
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower
Community Member-
Posts
8,004 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Everything posted by D. L. Hot-Flamethrower
-
What do you know another high first rounder! That's great news!
-
Yes it does get taken into account. I think the biggest take away is, if you two players who are close in both need and ability, take the lineman. Absolutely agree. I would also add that WR is very deep in this draft. You can draft one of the top 3 tackles, and feel good that barring something bad i.e. fluke injury, with what you have done. It really sets the organization back to draft a player like Jamarcus Russell and get nothing in return. Very good analysis. Getting better in the O line is extremely important and doable. We have greatly improved our defense. Our Wide receivers are better. We have always been strong in the backfield. Like it or not, the team has chosen their guy at QB. That leaves the Oline. Glenn-Williams-Wood and 2 rookies like Gabe Jackson and Jake Matthews looks formidable and we would also have depth then. I don't think we can plan on not having injuries. Having a broken down line is a sure way to a bad season. I think you need to consider the risk associated with both Evans and especially Ebron. Grabbing one of the top 3 tackles is much less risky and fills a need.
-
I haven't done any research in awhile, but another blog got me to thinking-I know it's dangerous! The question I was pondering deals with success early in the draft. Which between an Offensive Lineman or "skill" guy, drafted in the first round, is a better bet? Using Pro Football references draft finder and approximate value the answer is pretty clear. Offensive Lineman drafted in the first 15 picks have produced a career AV of 56 and the skill guys only 45. For those of you unfamiliar with this system, a typical starter's season might be something like this: 1-4 weak starter; 5-9 solid to good starter; 10-14 star player; 15+ all-time great season. The eleven point career difference using this model gives you a pretty good idea that O-Lineman are a better bet. Also, If you carry this out to the top 30 picks, it will yield a similar result. O-Line is 47 on average, skill guys only 36. My conclusion, you on average get 25-30% greater career value by drafting an Offensive Lineman ahead of a Skill guy in round 1. The Bills have a better chance of hitting on their #9 pick by going with an offensive lineman. I am in no way advocating never taking a skill guy or a QB. Your thoughts?
-
Jim Irsay: story developing?
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to Buftex's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Agreed! -
Jim Irsay: story developing?
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to Buftex's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
A word of advice, remove that word from your vocabulary. -
All Bills Visitors in Updated Mock
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to Astrobot's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think Crichton is a huge reach at that point -
Schefter: Bills tried acquiring Chris Johnson
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to SBUffalo's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If there is something big brewing like trading up to get Clowney I am in favor of trading Spiller! -
Schefter: Bills tried acquiring Chris Johnson
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to SBUffalo's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
They appear to be building this team as a power running, big play passing attack offense. Pound, Pound, Pound..Big Play down field. -
Schefter: Bills tried acquiring Chris Johnson
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to SBUffalo's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Not sure this staff views Spiller as special. Especially the way last year went, and his penchant for getting strung out. At Syracuse,Marrone used the speed back, Prince Tyson-Gulley, as more of a change up. Maybe Spiller will be traded to move up in the draft. They certainly seem to be bringing in power backs to OBD. -
Schefter: Bills tried acquiring Chris Johnson
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to SBUffalo's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think you are on the right track Kirby. They seem to be thinking about(doing) building up some options at WR and RB! -
Bills acquire WR mike Williams
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I'm wondering if the Bills are done dealing? I think not. Clowney? Doubtful we go receiver at 9. I think Bills will take a receiver later in the draft because it is so deep at the position. Could be we are going to stock up in the trenches early n the draft. -
2014 Mock schedule
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to bisonbrigade's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Color me skeptical, this is the NFL schedulers! H NYJ A DEN H NE H SD A MIA A OAK A NE H GB BYE H CLE H KC A(THX) DET A CHI H MIN A HOU H MIA A NYJ -
All Bills Visitors in Updated Mock
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to Astrobot's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Quality from Quantity approach at TE...interesting! Is Evans scheduled to visit? -
DeSean Jackson released
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to Canadian Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Not that it really matters, but Stevie is not and has not been better than Desean. Using AV over at pro football reference. Last year Jackson was an 11 and Johnson a 5. The last 4 years, Jackson 35 in fewer games and Johnson 31. Career Jackson 58 in 86 games, 10.8 per-season: Johnson 31 in 58 games, 8.5/season. -
DeSean Jackson released
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to Canadian Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Our current group doesn't strike fear in anyone! Add Jackson, trade back, pick up another second and draft Ebron, or take a tackle if available. If they take a tackle, use the second and third on Benjamin and a TE. -
DeSean Jackson released
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to Canadian Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think all the off the field stuff with Jackson is way overblown. The team has an enormous advantage over the player in this type of situation. The Eagles know they have to win the PR campaign with a very productive player being released outright. It is my suspicion that this has more to do with Chip Kelly. He recruited Jackson to Oregon at one time. Perhaps is of the opinion that DeSean has never bought into his program. The gang stuff is just the window dressing during a breakup. I am sure there are a great many players in the NFL with shady contacts off the field. The Bills should make a reasonable push to get Jackson. He would enable them draft either Ebron, a tackle, or BPA at number 9. Having options is paramount to success! -
Houston looking to trade 1st pick (Buffalo?)
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
An awful big jump according to the draft value chart-something along the lines of 1350 to 3000! I wonder if they could jump that far without trading an additional number one, like next years's. Or just an off the wall idea, maybe trade EJ and this years number one and draft a QB. -
Houston looking to trade 1st pick (Buffalo?)
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think its most likely a smokescreen. If not its Robinson,Clowney or Mack. -
Johnny Manziel thread
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to bills in oregon's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Johnny Manziel's supposed of the field problem is one of the most overrated sports stories of the past year!!! Are U kidding me? Yawn-the kid is an alpha male. -
Corey Graham to move to FS per Marrone
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to Fingon's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yes this! And, if you don't believe in having options and flexibility, you don't believe in injuries. I don't get how people don't understand that inexpensive redundancy is good. -
Mike Brown Genius? New strategy with QBs born?
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to DC Grid's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This is all retrospective thinking, and a very small data sample to draw any conclusions from. It is not predictable that next season or any season, that it will be a younger QB or a higher priced veteran QB that wins the SB. It is not some simple formula that's wins the SB. People seem hell bent on ignoring the randomness of such a small sample. How do you know that it wasn't just well timed luck? ie David Tyree catching a 4th and 30 on the top of his helmet, well-covered. What does make sense is that you have to find bargains, and not overspend for talent, regardless of the position. -
NFL getting "hoggy" according to Mark Cuban
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I get a kick out of the comment by Adam Silver the NBA Commish, "someday we want to rival the NFL". I have some advice for Silver, cut the schedule in half or more!!!! The NFL and the television industry will keep adding days on the schedule as long as there is demand! When that diminishes because of either oversaturation, reduced product integrity, or changing market interests it will be faced with a crisis.