
The Frankish Reich
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Posts posted by The Frankish Reich
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9 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:
He's kind of handcuffed because Rudolph is equally as bad. Not as turnover prone but doesn't move the ball at all on offense.
I get that Rudolph wasn't good, but I think Tomlin misses the distinction between "QB with the necessary tools who isn't getting it" (kind of a Paxton Lynch or EJ Manuel type) and "QB who simply doesn't belong in the NFL" -- Rudolph would have given them some chance to win today on a day when throwing the ball in the rain was tough enough for a guy with an NFL arm and impossible for a guy with a Samford arm.
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3 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:
Not many teams make it to the post season when their starting QB on IR. Hodges and Rudolph aren’t any answers at QB. Hodges was an UDFA our of Samford...who has a successful season as a coach with him?
Tomlin did a good job this year. Not only did he lose Big Ben, he lost AB.
Tomlin was in the conversation of COY just two weeks ago.
Tomlin did a good job in a tough situation. But really ... sticking with Hodges after the Bills game? When it became obvious to all that he simply wasn't an NFL QB? That's on him.
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5 hours ago, Agent 91 said:
Gore
Yep. It would take some stones to do it, but it would be the right move. Gore was a valuable player this year in the regular season, but Yeldon gives you more options as the playoffs open.
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The saddest thing about the Adam Gase hire: it finally shut up Jimmy Spags.
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On 12/25/2019 at 10:24 AM, frostbitmic said:
He played the first two games this year for the Lions before getting cut. He averaged 2.7 YPC in the two games.
Kerryon Johnson is averaging 3.4 per carry as their feature back; 5.4 last year. This is now the worst offense in football, kind of like the Bills with Derek Anderson last year. (Although CJ had the benefit of 2 Matthew Stafford games before he was cut)
I don't know what CJ did or failed to do that's made him so untouchable. He kept hinting at something when he tweeted about "The Game" and how he presumably refused to play it. What "Game?" Yes, 28 year old running backs are not in huge demand, but CJ actually outplayed Todd Gurley last year (as in one year ago, not 3 years ago) in his brief stint with the Rams. He's never been fast or looked like a chiseled athletic specimen, did you actually see Marshawn Lynch in a Raiders uniform?
EDIT: thinking about what active player most reminds me of CJ ... the answer is Devin Singletary.
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I'm going to take this question seriously and rephrase it a bit. When you factor in age/years under team control/salary (or expected salary), which QBs are the most valuable assets in the NFL right now? We also have to take into account how rare it is for an established franchise QB to change teams, so having that guy is more critical than it might seem based only on results vs. cost vs. years of team control:
1. Mahomes
2. Lamar Jackson
[big gap]
3. Kyler Murray. Don't get angry. He's got one year of team control over Allen, and watching today, he just plain gets it (along with his athletic talent)
4. Russel Wilson. Huge contract, but if anything, he's outperforming it. And showing no signs of slowing down.
5. Watson. He'd be higher, but he's about to get really expensive.
6. Allen?
I can't think of any other guy to clearly put higher on the list, although you could (still) make a good argument for Mayfield or Darnold.
Upward trend watch: Drew Lock. Yep. Elway may have finally gotten one right.
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He was last spotted ruining both his career and Chloe Sevigny’s career:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Brown_Bunny
I hope that “non-simulated” act was worth it.
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3 hours ago, BillsFan4 said:
No. You could not ask for a better mentor for Singletary, and Gore has really taken Motor under his wing. He seems to be relishing the mentor role.
Agreed. Not only that - it also worked! Gore was his generally efficient, non flashy, grind it out self while the Bills racked up wins until Singletary was healthy and ready. Why are people stuck on criticizing a position that worked?
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18 hours ago, Coach Tuesday said:
I mean that's great and all, but King admitted in the preseason that he's not interested in covering the Bills anymore because they lack relevance as an organization (it was in one of his PFT columns in August), and he has barely mentioned them all season. Now, on the heels of the most exciting moment the franchise and its fans have had in 20 years, his feature story is a sit-down with Mike McCarthy.
I used to like Peter King. I really miss Dr. Z. Albert Breer is the best read out there right now.
You gotta write the stuff that makes people click - there's just a helluva lot more Packers fans out there. It's reality, but reality changes as exciting new teams emerge. Were the Ravens a hot ticket in the Joe Flacco era?
