Big Blitz

A breakdown:

No idea tiebreakers or whatever but this is true for week 18 now - the Eagles and 49ers COULD approach their week 18 games differently now with Lions one loss back. This is a massive deal.

Here he is…

The ref ignored the Olinemen that clearly went over to him before the play it wasn’t to wish him a happy new year or tell him you’ve called a great game. Others will tell you it flat out looks like they were in the bag for Dallas. What would we say?

But it looks like he did.

Wow

“How dare the officials take away that play from them! They work their ***es off man.” —Patrick Mahomes

It was never intended to be a freaking crown jewel

Elite missed blocks by LaPorta tonight. cc that LaPorta > Kincaid thread. I’m sure he’ll get schemed college open for a TD tho.

You mean we aren’t going to be discussing that Spencer Brown contract all summer? I’d get ahead of it - we know we have a quality starter. He may take it to free agency or maybe we lock him up to a 4 year 30 million dollar deal or something like that. Puts him right in the middle here: https://overthecap.com/position/right-tackle One less hole to fill - we’re going to have enough on the D line.

Yep.

Ok then. They have nothing to play for. They will wrap up the division next week or by default.

“But it doesn’t have like a Myles Garrett….” —Any Bengal

The Bengals are well aware of the scenarios I just listed now. This is THE game for them and I bet they’ll feel good about their chances to sneak in. Thus giving them more to play for than the Chiefs. Who will lock up the division and 3 seed next week. Does a lot have to happen? Absolutely. But none of it is too far fetched at all.

I’d say 50-50 or less.

Bigger concern They played Monday. So it’s like a Thursday for them. But not optimal.

Let me simplify this. Say Baltimore beats Miami. If the Bengals don’t beat the Chiefs - and we split our last 2. We ain’t getting in unless we beat Miami. Because the Bengals will be playing a Cleveland team with nothing to play for week 18. They’ll rest everyone. Does that sound like 97 percent to anyone?

Is Cleveland locked in to the 5 seed?? If Miami loses, they could fall to a WC and in a tie with Cleveland who would be the 5 seed? If they could fall to 6, then they have to beat the Bengals next week - which might turn out to be important for us if the Bengals beat the Chiefs. Unless they don’t care about 5 or 6. I don’t recall teams being good with potentially dropping down.

Every game except Miami went our way last week. All of them. Just feels like something isn’t going our way this week. My gut is telling me Bengals over Chiefs, and there is a good chance if the Steelers get out to an early lead they absolutely can beat Geno Smith.

Baltimore will be resting guys to if they beat Miami. They clinch the 1 and play Pittsburgh week 18. Makes all this talk of 98 percent chance to get in seem ridiculous doesn’t it? I mean I’m confident but I think this talk of 90 plus percent or whatever seems way too premature and wrong really unless I’m not understanding the tie breakers. Who is out if the Bills Texans Steelers and Bengals are all 10-7? The Jags lose one more they might be out. The Texans aren’t losing again with Stroud back.