If we don’t win the division the playoff run could be:
at KC
at Miami
at Baltimore
That’s not optimal.
Getting a home game and assuming Baltimore is the 1 seed would look something like this:
vs likely 6 seed - I’d guess that’s Cleveland; Miami would be the 5 and play AFC South winner; Miami would then be at Baltimore RD 2
at KC; maybe home if the 7 beats KC
AFCCG could be at Baltimore or home vs Miami
Who the 7 seed will be I have no idea but they usually don’t beat the 2 seed.