I think Marrone had thought about this since this contract was signed, but hadn't worked out in his mind how he was going leverage until it was certain that Pegula's ownership would be approved, which was 4 games into the season... At that point, the season became all about Maronne in Maronne's mind. He saw the opportunity to start to exert a larger influence, and may have even been a driver behind going after Polian. Maybe Bill would have recommended Doug to be GM after is Czar stint... Remember Polian's "unsolicited" coach of the year comments...
At any rate, Doug prepared for his play after the season closed, and expected it to work. Surely Polian was aware as well. We it failed, he and his agent went into backup plan mode. Full court press on the "insider" spin. The problem is, Marrone expected it to work... He is completely unprepared for interviews, and his staff is still under contract with the Bills. How in the work is he going to commit to a new team that he can pull a staff together, by promising that his old staff will get fired?
As the reality of his inability to interview plays out, the odds of him not getting a job loom large. Is he a better coach than any of the people that are looking to replace?
- Mike Smith? No, better record and more NFL experience.
- Marc Trestman? No, similar record, but more NFL experience and won championships in CFL.
- Rex Ryan? No, more NFL experience and actual playoff success
- Tony Sporano? Christ, the guy just beat Marrone head-to-head with a worse team and nothing to play for.
- Jim Harbaugh? Please.
Who actually hires this guy, and say to the fanbase "Look, we have Doug Marrone, he is so much better than who we just got rid of." Not one of these teams can say that, and it would be a PR nightmare that would affect the bottom line. Throw in the fact that he is not mentally prepared to interview. Throw in the fact that he can't assemble a staff in short order. Who actually hires this guy?
The sad part about it, his best job was with the Buffalo Bills. He will get $4M next year, but who knows after that. The "genius financial decision" may actually be the exact opposite for him in 2 years. If he stayed with the Bills, $8M. If he does not get another head coach job, musch less than $8M. Not to mention he has to uproot his young kids in their formative years to move once again, because he certainly can't stay in Buffalo and can't return to Syracuse. Can you imagine the difficulty for them? "Well, Dad got $4M for doing nothing. He will be hear to soothe me in person as I have to start my 3rd new school in my young life and make all new friends once again..."
Time will tell, but my money is on the Marrone beating his head against a wall as we speak. I would love to be a fly on the wall in the Sexton/Marrone conversations this week...