Sammy Watkins' Rib

With that being the case, doesn't it make more sense to fire a Super Bowl winning coach if he doesn't deliver another within a few seasons rather than hold onto him? Maybe the Eagles are onto something? Does it revitalize and refocus a team with new energy? Or is it just random luck? Obviously the sample size is small right now. And what is Sirianni's fate? Will he be fired in a couple seasons if they do not win a Super Bowl? Or fired a few seasons after having won a Super Bowl if they don't win another? Is the goal to find the next Andy Reid (KC Reid not Philly Reid) or Bill Belicheck? I think those are the only two active coaches that even have multiple Super Bowl rings. And then hold onto them forever? Or should teams forever be content with the Tomlin's and Harbaugh's? Yet here we are, and folks want to hold onto McDermott who has been here for 7 years now, six with Allen and has yet to even get to a Super Bowl. Based on actual history, an argument could be made that even if all the dominoes fell right and McDermott and the Bills won a Super Bowl in 2020, if the Bills don't get back to the Super Bowl this year he should be fired. Well said. My exact feelings as well. It will be McDermott's greatest coaching job ever if he can get this current squad to the playoffs with the upcoming schedule the Bills have. Assuming a 4-2 finish or better is what is needed to get us there and not 3-3 because some other teams implode.

Really? I would think 5,000 passing yards is a bigger stretch than 50 TD's. He's on pace for his 4th straight 40+ TD season. If anyone playing football today can put up 50+ TD's in a season it would be him.

His ceiling is 6,000 total yards and 60 TD's in the new 17 game season. So no, he has not reached his ceiling. Will he reach it? Not sure, but it will be something to behold if he does.

Of course it is. there are not a lot of coaches with multiple Super Bowl rings so it is much more common to hold on to them past their sell by dates. not sure if the Eagles are on to something or not. We will see how long Sirianni lasts.

Actually, as Chaos pointed out he could be fired just like Pederson was. You don’t have to hold onto a coach even if they win a Super Bowl. But yes, I would be fine with holding onto McDermott far past his sell by date if he brings us a Super Bowl this year.

We will probably see something like the OP suggests if the Eagles offense is at the one yard line in a tight playoff game or Super Bowl. Or maybe at the very end of an important regular seaon game. Eventually someone will try it. but I don’t see defenses going all out to stop it personnel wise in a two score game in the regular season or the first half of a regular season game .

agreed. realistically the Steelers don’t have any games they “should win”. Every game for them is a 50-50 toss up. and yes, that includes playing the Bengals back up quarterback twice. We will see if their luck continues to be on their side. I have a bad feeling our seasons, going to come down to the bills, needing to beat the Dolphins and the Raiders needing to beat the Broncos in the final week. That’s for the wild card scenario. but if the dolphins can lose enough games, hopefully beating the dolphins in the final week means the bills win the division.

i’ve had theChargers game penciled in as a loss for a while now. That game won’t be easy. Chargers are in pretty much every game they play. They just blow half of them at the end. I actually have the chargers as one of our five tough games remaining so really not a big deal in my opinion if we lose to them. As long as we still go three and two in those 5 tough games. billsy would be getting swept by the Patriots this year.

Just me or did that introduction seem staged? Coach is on the hot seat, and he gets an easy layup question like that to remind everyone where his heart is. So, touching.

Steelers have been outgained in every game they have played this year. Technically, every game on their schedule could be a loss. Texans have won three straight one score games. Two of them coming down to heroic last second wins. And two of the games were against below average teams. What I see as a real problem is the Broncos are starting to come on. Had the Bills beaten the Broncos we would gladly take their help these next two games as the Broncos play the Browns and then the Texans. But if they win both they are suddenly sitting at 7-5 with a final stretch of Chargers x2, Lions, Patriots, Raiders. Could see them getting to 10-7 in that scenario. The year the Bills broke the playoff drought in 2017, they actually won a wild card tie breaker over the Chargers who actually beat the Bills soundly in the regular season that year. But because more than two teams were tied for the last spot, the head to head was not a factor. Bills either won on common games or conference record. Or Chargers may have been eliminated inside own division first, not sure.

I'd see him landing in Miami or Philly.

