Sammy Watkins' Rib

Let’s hope not regarding the RB’s. Sony Michel was one of BB’s worst picks. Damien Harris looks better and was drafted in the 3rd round.

I do hope the media makes a big stink about Allen leading the league in both total Td’s and total yards should he achieve that feat. It could happen as soon as this Sunday too. I’m almost certain if he led the league in passing yards and passing TD’s he would be talked about as an MVP candidate. But for some reason the media has been slow to recognize total yards and total TDs for QB’s.

His run game is better than Allen’s. Allens is that bad as you noted. It puts more unneeded pressure on a QB then one should have. I honestly didn’t realize they were not as good as last year. Never looked the numbers up until now. Assumed they were around the same. Every time I tune into the Packers they seem to be running well. But again, the numbers are a bit skewed. Rodgers isn’t really running at all this year so their rankings are several spots better than where they are when just taking into account non QB rushing yards and averages. But yeah still not as good as last year.

you are correct they’re not as efficient as last year. But some of those numbers are still misleading. We’re talking about the value of running backs in the running game correct? So look at the bills for instance. they rank 11th but Josh Allen accounts for 41 of the 120 yards per game rushing the bills get on the ground. So take away Allen and the bills are only putting up 80 yards per game on the ground. Compare that to green bay where Rogers is rushing for a career low 6 yards per game. Their 21st in the league ranking has them at 106 yards per game. But they are getting nearly all of those yards, 100 of them in fact, from just the running backs. No doubt though they’re not as good this year. So you may be correct about the line. But I guess my overall point is Rogers benefits from a better running game two years in a row now. Just not as great a benefit this year.

Yes it was. People were in a riot when they let it happen twice. And then the Colts game I’m sure everyone was thinking oh boy here we go.

Your RB comment is kind of strange. Not as good as their blockers? Okay. Well the RB’s are pretty good so that means the blockers must be doing their job too right? I agree with everything else but definitely Rodgers benefits from a strong running game. Two straight years in fact.

Herbert threw a jump ball about 50 yards that was caught around the 3 yard line or so.

yep. They finally learned after giving up two Hail Marys to Murray and Herbert. This one didn’t matter because of the score but hopefully they haven’t forgotten the right play.

Unfortunately the price is higher now and depending on how he is used in the playoffs it could be significantly higher. I'd use him sparingly these last two games. No reason to tip our hand going into the playoffs. It's clear this McKenzie doesn't need many game reps prior to being thrust into a leading role.

This is the real answer to the question. People need to start to realize this is not the 2006 JP Losman Bills or the 2011 Ryan Fitzpatrick Bills or the 2016 Tyrod Taylor Bills. Josh Allen has a right to the claim to the title of best QB in the NFL as much as any other top QB in the league. Spend the money on the line and the defense and make sure we have at least one elite WR and the Bills will be good. Cole Beasley became an all pro playing with Allen. McKenzie has played two meaning full games in two years with Allen and he'd make the HOF based on his averages for those games. The constant is Allen. I'll be interested to see if we unleash McKenzie in the playoffs. Teams really don't have a lot of game film on him. I'd send him back to the bench for the final two games and try to get Beasley going again after his absence.

Yep I recall that one against the Jets too. I think his rookie year but not positive. But it was definitely against the Jets.

Honorable mention his rookie year turning Kiko Alonso totally around and using him as a lead blocker. So many great runs for Allen over the last four years. I think the next one on the bucket list for Allen is breaking a 50 yard touchdown. He’s been closed a couple times if he just gets maybe one more block. Or if he can bust through on a quarterback sneak which he has come close to a couple times as well. Hard to say if this most recent run against the patriots or the one from 2019 against the Cowboys is his best. But those are definitely number one and number two for me.

I think you are miss understanding my post. I am saying it was a great game by Allen and that the 104 passer rating only indicates a good game by Allen where as the 85 QBR grade is closer to that great range. This las game is an example of QBR being a more accurate grade of performance than passer rating.