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1 minute ago, The Firebaugh Kid said:
Buffalo wins that game easily. Houston ain't that good.
Agreed. Houston will be favored, but mostly because they've got home field. It will just be a fun matchup: Houston is explosive, but they can also implode in epic fashion. The Bills are the opposite - steady, stable, seemingly always in the game. Overall I'd be more scared of the Titans or of any other AFC playoff team.
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And according to our old friend Bill Barnwell, there's a 72.3% chance you'll get the matchup you want - Bills at Texans.
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7 hours ago, wvbillsfan said:
It was very clear he did zero homework on the Bills and generally went with the same propaganda most have gone with. Josh isn’t accurate that’s his issue. Wrs are too small. Buffalo has a very good defense blah blah blah.
And Josh could've shut him up with some accurate passes. And Beasley could've shut him up by hauling in that high ball off his hands.
Bills fans, it's o.k. now ... they flexed us into prime time, we gave them a boring but respectable showing, the days of ignoring the Bills are over ....
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On 12/12/2019 at 7:29 PM, Wayne Arnold said:
Yeah, right now we're seeing Hodges' ceiling and basically Allen's floor.
Exactly. I think PFF provides valuable information and insight on non-QBs -- the players we're not watching every week on the All 22, like offensive linemen and receivers running routes on the opposite side of the field. With QBs, we already watch every play, so PFF's watchers don't add much.
And they're also too enamored of their small sample size stats, leading them to say preposterous things like "Hodges is the better QB." OK if they want to say "in his 3.5 games, Hodges has actually performed better than Allen in his 13 games." That's quite a different thing. On the baseball analytics side the famous line was "pretty much anyone can hit pretty much anything over 80 plate appearances." And that's what Hodges is. And what Kyle Allen was. Maybe Minshew is the great exception?
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Yep, that's what usually happens to QBs who start fast because they seem to have a good grasp of the game, but who just lack the ability to make the throws. Wake up time for Duck fans.
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10 hours ago, PolishDave said:
Looking forward to a big bounce back this Sunday at 3 rivers.
Too bad it’s not Forbes Field. I like the ‘63 Bills chances against the Steelers better than the ‘76 versions.
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36 minutes ago, boater said:
Belichick jettisons players before they hit their peak. The one exception is Brady. Brady is past his peak and his still around. Why? The great Garoppolo was standing in the wings ready to go.
I believe Brady is still around because Kraft made him untouchable. I believe Belichick was ready to move on from the Brady era and into the Garoppolo era last season. But Kraft stepped in and made Brady untouchable which forced Belichick into a trade with SFO.
Some reports from the period painted Brady as very insecure about Garoppolo---and suggest that Brady lobbied Kraft to get Garoppolo traded. Believable.
Yes. The Patsies do have a Tom Brady problem, and it's their own fault.
Exactly. It would have been tough to do, but the right move would’ve been to hand the keys to Jimmy G 3 years ago. I am just keeping my fingers crossed that Stidham is not some kind of franchise QB in waiting. If he’s just a guy, the Pats may be well and truly screwed for the next few seasons, by which time Belichick will be gone too.
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Bell: 589 yards, 3.2 per carry, $15 million
Gore: 558 yards, 3.7 per carry, $2 million
Remember that, Gore haters, before you post again!
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On 12/9/2019 at 6:24 AM, GunnerBill said:
Yeldon is rubbish.
No he isn't. I wish he'd been used more early in the season when Singletary was out.
But now that Singletary is back, and is showing that he is very useful in the passing game as well as being the feature runner, Yeldon is unnecessary. Same thing as Knox stealing Kroft's playing time. These are good developments, not bad! Our 3rd and 4th round draft picks are contributing immediately, making those insurance policy veteran signings irrelevant. They won't be back next year, and that money can be used elsewhere.
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9 minutes ago, stuvian said:
sorry but I'm ready to call Knox a bust. Bad hands are bad hands
He's a rookie! And one who didn't get used much in the passing game in college.
There's a reason he's playing. He has talent. He gets open. You gotta be open to drop passes. He makes plays when he holds onto the ball. And he kind of looks like the guys who are the new prototype TEs. I think they've got a keeper. The drop rate will go down, the big plays will go up, the missed blocks will be fewer and farther between. Kroft is irrelevant BECAUSE Knox is better than the Bills thought he'd be.
