TPS
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Everything posted by TPS
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Lots of wrenching fists and gnashing of teeth about the failed bailout vote. And wow, the markets lost over $1 trillion in equity; so where'd it go? This was not the best package that could be put together, and Paulson should take the blame for the way he (initially) presented it: "Give me $700 billion, no questions asked; else we're doomed! We're doomed, I tell ya..." That pissed a lot of people off and congress heard from "the poor ignorant masses." It's about damned time the American public got pissed off about something and moved the congress! That said, there will be a bailout bill, and hopefully it won't be so wall street-centric. And the markets will rally. The process of cleansing the system will take some time, and we will probably experience more crises. But we will survive this week, so enjoy a cocktail or two as the Bills get to 5 and 0....
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You're right, they gave it to Goldman Sachs... AIG bailout
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you're assuming people are building in those markets now--I don't think that's the case. Haven't new builds been shrinking? Prices are falling because people are being forced to sell unable to make payments or banks have taken the assets and trying to sell.
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That doesn't resolve the problems that current homeowners face, which is the root cause. Read about a program in Philadelphia that requires lenders and borrowers to meet in courts and try to resolve delinquencies and bankruptcies. Something like half to 2/3s get resolved: borrowers get terms they can live with, and it's cheaper than going to bankruptcy court for the banks.
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Maybe that's the plan...
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I heard someone on cspan touting this plan too, and when he said $450,000, I cringed like I was watching a Sarah Palin interview...
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I wonder if it's Goldman's turn to buy a large bank on the cheap?
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Every election. Btw, being an idiot doesn't disqualify one from becoming president or vice president of the U.S.
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Makes Dan Quayle look intelligent. First: I have not voted for either major party in the presidential election since 1992. Second, after watching her interviews, I have to throw my 1 cent in on this: you've got to be smoking crack if you defend this idiot. No wonder McCain is going to make sure there is no VP debate--she is a !@#$ing dolt! Christ! I understand most of you vote your party lines, but anyone who tries to defend her is a total party hack. Hey, if she (errr...he) wins, maybe AD will be the next Treasury Secretary...
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Why Should The American People Trust Bush/McCain
TPS replied to ExiledInIllinois's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Here's an interesting perspective. banks made bad bets? -
I think the more important question is if it's a "clear majority of registered voters." What percentage of the poorest 50% actually vote relative the top 50%?
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Why Should The American People Trust Bush/McCain
TPS replied to ExiledInIllinois's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Of course, that is how the system has always worked--the weak are weeded out in downturns. I know this is no typical downturn (it's the "perfect storm" of downturns), and I have not argued against this latest phase of bailing out Wall Street; I just don't think it is the be all end all either--I do believe you need to do something to stop the downward spiral in real estate, otherwise those assets that aren't purchased and look good now, won't be later. As I said, each time the bandaid gets bigger. Do you think this will end it? -
Why Should The American People Trust Bush/McCain
TPS replied to ExiledInIllinois's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
There's no doubt that credit is tight and it is trickling down to main street, that is how credit crunches work. So I'm not denying that reality. However, your original article/example seems to be more a consequence of GM's reliance on truck and SUV sales back-firing in a slowing economy with $4/gal gas. As that article states, many dealers will go out of business since they don't sell what consumers now demand. I simply disagree with your assesment on that ONE. The 'Big Three" are paying the consequences of relying on sales of gas-guzzlers when $4/gal gas prices hit in the middle of a credit crunch. So you get a double whammy--falling sales and inability to raise funds. -
Why Should The American People Trust Bush/McCain
TPS replied to ExiledInIllinois's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The article states that "bad auto loans" were responsible. Once they started having problems with their loans, GMAC pulled out last summer. As it further states, GM's sales are down some 2 million cars, and that the number of dealerships will decline. His problems were NOT caused by lack of credit. Could he have survived if GMAC stayed in? I highly doubt it. -
Why Should The American People Trust Bush/McCain
TPS replied to ExiledInIllinois's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
On the flip side of that coin, why would banks extend (mortgage) credit in markets where housing prices are still falling? No one knows if a mere $700 billion is enough to bail out Wall STreet. In each case the bailout Bandaid gets bigger and bigger. As long as housing prices continue to fall, and delinquencies and foreclosures increase, you haven't solved the root of the crisis. Despite the attempts to blame democrats, republicans, lax lending standards, or the push for increased homeownership, the blame for this crisis lays at the foot of Wall Street. -
Why Should The American People Trust Bush/McCain
TPS replied to ExiledInIllinois's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
His "credit problems" are a function of his inability to sell trucks and SUVs. It's a bit disingenuous to blame this on the credit crisis. -
Why Should The American People Trust Bush/McCain
TPS replied to ExiledInIllinois's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Isn't it about getting the "toxic stuff" off of the balance sheets? And I raise that issue because of this: DBank -
Why Should The American People Trust Bush/McCain
TPS replied to ExiledInIllinois's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
How will anyone outside of Paulson know whether he's buying securities that actually have mortgages explicitly tied to them or not? For example, if he buys the worst of the tranches from a packaged CMO and the higher rated tranches are still out there, then who actually has claim on the underlying mortgages backing all of the tranches? Will the government be stuck with something it can't ever sell? -
Government can MAKE money with the bailout
TPS replied to JimBob2232's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Didn't you get your refund from the last time govt did this? Isn't that what happened when "the govt made money" on the last bail out? -
SHTF? Should I short them?
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How the Democrats Created the Financial Crisis.
TPS replied to erynthered's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I agree. I would add a few more culprits though. For one, the ratings agencies were complicit in their very generous risk models so the asset-backed securities could get their top ratings; then the monolines jumping in on insuring the nonn-AAA. As in every bubble, everyone wanted a piece of the action... -
How the Democrats Created the Financial Crisis.
TPS replied to erynthered's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You seem to imply it's changes to promote increased minority homeownership, but the articles indicate those programs aren't to blame. So what is your point? Besides, I believe most of the problems derive from the "house flippers" in the really hot markets. You buy an asset with someone else's money, and if it goes up in value, you sell it; if it falls, you walk away. -
How the Democrats Created the Financial Crisis.
TPS replied to erynthered's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Of course the walls were coming down for decades going back to deregulation in the early 1980s. Securitizations also go way back (and my recollection is that they were started by banks, but polished by IBs). My point is the current financial crisis stems from the housing bubble. Maybe 1999 is not the starting point either (And i didn't say that the end of GS was responsible, I said that you can start there)? Could it be the fallout from Enron and fraud in the stock market caused investors to move to a new market in 2002? As I said, there are many factors (including both parties) that can be blamed. However, I do disagree with the belief that this housing bubble was caused by something from 20+ years ago. As for Spitzer, that's exactly what he was writing about, that state's were trying to go after predatory lending practices but they were being squelched by the Feds. -
How the Democrats Created the Financial Crisis.
TPS replied to erynthered's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Bull2. It doesn't go back "decades." It starts in 1999 with the end of Glass-Steagall. That should make the right happy because we all know who was president--although I could play the congress card like y'all like to do.... The interest only loans, the no-doc/lo-doc loans are all recent phenomena. I posted an editorial awhile back by Spitzer (while he was still governor) who blamed the administration for preventing states from limiting predatory loan practices. There is a lot of blame to go around, and almost all of it happened after the 1999 deregulation. Btw, did you mean to say "reserve requirements"? Or did you mean down payment on the mortgages?
