Sammy Watkins' Rib

The problem is the ages of both Beasley and Brown. I think we're playing with fire if we don't bring in one more WR. The question is how much do we spend on one. If Beane and Daboll think Davis and/or McKenzie can take a giant leap forward in production then I think we can get buy with a very low level replacement. If not then we need to probably look to bring in a guy for $8-10 million a year. I like Agohlor over Samuel. I think Nelson Agohlor will be a couple million per year cheaper and he is a more proven true WR that could possibly replace both Brown or Beasley if needed. I see him having a career year in Buffalo if we sign him which would put his numbers around 1,000 yards and 10Tds. If we want a Samuel like player on a cheap contract we can hope to draft Kadarius Toney from Florida if he is available. And I will get a lot of flack for this one but I would kick the tires on brining Sammy back on a bottom barrel contract. Nothing over 4-5 million per year. If Agohlor played on a $1million contract last year ask if Sammy will. Worst that happens is he says no. Somehow Sammy had his best statistical years in Buffalo under Rex Ryan's ground and pound attack with EJ Manuel and Tyrod Taylor. I know he'll be looking for more like $8-10 million per year but good luck with his injury history and lack of production when healthy.

Only realistic possibilities IMO are the Jets and Dolphins with one of their second first rounder picks. Not a lot of teams are in need of RB's this year. Especially from about pick 15 and beyond. The Steelers are one but I don't think they can afford to take one in the first round. I expect either Ettiene or Harris to be there at 30. One of the two will probably land with the Jets or Dolphins before the Bills pick.

So Stafford has actually been with the Lions for 12 years. There is a huge difference between 4 years (Watson) and 12 years (Stafford). Not saying he has to wait as long as Stafford did but Watson just signed a contract extension last year. Even if he waits half as long as Stafford that only puts him at year 6.

You have to factor in the loss value of a lost year of his prime. Any new team that trades for him will now get one less year of his prime. They also lose the benefit of Watson being on a cheaper contract next season. His cap hit really ramps up starting in 2022. Comparing the Stafford and Watson situation is comparing apples to oranges. Stafford had been with the team for a decade and it was clear both parties needed to move on for the betterment of all. The Texans and Watson are in a completely different relationship stage.

Yeah. And even if he sits the entire year, I don't know that his price tag drops substantially going into next off-season. Maybe down one first round pick in value? From 4 to 3 or from 3 to 2. That's a risk I would take if it means possibly mending the relationship for the long-term.

And that's the right move by them. We'll see how it ultimately shakes out. Unless someone offers an absolutely ridiculous return I'd just take it up to the opening kick and re-evaluate from there. Of course if Watson misses all of training camp and pre-season that's not a good sign. But my money is on him showing up for training camp. We'll see. It's definitely not superstition or even over rated. As I said, it is greatly complicated this year because the Jets and Dolphins both have a need for a QB and are by far the most draft capital rich teams in the league. Very unique off-season in that regard. But I don't exactly believe the Jets would be willing to give up 4 1st round picks if one of them is the #2 overall. That is a lot even for Watson.

I agree. But the only caveat is that if you trade with the Jets you could potentially get the 2nd overall pick. That could be a big deal if the Texans have a franchise QB grade on any of the QB's after Lawerence. But I'm not sure the Jets would trade 4 first round picks with one of them being the #2 overall pick. If I am the Jets I would say if you want the #2 overall included then the price is just 3 # 1's.

First thing I thought of as well.

That trade was only one of many that highlighted teams desires to trade players or picks out of the conference rather than in the conference. Vikings and Diggs to the Bills Raiders and Mack to the Bears Raiders and Cooper to the Cowboys Patriots and Jimmy G to the 49ers Eagles and Wentz to the Colts Jets and Adams to the Seahawks The preference is to always trade a player out of conference. That said, this year presents a very unique situation because by far the two most draft capital rich teams for 2021 and 2022 are both in the AFC East. I can see the theory being put to test but I'd still wager he ends up in the NFC. Otherwise, it probably will take 4 first rounders to send him to the Jets or Dolphins.

I agree. Teams are afraid to trade WR's inside the conference. Multiply that fear by 10 when it comes to the QB position. Trade a QB out of conference and you only see them once every four years. Inside the conference and it's once every three years at minimum and possibly every year for a sequence of a few years and possibly the playoffs. It's a really hard pill to swallow.

