Franco_92

Arians hasn't looked good to me with these quotes. This stuff has to wear thin quickly with the players I'd imagine

I think there actually was a penalty on a return lol

He forced one into the end zone that could have been picked. The other end zone force hit Cole in the feet and while not having a chance at being successful,it was about as dangerous as throwing into the stands

He was pretty good in that home game last year, and we still managed to slow it down enough. I wont be super worried about Fitz,though I anticipate some yardage from Miami if our LBs are all out

Sorry guys, I need my DTs to have 19.5 sacks per year

Hapless, I'm sorry, I'm just seeing your warnings about moved posts now. I logged out of work to be able to access a couple of links there, but I can't spend any more time away right now, I have things to do. Feel free to move the posts. No promises I can get back today, I have a busy day. And no promises I'll care enough to head off the wall and find the discussion again when I do get some free time

I was a little sloppy in the umbrella of categorical recommendation - that is true for the quarantine of healthy individuals, but they do *advise that countries* recommend their individuals *voluntarily refrain from travel to hot spots. Of course, southern US Hope-Simpson seasonality matches the relevant numbers which suggest that Miami is past its hot spot. But the realities of climate-dependent illness (https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.1000316) coupled with the physical/biological mechanisms for this behavior (via aerosol half-life and gravitational loss) render any non-immunological legislation to being the useless clusterf* that it has been, as evidenced by zero correlation between any of these measures and covid impacts analyzed at the county level, aggregated to the national level. This is true of masks (check "all states" here: https://rationalground.com/interactive-tool-masks-covid-19/?fbclid=IwAR3c1cX-pJ6bUO-H9wQM2dyqKwJbXUOc2Jfjl3-hjllpRjIv1PHhuzX3MPQ), lockdowns (use google mobility data (i'd stick with retail & recreation as the best proxy for lockdown legislation) and plot rolling average of hospitalizations against this data, and adjust for a 1-2 week lag, and you'll find that seasonality is the only thing driving spikes, and that no abrupt change in covid impacts on hospitals is ever preceded by meaningful change in mobility, in the half of the states that got hit in their predicted Hope-Simpson season, you can associate lockdowns with more cases, while you can do the opposite for the states hit later, which renders the lockdowns useless as a driving variable), anything else we've tried. But we must continue to do things so we can feel like we are stopping things! [Mod Edit. Dude: glad to see you're providing a few references and acknowledge being a "little sloppy in the umbrella of categorical recommendation". 😇 Further discussion of the general covid-19 thing in the OTW covid-19 threads, Please. And be sure to bring your references about the correlation between cycle threshold and demonstrated covid-19 infectivity, K? CAN'T WAIT! In case this hint wasn't clear enough let me translate: further general covid posts in this thread will disappear.]

I'm talking about pandemic planning literature that was complied over decades and established before covid-19 existed. While you're at it, please post Miami hospital data, preferably rolling averages compared to this time period historically, and show me the excess death and bed numbers. I'll wait, and then cry at the doom and gloom currently ravaging the hospitals, er, I mean 45 Ct labs Because your two posts have taught me so much about covid.

Uh, okay? Google search my post and show me what I copied from? I'm typing on mobile while working bich itd be harder to use the internet than to summarize what I've already spent months learning and reading about and generating plots and regressions on myself

Man, I'm glad you dont have legislative influence. Any explanation for why America's ILI curve this season was identical to past years despite being a less communicable illness than covid, and unprecedented PPE use and lockdowns during the height of Hope-Simpson flu seasonality for each climate region in the country? Hint - epidemiologists using garbage-in garbsge-out assumptive computer modeling that is often off by an order of magnitude or more, who are fixated on non-immunoligical legislation, are not the place to go to find a genuine science-based explanation for this

You're not a moron. History will not be kind to anyone who thinks you are.

