Win or lose, I think it's most important what Allen looks like than how he plays.
By week 12, does he start looking more comfortable? Does he start grasping the offense? Does he make decisions for the right reason (not necessarily the right result)?
Most importantly, is he aggressive? I don't care if we're 1-11, when there's 4 minutes left in a one score game, does he try to win? Does he attack a defense? Does he trust his arm in a tough throw in a big spot?
I'm a firm believer that a rookie who plays their whole or almost their whole first year, you see their ceiling by the end. You see what they will
be. Derek Carr in his 15th game already looked like Derek Carr. Russell Wilson was the Russell Wilson by the 2013 postseason.
If I can see the vision by the end of year one, its on. If Allen is skittish, uncomfortable, unaggressive, we're in trouble.
You can make an aggressive QB tone down the mistakes, you CANNOT make a conservative QB trust themselves and their arm.