True. But also take into account the 104 pass rating for Allen. The 85 QBR was a better indicator of the game Allen actually played. You look at the 104 Passer rating and you say well he was good but not great.

Historically, the #1 seed and wins are exactly what makes a QB the MVP. Allen is deserving but he has an uphill better. He needs to finish with 8+ TD’s over two games. He’s got a chance.

1. wins 2. efficiency I guarantee Allen would be the favorite by far if the bills were sitting on only four losses and leading the AFC conference. Win loss record and having the number one seed in your respective conference is the largest factor in MVP for quarterbacks. Secondary is the stats which can be broken down to favor whatever argument you want to make. Rogers is always the efficiency king. So he always has that in his back pocket. But, Allen having a legit shot to lead the league in both total touchdowns and total yards this year? I don’t think that should be overlooked. And now that the bills are at least on pace to win the AFC East again. I do think he has a shot. He probably needs to finish the season with eight touchdowns over the next two games. Certainly not impossible for Allen.

I have a feeling we will find more room now that teams have to take into account the boot leg option.

Regarding #5... What is Trent Murphy up to these days. I'm half serious. Our defensive ends crashing down and not keeping contain on I think two consecutive running plays that broke for big yardage. Bring him in for the playoffs. You know we are going to play the Pats and/or Colts again in the playoffs at some point.

do you have actual data to back that statement up? Other than just posting a couple stat lines like the OP? I’m not trying to be rude I’m just honestly asking the question. I’ve posted examples where QBR has gotten it right and passer rating wrong. I’d be curious as to what the actual data is over a very large sample size.

Passer rating can be just as misleading just as often though. Wide-open receivers dropping touchdowns that hit them right in the hands. Quarterbacks getting picked off on Hail Marys at the end of half’s. Balls going off of receivers hands and being picked. In completions thrown when it’s actually the right play. Take Allen for example in this last game. We watched it with our own eyes and we know it was possibly one of Allen’s best games of his career. His QBR of 85 is significantly higher than a 104 passer rating. Neither metric is perfect and both certainly have their flaws. And for this reason I’ve just never understood the crusade against QBR but people being perfectly fine with miss leading passer ratings. There was also a week earlier this year where Allen’s QBR was slightly higher than Mahomes QBR despite Mahomes having I think 5 TDs and O INTs that week compared to Allen’s 3 TDs to 1INT. Mahomes had the much higher passer rating that week. But before they released Mahomes QBR for that game I had already correctly predicted that Allen’s QBR would likely be higher. And that was the Jets game where I don’t believe Allen ran much. My point with this example is that QBR can be predictable at times. Even without significant running value added. My guess to why Mahomes QBR was so much lower than his passer rating for the game was that at least three of those TD’s were of the variety that a back up QB could have thrown. You don’t get as much value for making a pass that basically every QB in the league could make. Last season QBR seemed to get the top three quarterbacks correct more so than passer rating. Unless one thought Deshaun Watson on a losing team had a better year than Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. /rant lol

In before the lock.

I believe it is the best path to knocking New England out of the playoffs which I would find highly amusing.

Chargers really screwed the pooch yesterday. Before that loss I think it only would have taken Miami and the Chargers winning out. But the way some of these teams are playing currently I wouldn't be surprised to see three AFC East teams back the playoffs this year. Chargers, Ravens, Browns, Steelers none of them seem to want it. And sure as hell can't trust the Raiders.

Yep. Texans won yesterday with all their covid issues and Rams upset the Cardinals a couple weeks back with guys on the Covid list. I would like to see Miami win out but they need to be on upset alert tonight. I expect the Saints defense to bring it.

Number one overall seed has always been the largest share percentage in terms of what is important in winning the award in my opinion. It’s about 50%. Multiple quarterbacks will always have really good numbers. But only two will end up with the number one seed.