Sammy Watkins' Rib

We need a KC loss a bit more. Looking ahead to the MNF @ the Bengals, that game might be the first all season that the Bills aren't favored. Could see it being a pick em. If the #1 seed is the goal Bills are going to need all the help they can get if they still have one more loss somewhere on the schedule. Miami could still lose again to really anyone left on their schedule so I could still see two more losses for them after this week.

Gabe has not met expectations. But those expectations were also sky high. Gabe has been a proven big time player for this team in the postseason. Both his rookie year and last year. We likely don't win the Colts WC game without the two clutch catches he makes before halftime on that TD drive. I'm confident Gabe can step up again as he always has. Unfortunately he might not be that #1 WR in waiting that we thought he could be. On the plus side, I think many of us thought Diggs was entering the downside of his career after coming off a 127 reception 1,500 yard season he dropped all the way down to 102 receptions 1,200 yards in a season with one extra game than the previous year. But now he is on pace to shatter his per game averages from that 1,500 yard 16 game season.

Are you saying Peyton’s arm got destroyed when he took off running? What bad luck. The one rush he had he gets his arm ripped to shreds. I’ll continue to worry about the hits Allen takes in the pocket with his arm in awkward angles over ones he can brace himself for on the run. Allen might tear his ankle, leg or knee up one of these days on a run. He plays long enough it will happen, not a question of if. But a lower body injury to Allen won’t be career ending. Worst case scenario he’ll perform like prime Big Ben. A hobbled Allen in terms of his running ability would still be Big Ben’s best running ability.

Luck never made the secondary reaction plays that Allen and Mahomes make regularly. And while an athlete he is still a good tier below the top athletes at the position like Allen. But he is a pretty good comp. Big physical pocket QB with a good arm. I'd argue Luck was beat up in the pocket and that is why he gave up on football not because he ran too much and his arm talent decreased. He still had an arm when he retired young. His heart just wasn't in the game. Allen seems to be cut from a different mold mentally. I stand by the statement that Allen won't have a career altering injury to his arm from running the football. I don't by the Allen and Newton injury comps. If Allen has a career altering injury to his arm it will be from hits behind the line of scrimmage when he is a passer. He's already had three arm injuries in such situations. In today's game I would also be more worried about concussions.

Allen already is a pocket passer. Their is no adaptation needed. The running ability is just a bonus. Also, there is no comp for Allen. Newton, Big Ben, Favre , Elway, Young, Mahomes he has a bit of all of their abilities making him truly unique.

He's been better than top 10 these last three seasons. He's been top 3 in two of them. If he can be top 3 three in one more season beyond this one, I think he's a lock. That would be three career first team all-pros.

So odds are very good that Diggs will get his second first team all pro selection this year if they name three WR's like they have been. And whether it takes him 3 more seasons or 6 more seasons odds are very good he will surpass 1,000 career receptions. The list of players with 2+ first team all pros and 1,000+ career receptions are: Jerry Rice 10- 1st TM 1,549 receptions Terrell Ownes 5- 1st TM 1,078 receptions Marvin Harrison 3- 1st TM 1,102 receptions Chris Carter 2- 1st TM 1,101 receptions Andre Johnson 2- 1st TM 1,062 receptions Steve Smith Sr. 2- 1st TM 1,031 receptions Only Johnson and Smith Sr. are not in the HOF. But both are selection candidates. Time will tell if either gets in. What is hard for me to sort out is the AP hasn't always picked three WR's for first team all pro but it seems to be a trend that has started in the last 10 years or so. That may move the target to 3 first team all pro selections rather than just 2. And obviously with the increased passing game over the last 20 years and extra game we may see the new target of receptions move to 1,100 or so as the minimum. Both are still very achievable for Diggs, 3 first team all-pros and 1,100 receptions. Not shocking at all. Steve Smith's first year of eligibility was last year. No way was he going to be a first ballot guy. He might get in this year. Probably not. Most receivers have to wait 5+ years or so.