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From the Wall Street Journal (paywall):
It is behind a paywall, but (for Pats fans) this is probably the most incisive and troubling analysis I've seen. I'm sure gamblers have gotten rich on betting against "Brady is in decline" takes, but this time I think it's real. A couple short clips:
QuoteOn the season, Brady is averaging his fewest yards per pass attempt since 2002, when most of his teammates were in elementary school and passing across the league was far less efficient. Over the last 10 games, he has a 78.9 passer rating, which ranks 25th out of 27 qualified passers. His yards per attempt, in that span, are dead last among those 27 quarterbacks.
And this makes a lot of sense to me:
QuoteBrady, in large part, has stayed unimaginably healthy not due to a diet regimen of coconut chips, but because of how he styled his game. He throws short passes and gets rid of the ball quickly to stymie the incoming pass rush, which happens to compensate for the diminishments that come with age—decreased arm strength and durability.
But the same trends that prompt him to avoid hits are also integral to his problems: Brady has thrown away more passes than any quarterback in the NFL this season.
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5 hours ago, RyanC883 said:
terrible officiating at the end of the 1st half is my guess. Ravens had 12 men on the field and there was no call. Then there was the blatent PI at the end of the half, but he can't be too upset about that since he did not challenge it. I could see challenging it, getting screwed, and then being upset.
Interested to hear if there is anything more.
Glad to see him fired up. The officiating in the 1st half was terrible, much better in the 2nd.
On not throwing the challenge flag: someday some analytics guy will do a chart on “when to challenge/when not to challenge a PI mom-call.” But even if the chances are slim (maybe 10% chance of getting an obvious PI non-call overturned?), my gut tells me you gotta challenge when you’re talking about a possible 30 yard gain. Losing the timeout just isn’t that big a deal; just run the offense a little faster and you’ll save that time. Losing the right to challenge a future call may be a bigger deal, but I don’t recall ever seeing that matter until the Pats-Chiefs game yesterday. The risk-return is so heavily in favor of challenging when it’s a big yardage play.
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1 hour ago, SDS said:
Brian Burke did a lot of work on this question, much of it cited here:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/when-to-go-for-2-for-real/
Bottom line on the "just scored a TD, now down by 9, less than 10 minutes left" scenario: going for 2 is perfectly rational, although the effect either way on win probability is likely very small:
When down 9 points late-ish, there’s a case that you should go for 2, because being down 8, you would have to go for 2 to draw even eventually anyway, and it’s better to know whether you converted your attempt earlier so you can make tactical adjustments. Although this logic seems sound, the data doesn’t suggest the effect is very significant (if it exists at all).
So the coach's decision will depend on seat of the pants and game theory type notions: "if we fail to convert, they'll know we need to get the ball back twice and that may cause them to avoid pass plays" vs. "if we convert, they'll likely be more aggressive on offense and prone to making mistakes" -- all of that kind of stuff that isn't reflected in the aggregate statistics from past games.
The only thing we can say for sure is this: either decision is perfectly defensible.
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11 minutes ago, Not at the table Karlos said:
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2019/returns.htm
Hes second in the league. This is pretty dumb
But ... coming into this game, 41 returns (punt + kickoff) total. Not his fault that there’s only 3.5 returnable kicks/punts per game. My point here is that there’s not much value in signing pure return specialists in today’s game. The roster spot may be better used; the money certainly could have been. Notice how the Pats never have a return specialist? Just use any sure handed receiver. If Beasley were on the Pats he’d be returning punts.
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Agreed. This one goes in the L column, and they even beat the spread. But this defense is for real. Lamar didn’t look like a world beater out there today.
The problem is that while the Bills finally came up with the formula (and personnel) to shut down the Ravens juggernaut, the Ravens figured also figured out how to destroy Allen and the Bills O line: pressure and more pressure.
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NE fans are hating life right now. Lookie here...
in The Stadium Wall Archives
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What I love about conspiracy theories: they can explain away everything!
This year, as in every year, the focus is on the QBs. And guess what? The path is clearer for Mahomes or Lamar to get to the Super Bowl. No miserable Foxboro AFC championship game to get through. Brady without Gronk just ain't the same storyline. And Aaron Rodgers or Drew Brees getting through the NFC? What more could any Goodell hope for?
Now don't let the Bills or Titans get through and mess things up ...