Ooh, I appear to have struck a little nerve.i appreciate your good-faith compliment r.e. my vocabulary. The literature categorically recommends against the quarantine of healthy individuals even in the height of the disease curves which passed in NY months ago. The literature is clear, their justification complete with examples. They sum up their positions in simple and complete tables, and their conclusions are what I stated. I will not be searching the pdfs at work while on mobile, but if I have time tonight I might be able to get to it for you. I know, it stings when real science cuts through the view you have spent months cultivating. We have legislated like headless chickens and it will be looked back on as such. PCR amplification above 35 cycles (2**n increase in DNA magnification for n increase in cycles) indicating a positive result is often indicative of a nonviable virus load that does not induce symptoms or viral transfer in the real world. In a human body with a typical immune system, that number is closer to thirty. Most labs I've seen are operating between 35 and 45 cycle threshold, which is inducing a huge number of positive cases that should not by any definition be considered positive. This distinction is why countries like Uruguay seem to be "performing well" compared to neighbors- they just have more pragmatic/consistent lab procedures. But here, in america and the west, we decide to institute weekly testing of a previously unsampled population whether they display symptoms or not, at these insane amplification rates, and are wringing our hands at the results, and letting them dictate the test-rate laws we've already written. This doesnt even consider that at this amplification we can detect dead (the test makes no distinction) fragments from as long as 12 weeks prior. There is no honest lens through which you can look and give serious, genuine justification to this practice, and it will be an embarrassment to look back on down the line. This type of testing is not and was never designed to be used as a case metric the way we are using it. This is the asinine testing I was referring to. PCR tests at an appropriate threshold for those experiencing symptoms are incredible tools. This is their domain.

My buddy walked past the same booth with no ramifications

Could be a good time to remind our local legislators that the pandemic planning literature from the WHO, CDC, ECDC (euro version) categorically recommend against the quarantine and restricted travel of healthy individuals. They made this determination from comprehensive review of all literature and study ever done on the topic. The experts are still insisting that we should have followed these protocols, if you're listening to the right ones. And using egregiously amplified PCR testing rates while regularly testing previously unsampled young, healthy populace, to write legislation, is abhorrently unscientific and asinine.

Helluva interview.

Don't think the small # of fans will be noticeable one way or another, but wonder what percentage will be rooting for the good guys.

Allen did not lose anywhere close to 10 fumbles last year. you are probably reading the column of fumbles recovered by the Bills

The RB stat line was ugly, but I've spent years seeing similar numbers in the "rushing column" after longingly gazing at the passing numbers by guys like Rodgers, Ryan, Rivers etc. in those games. And Allen gave me some of those numbers today. If it remains a problem after a weak Miami run defense, I'll start to worry.

Man, he got smacked just about every single catch lol.

I don't think that there's a non-RB/WR in the NFL that would hang onto the ball when flipped upside down like that

Keep in mind that he has never thrown this many passes in a game. 46 passes from any QB will bring 4-5 bad passes with them. I saw about 3 from Allen today.

I noticed the lack of fans a lot less than I thought I would have. Still can't wait til they're back.

I want Allen to protect the ball better. I also NEVER want him in a situation where he's taking the hits that led to the two fumbles. Ever. It is amazing to me that we keep calling these kind of plays with these results being so common. They need to be stripped from the playbook. Scrambling is fine and he seems to not fumble when he's doing it. Designed runs in the field of play that mimic running back plays where those kind of tackles are guaranteed are just bad news. No QB in the league doesn't drop a ball being flipped like that (maybe Cam succeeds, but that would be it). Josh should not be upside down in the air on a designed run when the Bills are up by 3 TDs. Ever. ***** cut it out Daboll. Even if he didn't keep fumbling it, I do NOT want him taking those hits all season. Great way to shorten his career. He can use his feet the way he did while passing today - extending plays, he's incredible at that. He can scramble when a play breaks down. Enough of these designed "Light up Josh Allen" plays where every team is gunning for him, knowing the probable result. At this point, I'm just pissed at Daboll. Excellent game from Allen otherwise. Truly encouraging.

I wonder what the cycle threshold is for NFL tests. Seems like they're "positive" way less often than the general public ones. Above ~34-35 the virus is unculturable in a petri dish, let alone a human body with an immune system, and yet all over the country we test at 40 cycles and panic about the results. Hopefully the NFL is actually being scientific.

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