I side with FireCHans on this bet. I totally agree that Allen would be deserving of top 3 tied with like 3 other players in odds. But the NFL narratives that get built up are harder to change. Now Bills beat the Eagles and the Chiefs in back to back games. Almost wouldn't matter what Allen's stats look like in those two games. He'd probably find himself top 3 in voting. He's 10th right now on Bovada at +3500, tied with Tyreek Hill. The top 3 is all pretty close with Hurts, Jackson and Mahomes each at +250, +350 and +375 respectively. I'd say he would about half his odds and land somewhere around +1600 / +1800 with a win against the Eagles. One of the impressive things about Allen this year that hasn't been talked about too much is the number of sacks he has taken and yards lost from sacks. He is near the league bottom in sacks taken and yards lost/sack. Remember those days of Allen taking 20 yard sacks?

His team is like 5-1 without him now. If there is an MVP WR it is definitely Tyreek over Jefferson.

I’d bump him down to 89 purely due to the stupid number he currently wears.

I agree with changing defensive PI from a spot foul to a 15 yard penalty. my caveat would be if the penalty takes place in the end zone make the enforcement be first and goal from the 10 If the original spot was at the 20 yard line or beyond. and make the enforcement have to distance to the goal if it’s inside the 20. your other suggestions can’t really be changed as they’re all just judgment calls. NFL can change enforcement, but there’s not much they can do when it comes to judgment calls. moving illegal contact from 5 yards to 10 yards doesn’t really fix anything. It just means all the calls everyone complains about will happen around the 10 yard line instead of around the five.

I didn’t go through them all in depth, but from what I saw pretty much all the TE’s averaging over 10 yards per catch had significantly less catch and target volume. TE’s averaging over 10 yards per reception are hauling in about four catches per game. Dalton is getting 6.5 catches per game. Maybe reduce his catch volume and his yards per catch will increase? I don’t think 9.3 yards per catch is bad at all. specially when he has one of the highest catch rates in the league. it seems you’re asking him to bring in about 110 catches on the year at 12 yards per catch. That’d be great but it also would basically make him the de facto number one tight end in the game. He doesn’t have to take over the title, of greatest TE in the game just yet.

He actually needs to average exactly what he has averaged these last five games, which is 63 ypg. You may be right, but he has shown thus far that he can average those numbers over 5 games to get to 800 yards. Let's see if he can do it for another six. His YPC is fine as well considering his target and reception volume. Pretty much all the TE's well over 10.0 ypc are guys on pace for 60-75 receptions on the season. Much lower volume than what Dalton has been getting fed over the last five games. Over this five-game stretch where Dalton has broken out, he's on a 115-catch pace through a full season. His pace is actually almost identical to TJ Hockenson's season stats through 11 games. Hockenson has a 9.8 avg and on pace for 115 catches for the season. Dalton has a 9.3 avg through this five-game stretch.

Good. Because anyone who tells you differently is a liar.

One of my favorite records that he annually breaks. I think he’s been setting this record each year since 2021. he’s also well on his way to his fourth straight 40+ touchdown season. do any other quarterbacks even have three straight such seasons?

We also need to face the reality that the Bills defense was owned in all three meetings against the Bengals as well dating back to the Hamlin game. Given how the two most recent meetings went I absolutely believe the Bills were well on their way to giving up a second TD to start that game before Hamlin went down. So that is three straight games against the Bengals that all started TD, TD for their offense. That is unacceptable. On top of that it has always felt like the Bengals could get meaningful yards and a scoring drive whenever they really needed it. The drives they wouldn't get points were more about their own miscues rather than the Bills D forcing them into bad situations. Bengals are an all-around bad match up for the Bills right now for whatever reason.

They are an odd book to say the least. They have Joe Burrow, Kirk Cousins and Rodgers all still listed. Them and one other book. The other books don't even have those guys on the board as available wagers.

Agree with everything except Bills needing to a win a playoff game. If the Bills don't win the division, making the playoffs will likely mean the 7 seed and matching up with KC or Baltimore on the road. In that scenario I would be okay with a loss as long as it is competitive. Just to make the playoffs they are going to have to go 3-2 or better against some quality teams down the stretch.

What the heck book is that? Not what I see on Bovada. I see him tied with Goff at +3500. And ahead of Hill at +5,000. Don't see Rodgers anywhere.

To be fair I can't really think of anyone worthy of the MVP this year. At least not like in years past when there was always at least one guy that seemed like an obvious choice. We could have our weakest MVP winner in a longtime. Allen has the good stats. He and the Bills just need to start winning. Finishing 6-1 and wins over Hurts, Mahomes and Tua again would probably cement it.

Cool breakdown. So, at a final record of 10-7 the Bills have a 65% chance of making the playoffs. With the most likely way of making it being winning the division (38%) and wild card seed 6 or 7 combining for 27%.