Sammy Watkins' Rib

This feels like a high school. All three backs averaging like 10 ypc. Offense pitching a perfect again.

He's just an overall good receiver too. His production to snap count/target ratio has to be up there in the league. He's always produced in limited opportunities. This season his snap count and targets might more than double.

Davis 15+ TD's this year. Book it.

The Patriots and Jones would have to win the division for him to be a true candidate by the end of the season. Pretty much every QB that has won the MVP in the last 15 years, perhaps more has been a #1 or #2 seed. I imagine every single one has at least finished atop their division. Simply making the wild card will not be enough to be a legitimate MVP candidate. Allen's played well the last two seasons while winning the division each year. While he finished second in MVP voting in 2020, the vote count was not even close. So despite Allen putting up numbers that Mac could probably only dream of AND finishing first in the division two years running Allen still has not been close to winning the MVP by vote count. On paper it appears the Patriots have taken a step back while the Dolphins have taken a step forward.

Even listing him as a dark horse candidate seems like a bad take. As the OP said, if Mac is a dark horse candidate then essentially every marginal QB penciled to start the season is a dark horse candidate. To me a few true dark horse candidates are Tua, Lance and Jameis Winston. And to a lesser extent or even darker dark horse candidates I would throw in Fields and Lawrence. I'm not sure either of those two have teams around them that are talented enough though to truly win their division. And winning ones division really is one of the first requirements of any MVP candidate. Buffalo should easily win their division this year which is why I think a team like New England with marginal talent at QB and really the rest of their roster will not have an MVP candidate. Tua is a dark horse candidate though simply because of the addition of Hill to go along with a second year Waddle. Plus they have a new head coach and offensive game plan so who knows they could catch lighting in a bottle while playing a third place schedule as opposed to the Bills first place schedule.

Yeah, because Tennessee, Baltimore, Pittsburgh and the NY Jets which are half of the first 8 teams we play have awesome QB/WR matchups.

Somebody get this listing to OBJ's agent. As a Californian I am always amazed by two things when driving around the Buffalo area and anywhere East of the Mississippi in general. 1. How green it is every where. 2. Lack of back yard fences. Are fences a west coast thing? Just got back from a cousins place in Florida and hardly any of the homes in that tract had fences. It's kind of nice because it makes everyone's lot seem even larger. Would have to get used to the lack of privacy though.

Yeah number two would be fair then. Although I imagine Green Bay running back unit is ranked pretty high.

That’s what I was thinking. Not a single top 10 ranked offensive unit besides quarterback? Josh Allen is a one-man show. Should be number one it if that’s the case.

I have the same feeling you do. I think Gabe actually has a chance of having a monster year. 1200+ yards 15+ TD's type of year.

Their (Bengals) defense was pretty middle of the pack. 17th in points and 18th in yards. That tells me they will likely either improve on defense or at worse not fall off that much. That said, I have no idea who they have gained or lost on that side of the ball.

White was #95 last year. I'm not sure he was significantly better this year to move him all the way up to the top 50 while having missed 6 games due to injury this past year as opposed to just one game missed due to injury in 2020. I'd say Allen, Diggs, Poyer are locks. Hyde a maybe.

I would wait till our bye week before considering signing OBJ. By then we should have a good idea if Davis has fit well into his larger role in the offense and if Shakir, McKenzie and Crowder are playing well enough.

I agree. But I am saying ideally Cook probably sees the most snaps in 2023 out of all the RB's. Not the most carries but just on the field the most. With half his touches being from targets.

He was unranked on the 2021 list because he was injured for even more games in 2020 (only played in 7 games) than 2021 (played in 14 games). He also just wasn't very good on the Browns too. If Tre hasn't appeared yet, on #86 currently, I don't seem him with good odds of making this list off of an injury season where he missed 6 games.

Blackshear would take Taiwan Jones' spot I assume?

I think both Hyde and Poyer are deserving though. Probably somewhere between 70 and 90.

If Tre was #95 last year I would not be shocked at all for him to not be on the list at all this year due to his shortened injury season.

It happens. QB's aren't perfect. Allen has a number of highlights of high balls over the middle for completions. One last year I think to Kumerow or Sanders in the game at New England comes to mind. The across the body throw. Another that comes to mind to me was to Diggs in 2020 against the Raiders. It's nice to see that Gabe Davis has already shown our rookie how to make sideline catches though. That said, I am not confident at all in our back up QB position. I hate that our starting QB is athletically elite and our back ups are the complete opposite. It was great having Mitch last year because he was a QB with at least some similar athletic skills to Allen.

But you what???!! Don't leave us hanging like that.

Unfortunately it looks like he is guaranteed a roster spot with a dead cap hit of 3.2 million. I just hope it doesn't force Ken Dorsey to try to make a role for him on offense with more two tight end sets than is necessary.

Who is our returner? I think the OP left Stevenson out in his list of options for the last spot. Traditionally you would think one of Stevenson or Austin would make the team as the returner. Personally I am willing to roll the dice with McKenzie in that role despite his issues but I know many are not. So who is our returner if it is not Stevenson, Austin or McKenzie?

Credit to Moss for keeping a good head on his shoulders and coming into camp apparently better than ever after a disappointing sophomore year. He's the anti Karlos Williams. If he really is better than ever though it could complicate things quite a bit for the back field though. With the way the NFL is though you simply can not pay RB's anything more than the vet minimum. So that means bye bye Motor in 2023 and Moss fits into Motors role in 2023 while Cook hopefully becomes the leading back by snap count in 2023.

The question regarding Lamar isn't whether he is an elite talent or not. He absolutely is. Can't see how anyone could question that. The question is will those elite talents hold up to the age of 28, 30 or 32? Those are very young ages in terms of the shelf life of a modern day QB. If his elite skill set falls off before the age of 30 that would be a big problem for Baltimore. Last year he was injured pretty badly apparently as he never came back. Baltimore could very well be concerned about how Lamar's body might not hold up in the coming years if they offer him a lucrative extension. My stance currently is that I don't expect a deal to be done before the season. My thinking is if it has not been done by now why would it get done in the coming three weeks. The time for a deal was was 13 or 14 months ago. Basically every good promising young QB since 2017 has gotten a deal BEFORE the first preseason game going into their 4th season. That list includes Watson, Mahomes, Murray and Allen. Lamar is now going into his 5th season.