Also, the way to beat the Chiefs defense is utilizing the RB's and TE's in the passing game. The Chiefs defensive personnel and scheme is designed perfectly to shut down WR's in the passing game. Allen had two of his worst games of the year against the Chiefs defense because our offense runs through our WR's. Not our RB's or TE's. Now the question is, will that still hold true about the Chiefs defense in 2021 or will they have personnel and scheme changes?

I agree that the Dolphins and Jets are the two most likely teams for the top two RB's in this years draft. Because of clear need and also largely because they each have so many extra picks they can afford to spend one on an elite player at a devalued position. Of course that could change if one of the two end up trading all of their picks away for #4 in Houston. If Etienne and Harris are as special as some think they are I'd be pretty tempted to take one of them at #30. Hard pill to swallow though with 2 young RB's already on the roster and taken on day two in back to back years. We will have a much clearer picture to our draft board once we get our free agents signed.

No Nelson Agohlor? I rather have Aghohlor over Hilton. 3 years younger and coming off a career year whereas Hilton is comin off back to back down years. Take him over Marvin Jones too.

Lombardi is a great choice since he is a former GM. I guess we know why he is a former GM. I mean he got things wrong on multiple fronts too. He overvalued the Bills defense which took a big nose dive this year. Their top ranking last year was a bit of fools gold because of the terrible offenses the Bills faced. And of course he didn't see the massive improvement in Allen from year 1 to year 2. Even if Allen's year three jump would have been much smaller he would have still been in the running with this take.

We get Tennessee and KC again. Win both this time and we will be ready to roll in the playoffs. I don't think we are a 'young team' anymore. Even if we have some young players, for most all of them it will be their third consecutive year in the playoffs. And that includes a deep postseason run. Even the young guys are playing like veterans at that point.

The red charging buffalo helmet is the best looking helmet in football IMO. And for me it's not even close. Surprised so many seem against them.

And their style of play is responsible for a good number of those. Wilson admitted as much the other day in his interview. Talked about buying more time to let the deep routes come open so he can make a play down the field. So if we want to erase some of his sacks from the statistics we will also have to take off a number of his big plays and TD's as well.

The biggest take-away is that the Chiefs are not this infallible team most of us thought they were. And if we consider the big picture, they will likely only be more fallible in the coming years. The Chiefs team of the last three years will very likely go down as one of the more talented teams Mahomes will ever have played with for his career. And that's on both sides of the ball. It is hard to envision the talent around Mahomes getting better than what he has had around him thus far. Even matching the talent level will be an uphill task for the GM. Mahomes will be fine in the long run. But I would expect him to have to really work for it more often in the common years like we saw in this past Super Bowl.

For those hoping for either Harris or Ettine to be on the board at 30 I think there is a really good chance. Between picks 14 and 30 there's really only three teams that would be interested. Jets, Dolphins and Steelers.

It's crazy. About 8 years ago many of us thought, hey at least Brady only has a couple years left in him before he falls off a cliff. He's running out of time we thought.

He's going to play till 46-48 easily. That is insane. I mean if he gets to 48 he might as well as gut it out for two more years to play at 50.

You also have to attack KC's offense with RB's and TE's though. That is the way to move the ball against them. Now the thing is, I don't know what defensive pieces KC might lose this offseason. And I think by now every offensive coordinator knows to attack KC with TE's and RB's so I would expect the Chiefs to make drastic scheme and personnel changes in their defense heading into 2021. We played KC twice and both times had very poor offensive showings because we attack primarily with our WR's. That is exactly what KC want's us to do.

Only if Kadarius Toney is not on the board. I don't love that we seem to be in this position that we have to draft a RB high now after two consecutive years of drafting one on day 2. I rather use #30 on a different position. I got to think there has to be a free agent we can plug in for cheap.

I'm excited for the future but concerned that thus far we are an ugly 0-2 in figuring out how to beat the Chiefs as currently constructed on either side of the ball. All the trends I see can point to the Bills and Allen not having yet peaked where as the Chiefs and Mahomes have peaked. But trends don't go on forever so we'll see what actually materializes in 2021.

Happy, your last sentence is perfect. I've been trying to get that point across to NewEra and he just keeps coming back with Mahomes >>>>Allen nonsense. I'd sign on to Mahomes career achievements >>>> Allen's. But the QB's entering the 2021 season? That gap is very small.