3 receptions per game under each OC

Wait, it is a thing? LOL

Really might only be 4 more years. Even if we take out 1 game per season starting last year to account for the extra game Diggs should easily surpass 1,000 career receptions in just 4 more seasons. The list of players all time to have 1,000+ receptions is only 14 players long and all are HOFers or guys that are continually up for the HOF. He should end up with around 720 career receptions after this season. So over 4 years he would only need 70 receptions per year to reach 1,000 career receptions. The last three seasons he's probably averaging something like 115+ receptions per year.

Add A weight problem

But does New England and BB have a plan for obtaining that #1 WR? Who is the free agent or trade target for the off-season? Or do they plan on drafting the next Moss, Jefferson or Chase? I agree that in today's NFL you have to give a QB that one elite pass catching threat.

I was looking at the Jets schedule and I'm not sure I see them winning enough down the stretch to make the playoffs. These next two week will be crucial for them. They could quickly find themselves with 6 losses with 4 games to go. Miami has the tougher schedule left of the two teams, but they have a couple of advantages. The biggest being that they are the better team. And the second advantage is that they have breathing room to lose one more game. I see the Bagnals winning the North. Ravens could also be a team that finishes the season with 7 losses. That could possibly help a team like the Jets in a three way tie for the final wild card spot. IF I had to take a guess I would say the following teams make it: Bills Chiefs Dolphins Titans Bengals Chargers Last spot comes down to Jets, Ravens and one of the five teams currently with 7 losses. One of them will go on a run to end the season.

Definitely a bad night for his hands. Cook had a great game. But was it just me or did it seem like every catch Cook made he hesitated a bit too much after catching the ball. He acted like there was defender immediately about to crash down on him when there almost never was. Instead of a bit of hesitation it seemed like every time the better play would have been to just turn and go straight down field quickly.

Tight End is one of those positions where teams seem willing to overpay. The Pats greatly overpaid both Jonu Smith and Hunter Henry.

You know you could do this for every single player that the Bills sent out on a pass route more than 10 times. If an offense is not designing multiple players open on most plays, there is something wrong. And really with these still frames we can't tell where the back defender is and how they are closing if at all. For example, the last one is a catch but short of first down yardage if a defender closes on him. Knox is who he has always been in this offense. Why expect more? Is it just the contract? I would like to see Allen spread it around a little more. I think that is the only edge that Mahomes has over Allen currently. But then again, Diggs is so ridiculously good it is easy to see why he forces it to him a lot.

He's getting exactly as many receptions per game as last year. We are getting what we paid for. Unless we paid for potential.

There is a reason why the QB's make twice as much money. Jefferson is probably the closest thing to a non QB MVP. .3 yards from the sideline when he jumped in the air. Pretty sure he was well over the sideline by the time the ball left his hand.

Pretty confident Allen will have about 10 straight seasons of 25+ passing and 5+ rushing TD's.

First team all-pro is going to be a tight race this year between Diggs, Jefferson and Hill. Can't recall if they give out three first team places to WR's now or not. If they do then it's an easy no brainer. Those are your three first team all pro WR's. If it is only two then all bets are off. I'd probably think Jefferson gets one spot for sure and the other is between Hill and Diggs.

100% Given what we have seen from Allen and Tua in their respective year 3 break outs I am weary on giving up on a QB before year 3 but the fact that Mac Jones really doesn't do anything at all at a high level would make me not hesitate to move off of him after year 2. He's regressed quite a bit since the first half of his rookie season.

Hey, Mac Jones ran for like 100 yards at least behind the LOS. Honestly, I didn't think this was even a great game by our defense. They simply weren't challenged at all by the Pats offense. If Greg Cossell says the Bills offense lacks elite players or whatever, good God what does he think of the Patriots offense? For the Bills offense, it was nice that we found our running game but it still seems like the only thing that can stop the Bills offense is the Bills. Allen had the fumble and Diggs had an uncharacteristic drop on 3rd down

Yes. But he may have to wait 5-10 years like most HOF WR's.

Perhaps. Also, may have been uncatchable as well as it looked to go pretty far to the sideline. It definitely should have been thrown with more air under it and in front of Davis. Poor throw that Allen would have liked to have back.