2 SB winning QBs) due to winning too many games. We've passed on opportunities to draft Rodgers / Cutler / Flacco / Dalton / Wilson / Carr / Bridgewater (3 SB winning QBs). "Franchise QBs" have been there when we've drafted, we've just done a poor job of evaluating the available talent.

If you are redoing the draft, I'd have to imagine the Bills just sit at #9 and take one of Martin / Benjamin / Robinson / maybe Clowney. Devonta Freeman at #18? As CC would say "comeon man".

Too much talent elsewhere in this draft to force a QB pick in the teens. If Cook / Goff / Lynch pass the NFL smell test they'll be gone well before we pick. If they don't, then why are we taking them over superior prospects?

I fully expect him to be the head coach of USC / LSU / The U next year. Maryland might be a really interesting dark horse if the supposed Under Armour financial commitment comes into play, but I don't think there's enough "names" for the 3 jobs I previously mentioned without including him. He's not a "NFL guy", he gave it a shot but it's pretty clear guys aren't going to buy in long term.

I see our biggest needs as OL (Henderson needs upgraded, maybe Wood too), big physical WR (we have a bunch of smurfs), DE/DT (long term Mario/Kyle replacement) I'd like to sign Kaep (knows the Roman system, fits Tyrod's style) and draft a guy like Prescott / Brissett / Boykin in the 4th-5th round (aka a project who can move around similar to Tyrod-Kaep).

Schmidt's plant leg was clearly hit on the punt in the 1st quarter. That's automatically 15 yards.

Have to go 5-2 with a win over the Chiefs to make it in, anything less and we'll need help we aren't likely to get. Baltimore and Cleveland are borderline bye weeks for the Chiefs and the Raiders have cooled off significantly.

I believe we have as talented a roster as any other team in the NFL. A lifetime of being a Bills fan has conditioned me to expect the worst.

They could have gotten Sammy or Kahlil Mack (or Evans or ODB) / Bridgewater or Carr / Bitonio. But hey, at least they got Cam Erving.....

If we go 4-2 with 2 of the wins being KC and the Jets, then I believe we'll be in. If we beat KC and go 4-2, they would need to run the table in their other games to top us.

I have a feeling it's going to come down to week 17 between us and the Jets. That game has a very good chance of being the Sunday Night "winner gets in the playoffs" game, the only other ones that look like possibilities are Green Bay - Minnesota / Seattle - Arizona / Philly - Giants.

At this point it's pretty clear the Pats and Bengals are the class of the AFC. I can't get too down about losing to them, especially given the injury situation. If you would have told me before the season we would go 3-1 against Indy / @ Miami / Giants / @ Tennessee I would have taken it. I don't know what people were expecting. Tyrod has shown flashes at QB but is still learning to be the starter. 3-3 against our schedule is right where we should be, anyone who thought this was a 12-4 team simply does not have realistic expectations.

I really enjoyed Brad Nessler and Mike Mayock on Thursday nights, replacing them with more Phil Simms was criminal. I think Aikman is the worst, other than being instantly recognizable I have no clue how he's on a network's A Team. He reminds me of Madden stating the obvious, but instead of being a funny guy and inserting random stories or sound effects, Troy's ability to state the obvious while adding nothing extra makes me wonder if he's living with serious head trauma. Gruden's style can be pretty annoying, but I think he's one of the most prepared color guys.

Some random items- These companies can advertise so much because they are being pumped full of investor money. ESPN gave Draft Kings $500 mil with the language that $300 mil will be spent on advertising in the contract. The industry is currently valued at $3-5 Billion, with projections pushing it to a $20 billion industry. Many believe the end result of this "scandal" is a merger between DK and Fanduel, with much tighter restrictions placed on the sites. Sites like Yahoo and CBS have already begun their own DFS contests and have MUCH more money than the 2 current leaders. A big part of this marketing blitz is to get people onto these sites before the giants really get the ball rolling on their own. I play, but I mainly stick to $1 / $2 50/50 leagues that only allow 1 entry per user. Baseball is almost completely random, NFL skews that way (Anyone putting money out there knows Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers = good). I know people who've won the $1 / $2 tournaments and I enter a handful of those, I can win $25,000 on $2 and it's less random than the lottery. College football seems to be where there's a nice profit to turn, there are so many teams involved and sticking to $1 / $2 H2H or small leagues you'll get a lot of people just putting $1 on 4 guys from their favorite teams. I've made money every single week on college football this year, made money in Weeks 1 & 3 of NFL, got crushed in Week 2 (Carlos Hyde and the Eagles killed me) and broke even last week despite having a lot of Rodgers / Julio Jones who had bad games. In regards to dummy teams, I really don't know and I've questioned it myself, but I'd have to believe multiple people would notice if a team came out of nowhere at 4 PM Sunday to have all the best players from the 1 pm games. Unless there's a massive conspiracy to allow Travis Benjamin to score 2 80 yard TDs, there's too much randomness in NFL games and too many players paying attention to put in bots to win $1 mil. There's another under the radar story about the sites changing the cut line on double up leagues to rake out 12-13% instead of the assumed 10%. I'd be pretty surprised if this went the way of online poker, these sites are based in America and paying taxes, but I do expect regulations to be put in.