TheWei44
-
Posts
580 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by TheWei44
-
-
Having an odd number of regular season games (17) and an odd number of playoff teams per conference is just strange (even putting aside all the other good reasons to have e.g. 16 games per season and 6 playoff teams with 2 getting byes). What other major sports league plays an odd number of games?! I guess the other three main leagues play so many more games, and so it's much easier to have an even number. But still, I find 17 games per season just really strange. It had always been an even number!
-
I have a 13 yr old son too, and we live in Cincinnati but he's a Bills "superfan" - Wears a Bills sweatshirt to school every day in the winter. I have a signed OJ + others football (long story!), a local friend here who went to St Joes and then played hockey at Miami (OH!) generously pulled some strings to get my son a signed Damar jersey - Great stuff!
But I can relate to what you're describing above with your son and family. I have felt guilty myself for my role in passing down the Bills tradition! My son was very, very upset last night, and it was hard to witness as a dad. But some of the bonding moments we've shared have been great too.
My son hasn't wanted to change his fanhood, but if he did, I'd be 100% accepting of it. It's a personal choice and not a life or death choice or one that needs parental involvement. So I'd like to think I'd let him part ways with the Bills and let him root for whichever team he wants to root for (kids don't have a lot of opportunities to make their own choices, so this might be a good opportunity to do so). Just my 2 cents. Good luck and Go Bills!
-
3
-
1
-
2
-
-
33 minutes ago, stevewin said:
This - the amt of key defensive injuries were ridiculous and not something that any amt of roster depth could cover - and it will be lost to history forever. Instead we'll just have bills vs chiefs playoff record, and the stupid Mahomes vs Josh head-head playoff record narrative which is intended to imply Mahomes is better but has nothing to do with how well Josh played
Totally agree with all of this. I'd add bad special teams play as another reason we lost but that was less of a factor than the injuries on D. I expected a close game and was bracing myself for this sort of outcome. Very bummed but I guess it's true that only one team and its fans will be happy in the end. Go Bills and there's always next year!
-
4
-
-
1 hour ago, Sierra Foothills said:
In fairness to Dorsey, if you listen to all of McDermott's comments about Josh Allen through the entirety of last offseason, it's clear that Dorsey was doing what McDermott wanted... to have Josh run less. That's on McDermott.
Joe Brady has done 2 things that Dorsey couldn't that have had a huge difference:
1) He has convinced McDermott that Josh needs to run more.
2) He has gotten Josh back to the level of discipline that he had under Brian Daboll where he's not trying to throw a grand slam home run on every play. Daboll was pretty good at this whereas Dorsey failed to reign in Josh.
Repeating myself yet again but in 2020 Josh completed 69.2% of his passes and threw only 10 INTs. His INT % was 1.7%, the lowest of his career. This year Josh is at 3.1%, the highest since he was a rookie however he's been playing with more discipline lately in the passing game.
Josh will have to be nearly flawless for us to reach the summit.
BTW @JimBob2232, congratulations on getting the Indy job!
https://www.colts.com/team/coaches-roster/jim-bob-cooter
The one thing I'll say re your 1) above is that we were in "playoff mode" with our backs against the wall. That's when we generally loosen the reins on Josh and let him run. So not sure we can credit that change to the coaching change per se. Even if Dorsey stayed on, my guess is that we'd need to allow Josh to run more since we were in survival mode.
-
1
-
-
Offense: Kincaid and Cook
Defense: Oliver and Von (fingers crossed!)
-
A Bills blowout would be nice, but I'm expecting a tight game played by teams that are practically divisional rivals these days. The crowd will make a big difference, and I like how Josh has been handling cover zero, etc. type situations lately. Both Josh and Patty are masters at improvisation but with different styles (Josh will run through people and has a size advantage and Patty is maybe a tad more elusive but he can't break through tackles like Josh can). I expect a slugfest. Probably the wrong game to give up quaaludes!
-
Bills 31 Chiefs 20
-
2
-
-
23 minutes ago, co_springs_billsfan said:
Didn't someone recently say something about a bills player and some yet to be revealed legal issue? Perhaps this is related. First thing I thought of, but obviously there also might be no legal issue for anyone and that's just a rumor
I had the same thought but probably just coincidental (given our need to make roster moves)
-
Just now, GunnerBill said:
He was exceptional tonight.
Agree 100% - That 52-yard run was just sublime. Go Bills!!
