
The Frankish Reich
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I will. Immigration: I wanted Biden to win. I want Harris to win. But as soon as Biden was elected I predicted that immigration would continue to be the Dems' Achilles heel. Biden promised one of those "first day" immigration actions. It was a ridiculous moratorium on enforcement. OK, so maybe he was waiting a bit to put out his serious immigration reform proposal. That came out the following month. It was a joke. Basically an amnesty for anyone who'd been in the country since the day before the election. Yeah, those "long term Americans in all but name" who'd been here 3 months. Not a serious proposal. It paved the way for another burst of illegal immigration, and gave Trump the issue all over again. Bill Clinton knew how to deal with this, with a true enforcement-oriented bill. Biden didn't follow his lead. He followed his left wing advisors. So ... what doesn't make sense?
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The classic Trumpian response! "Many people are saying it's true, I don't know, but is it wrong to ask the question?" It came from a weirdo in Rochester who just made it up. Period. No confidential affidavit, no mysterious death of the affiant. All made up for consumption of fools who trust the alt media.
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Bills' pass rush storms back New Concussion Protocol? Dolphins' season ends.
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Oh, I agree the Dems blew it. The proper thing to do was for Biden to announce he wasn't running and for the Dems to have a primary process in which a better candidate - not tied so closely to Biden - likely would have emerged. But Trump is not "leading." In fact, I misstated his highest popular vote share. It wasn't 48.5%. It was 46.8% in 2020. I think that's very, very close to his ceiling, so maybe he gets to 48, but he ain't getting to 50. But given his electoral college advantage, 48 or even 46.8 may do it for him.
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I'll give a serious response. I want Harris to win, or more accurately, I want Trump to lose. But I don't understand how being a fan makes people unable to make predictions against their fandom. There was never a time I wanted the dynasty Pats to beat the Bills, but I would have never ever bet on the Bills straight up to beat the Pats in any of those games. So ... if I were a betting man, my money's on Trump by a slim margin. - Kamala will win the popular vote, but probably by less than Biden's margin. I say about 2.5 points. My main hope for Kamala: I have yet to see evidence that Trump could ever get beyond the 48.5% of the popular vote he's received in the last couple tries, so I am deeply skeptical of any poll that has him cracking the 50% barrier. So to be specific, I'd say Kamala 51%, Trump 48.5%, a few assorted RFK Jr. and 3rd party votes. - Trump will win the electoral college, and I do think PA will be pivotal. Most models say that if Kamala doesn't win the popular vote by more than 2.5%, she likely doesn't win the electoral college. (Not causation, but a strong correlation) - Trump will also win NC, AZ, NV - Reps will win the Senate and have at least the necessary 50 senators (Vance as tie-breaker) to control it. - Dems will win seats in the House, taking it to just about 50/50. This to me is key. If the Republicans keep power in the House, win the Senate, and win the White House (they already have the Supreme Court), there is effectively no check on Trump's wilder schemes.
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I would just like to take a moment to reflect on the sophisticated - dare I say edgy? - humor of the MAGA movement. Kamala is ret@rded! Blacks like watermelons!! Puerto Ricans don't practice birth control!! Humor that was out of date in 1970, now back in style with a certain audience. Edgy!
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Do the Babylon Bee writers moonlight working for this schmuck?
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This moron's Twitter has been cited on PPP several times, including the stupid conspiracy theory that Kamala was provided the questions ahead of the debate. The reliable Alt Media. Note how he was exposed: his computer with his email address was visible in one of his posts. Maybe we should check to see which of our PPP posters lives in Rochester ...
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Sam Darnold and other QB resurrections
The Frankish Reich replied to ChronicAndKnuckles's topic in The Stadium Wall
Vinny Testaverde. -
It's a long season. This is why sometimes firing a coach and bringing in the opposite personality type works for a week or three. Think of the Colts with Jeff Saturday a couple years ago, or the first Dan Campbell go-round. Players are energized by the change itself, and since football is kind of a blend of tactics, athletic skills, and effort, the effort side may carry the day on any given Sunday. But then reality usually strikes back.
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Hey, I'm not the one who started this thread way back when. I'm just the one who noticed that when prices stabilized or even (gasp!) started coming down sharply, all of a sudden the thread went silent. Except for me. I'm always here to remind you that 2022 was not The End of The World. (I am also here to provide all of those cash-strapped commenters grocery shopping advice)