Sammy Watkins' Rib

This is what I was thinking as well. Teams and GM's in general do not value TE's, Guards and RB's in the 1st round like they do CB's, OT, WR's and DE's. By that fact alone, we can conclude that drafting a TE in the first round would be overvaluing the position just based on the traditional line of thinking of GM's. But of course that is not to say an elite TE is not worth the pick in the first round if there happens to be one. Hindsight is 20/20 but we should have seen the Manuel bust coming. I can't think of another time in NFL draft history that a team traded BACK too get their franchise QB. That definitely should have been a warning sign.

Yeah the game has evolved. I do think it is likely modern day players have increased their accuracy over other generations but i also think play scheming and rule changes have probably had a larger effect on the higher completion percentages we see today. The big takeaway is where a player ranks among his peers. Kelly was top 10 for his era. Allen was dead last in his first season and might remain in the bottom third of NFL quarter backs for most of his career as Cam has up till last year when he surprisingly cracked the top 10 in completion percentage.

Problem is, i don't know this for a fact, but I am pretty sure 59-60% completion in the mid to late 80's was probably average for an NFL QB. 58-59% is below average for NFL quarterbacks today. Especially ones considered to be franchise QB's. That is why I think Cam Newton is the best comp. Edit: Check out the link. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/1986/passing.htm In the 1986 season, a 59.4% completion percentage by Jim Kelly was good enough to make him the 7th most accurate passer that year. In 2018 that percentage would have had him fourth from last only ahead of the rookies Allen, Rosen and Darnold. Some dude named Eric Hipple lead the league in '86 at 63.0%. That would have ranked 25th in 2018.

Yep. With that athletic ability, and if he can avoid the sacks and turnovers like he did in his final six games and take advantage of speed guys like Foster it is possible 58% completion will be good enough to make him a franchise QB.

i thought he was still trending towards bust until he came from his injury. But his improvement when he came back was remarkable. The game slowed down for him. He wasn't taking sacks left and right like he was before the injury. He realized how gifted he was athletically. And he cut down on the turnovers. Add in personnel improvements across the board on offense and a full season with Robert Foster and you can definitely project improvement in year two.

My take has always been that Allen will end up averaging around 58-59% completion most seasons. And that will be just fine. While that number is far lower than your typical QB in today's game, Allen does offer a lot of other traits that your typical QB does not. Some years 58-59% completion might not be enough to get us to the playoffs. Other years, 58-59% completion could put him in the MVP race. There really isn't a better comp for Allen right now than Cam Newton.

And if anything I would have to give Allen the slight edge of Darnold given that Allen improved significantly from his first six games to his last six games after injury. If we project Allen to play more similarly to his last six games he will be much improved over all next season. Darnold was more evenly up and down from start to finish.

This could be it too. Not everyone player likes the hustle and bustle of the big cities. Lineman typically like to keep a low profile and if money is similar than a place like Buffalo it perfect. And the winter weather in Buffalo and New York City is comparable so that is not a big deal breaker either.

I really like Fitz. I can route for him on the Dolphins. But I couldn't route for him on the Jets. The Jet's are the team in our division I despise the most. Even more than the Cheaters. Beating Fitz and the Jets twice in Rex's first year, including knocking them out of the playoffs, was almost worth the Rex signing alone but not quite. And the following year was just stupid.

It was a joke. But he does fall under the overrated category for me. That is overrated only when people talk about him as a future HOFer. And not that posters here have specifically referred to him as such here but you do here it in the media from some. Shave off the golden lock's and put up the same numbers on our Bills or any other team that is not the Cowboys, Steelers, Patriots, or any other media darling and I don't think he ever seriously enters the conversation. Great player for a couple season's back in the day and nice career? Yes. HOFer? Not for me, unless he can finish his career with a couple more 10+ sack seasons.

Just make the appointment. USC.

Perhaps. I don't remember Hunt's exact denial of the truth, but didn't he deny anything happening at all at the hotel? Hunt would have been much better off telling the complete truth in his case since the incident was as mild as it gets in terms of an assault on a person. If Hill has a good attorney he could confess that somethings happened but that he didn't break the kids arm. Or at least not intentionally. Also, there might not be a security camera in Hill's case.

If I recall correctly though now, part of the narrative from the Chiefs as to why they released Hunt was that he lied to the Chiefs about the incident in the hotel room. So I guess technically, the Chiefs could say they released Hunt because he lied to them, not because of the assault. Of course that wouldn't exactly be a good look for the Chiefs either. Caring more about a players words and lies over the players physical actions.

Hunt was never charged with anything. He still ended up released by the Chiefs and now serving an 8 game suspension. And judging by the video we all saw I'm not sure Hunt even caused anyone to bruise. Hill on the other hand may have broken his kids arm. But WR is not any easily replaceable position so I would expect the Cheifs to do their best to spin this differently than the Hunt case.

Yeah but he doesn't play the dime a dozen position.

I think what the OP is missing is the potential upside to keeping Zay for the 2019 season vs the upside of not keeping him for the this season. I don't see any great benefit to releasing him. On the flip side, this will be Zay's 3rd year. Some receivers are known for the light finally going off in their 3rd year and production going up. Couple that with it being Zay's second year in the same system with the same QB and you could see why there is a chance for greater upside. I also recall a couple of big plays left on the field last year where Zay was running wide open but Allen missed him because Allen was a rookie. We might hit on those this year.

Same here. Woods, Goodwin, Hogan all three should have been retained. Or at least a good case could be made for keeping all three. I know you can't keep everybody. Oddly enough, it's Watkins, the most talented of all of them that still hasn't bested his years in Buffalo on either of his new teams since leaving.

Whaley built a playoff team but that was it. Beane is trying to build a perennial playoff team. He's found the biggest piece of the puzzle in the QB, at least we think and hope. How these other pieces fit could be the difference.

No brainer i know, but Beane's success will hinge on the success of Allen. Allen looks like a Franchise QB in the making so so far so good.

I'd argue our pass rush has been below average to bad for the last two seasons now. If someone told me the lack of pass rush was a massive hole I wouldn't argue with that. Whether that means going after an elite pass rushing DE or DT, doesn't matter to me but we should be looking for someone that can create that pressure consistently. Like the OP, I feel a trade up is a more likely than a trade back. But you never know.

This guy had multiple huge returns against us in our loss to the Jets last year didn't he? Heck, even if he doesn't do much for us, that could mean one more W in the win column just by the fact that we don't have to face him twice. Ray Ray showed so much promise last pre-season with Allen. I want to see what he can do again this year.

Dude was the #4 WR on the Chargers behind Allen, Williams and Benjamin, never lived up to expectations and now he is going to get paid like a low level #1. Crazy. Certainly hope we don't get involved.

Assuming Allen continues down the path of becoming a franchise QB for years to come then his selection is by far Beane's greatest achievement.

I'd be good going this route. BPA in the first. WR rounds 2 and 3.

Shouldn't one confirm the player is on board before reporting a trade. Especially a player known to be as big a headcase as AB? He doesn't want to play with a HOF QB still playing at a high level of course he is going to veto a trade sending him to play for a team with a young QB that is still learning the game.