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
-
I have a feeling we will destroy them today - Go Bills!!
-
My hunch is game will not get moved from Monday to Tuesday (although wouldn't be shocked if it gets moved) but that the stadium and parking lots will be nowhere close to typical game-ready condition. Field itself will be fine but everything else will be partially ready. Just don't think they'll have enough time (looks to me like lake effect bands will be an issue on and off through tomorrow morning).
-
2 minutes ago, UKBillFan said:
Monday and Tuesday's conditions seem to be similar so I don't get the idea behind pushing it back another day.
Think the only way it's moved to Tuesday is if the stadium isn't cleared in time and/or Steelers can't get to game. The latter seems unlikely but who knows re the former!
-
1
-
-
2 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:
I wonder if they worked out that the two teams winning Monday will play on Sunday next week instead of Saturday…still less rest than the opponent though but it could be worse
Have to assume that's true
-
Offense: Kincaid, Fournette
Defense: Oliver, Floyd
-
3
-
-
I was at the Bills Jets game in Detroit at Ford Field ( with a browns fan!). Great experience. We’d lose home field advantage to some extent fans- wise but that would be my vote if game gets moved. Ironically my daughter is in Ann Arbor this weekend for a high school thing. Go Bills!
-
Bills 24 Steelers 13
-
1
-
-
2 minutes ago, Blackbeard said:
I think the run plays where they send Cook east/west up the line of scrimmage, and then up the sidelines aren't working.
More passes to him in space.
Agreed, he seems to do poorly at times going north/south or east/west - Seems better going more diagonally with quick cuts (and passing to him in space, of course, assuming he can hold on to the ball!).
-
One of many factors in the amazing run is by being in playoff mode, it freed Josh to run more (which seems very natural to him and fires him up). Much harder to defend us when he can run on any down and in any situation.
-
He has shown modest flashes until the last 1-2 games. I think there's still a glimmer of hope for him yet this season. I wouldn't play him a lot but give him a handful of opportunities and see what he does with them.
-
And apologies to folks for bogging down this thread with probability and statistics!! I'm a lowly economist and sometimes can't help myself!! Go Bills!!
-
6 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:
I don’t mean the strict probability numbers…I mean you’re likely gonna have to tip your hand and use some of your prime gameplanning plays you may have been holding onto to for the rematch to pull out a win like this then the other team has another week to prepare for seeing it again. Also to have the best chance Miami would have to rush some of their injured players back and that means one less week of rest for them if we see them again.
so for me it’s not really a ‘well the bills are 45% to lose so that times two is a lower number’ type argument
in a game that’s all about matchups I’m kind of surprised how often people try to bring in probability of random unrelated events type stuff to explain it lol. Not that you’re saying this at all but I’ve seen so many ‘well the law of averages says Miami will win’ type posts 😂
Thanks for the response - I think a lot of what you're saying cuts both ways (e.g., tipping your hand re prime plays) and I was making the huge simplifying assumption of treating the two as independent events. But point well taken and agreed!!
-
2 minutes ago, Rew said:
That's true for independent events. However, playing the same team twice (especially back to back) are not independent events. Play calling, gameplan, player familiarity, on field drama all play into a rematch. You can argue the extent of the real world factors, but you can't simply treat them as dice rolls.
Agreed, I was treating them as independent events. But I think you'd need a strong basis to assume that they can't be approximately treated as independent. That is, how does the very recent game specifically impact the next game?
-
7 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:
Odds of beating any opponent twice in a row no matter who the teams are is pretty bad and then you factor in bills have success against Miami much more often than not and it gets very unlikely
This is a bit of the "gambler's fallacy": Just because roulette wheel was just on black, it's human nature to think it is more likely to be red next spin. That's not true. It's only when looking back and seeing 2 or 5 black spins in a row can we say how unlikely it was for so many blacks to occur in a row.
So if each game is roughly 50/50, we could beat Miami once and feel that it's less likely we beat them again next week (disregarding that we wouldn't play them if we win). But if the second game were also roughly 50/50, those same odds apply to the second game. No reason for the odds to change. We can look back and say, wow, we beat Miami twice in a row and the odds of that happening are 50%*50% or 25%.
-
Free rolling tonight (to use a poker analogy)!! Go Bills!!
Please pray for my wife
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
We'll include you and your family in our nightly prayers. So sorry that you're having to go through this.