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GunnerBill

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Everything posted by GunnerBill

  1. Yea RTG is passer rating when targeted I believe and YSNP is Yards per snap (so total yards given up divided by snaps played in man or zone) and FI% is forced incompletion percentage.
  2. Yea - hiring Jauron you can put legitimately on Marv. And indirectly, I'm sure Jauron had an impact on their draft... so that is true but that was the extent of Marv's influence on the draft. Modrak was the GM. Brandon was the Assistant GM. Marv was just the palatable front man. He wasn't even in the draft room when the Bills traded up for McCargo. That's how much actual influence he had.
  3. He was never actually the GM in anything but name though, was he? Tom Modrak was running those drafts from home with Russ Brandon as his lacky on the end of a telephone. Marv, bless him, slept through scouting meetings and was not even present in the draft room for multiple picks in his first draft.
  4. Interesting. Nohl Williams's zone numbers are better and his man numbers worse than I'd have guessed off the games of his I've watched. He is my CB10 after the normal nine names have gone. Might bring him into my thinking at the bottom of the 2nd. I'd consider Harmon. He'd be tough for me to pass on. I'd take Amos or Hariston over Grant.
  5. I'd be genuinely really surprised if any corners beyond the names regularly mentioned here: Hunter, Barron, Johnson, Revel, Amos, Hariston, Morrison, Thomas, Porter actually go in the first two rounds. The one I give a squeak to is Nohl Williams. I know, 32 different teams, 32 different boards, but there genuinely is a very clear drop off to my eye and the draft has so much strength at defensive line I think teams will be reluctant to reach down the board for cornerbacks.
  6. On Frazier specifically, man the transitions concern me. I get major Kaiir Elam vibes. The ball production you like and he is athletic.... but I just see those long limbs all over the place in transition and I think that will hurt him at the next level.
  7. How big is the board this year @BringBackFergy?
  8. I probably would trade back but TJ Sanders is sticking out so far on my board.... given the way this draft has gone it would be mad to pick him but he is the best player remaining by a long, long way.
  9. They are taking Amos if he is there at 30. I am increasingly convinced of it. On Phillips, while I'm here, I watched his tape before the Shrine Bowl and was really excited to see him in that game and thought he's dominate and he was just okay in the game. I like the kid a lot and an all star game isn't the be all and end all but it would just give me slight pause.
  10. They were trying to get him the NCAA rushing record. Actively. So if he was out there they were running him rather than using him more multi functionally as they did the previous year. Which meant teams knew he was running at them and he still ran at them for 7ypc. Impressive.
  11. He is a little lower on my board - just outside the top 100 - but I think if you want a Cook replacement that you can find a way to roster with Cook for a year in 2025 he is the way to do it. Because you can roster him as a 4th back but mainly have him play teams this coming season so he essentially replaces Codrington on the 53 and then takes over as one of the main ball carriers in 2026.
  12. Hmm. To me it is a recipe to continue finding good players but not great ones.
  13. That is the very essence of drafting for need though. None of the next tier of corners belong here IMO. I'm higher than most on Zy Alexander and I think he is a scheme fit for the Bills.... but he doesn't belong here either. If that's what they do we will be looking back in two years going "man that guy they passed on who went 3/4/5 picks later would have been nice"
  14. All of those guys are reaches here.
  15. Agree. I don't think it is beyond the realm of possibility that he ends up undrafted.
  16. 100%. No contest since Stef left.
  17. Oh I'd take Mac as a backup. Just no world in which I'd take him as a starter. The other factors with Hurts are his worth ethic and leadership which are off the charts. I also think the year with Lincoln Riley was pivotal. I think Saban recruited Quarterbacks rather than developed them. That isn't a dig at Saban. He developed plenty of defensive guys and some offensive guys too but when I think of that run of good 'Bama QBs I don't think many of them were demonstrably different guys when they finished than when they started. From Baker, to Kyler, to Jalen to Caleb every Quarterback Lincoln has worked with has improved as a passer. I'm not sold on him as a Head Coach but as a guy who helps Quarterbacks learn how to play the position in a way that gives them a chance in the NFL, I think he is the best in college football.
  18. Yea it is not debatable. Mac was a better college QB than Jalen Milroe. That said Mac was arguably a better college QB than Jalen Hurts too and we have seen how that went in the pros. I thought Mac was overdrafted. I thought his ceiling as an NFL QB was a game manager and the game is getting increasingly dynamic at the position. Jalen is dynamic though needing lots of refinement. So I might take an argument that Jalen has more going for him than Mac did as an NFL prospect at the spot (I'm not saying that is a slam dunk but I think a reasonable argument can be made). But you are unquestionably right about who was better in college. That is beyond debate.
  19. Yep. He is an early to mid third for me. Not got my board infront of me right now but at this point he'd be 13th or 14th BPA roughly.
  20. He definitely doesn't count as a sleeper on this board, he's been talked about more than some first round players! He is my WR15 and I have a mid 4th on him. I wouldn't mind the Bills taking a shot, because they need a vertical element but I am less confident than you that he can be more than that. It wouldn't surprise me if he sneaks into the end of round 3 though... in that comp pick range. I sort of feel similarly about him and Kyle Williams (who is my WR12). If either gets to #109 I'd be fine with taking them. I think both probably go third round and they aren't guys I'd move up for.
  21. If had just been grading Coleman as an X I'd have a higher grade on Harris than I had on him. I did have a slightly higher grade on Keon (Keon was a 6.1 and a low second by my scale, Harris is a 5.8 and a high third) but that was really because of his ability as a big slot. That is still where I think he should be playing. Trying to force him to be an NFL standard X is a pointless endeavour IMO. He is never going to be better than average at that. I don't disagree in Royals as being maybe more the type the Bills need. But I have him a couple of points below Harris, Royals is the 18th best player remaining by my board at this stage. Now you can probably bump that up a place or two if you are making a Bills specific board at the point because I think there are a couple of non-scheme fits for Buffalo I have in that range but I feel like it is a bit of a reach past better players.
  22. Having thought about it overnight I am reluctantly switching my vote to Sanders. He is a full half round clear of the next player on my board once you discount Bond and as much as I hate the amount of resource Beane keeps throwing at DT every freaking year and I hate the fact that is bails him out for his FA disasters with the drug brothers I just think it is a case were a guy is so clearly the best available. I was asked in v1.0 whether I'd get on them in future years for not going BPA with Nolen (who I love) because of fit next to or behind Oliver in 3 years time if Amos is only okay. I justify that in terms of round 1 is really for premium positions and DT isn't that especially when one of your best players is already at that spot. But the difference between Sanders and Williams by my board is bigger than the difference between Nolen and Amos and Sanders to Harris is more than half a round.... I can't justify that kind of reach especially for a receiver that doesn't bring anything we don't already have.
  23. Cos Beane loves drafting slow receivers....
  24. I do see the double at DT with Sanders theory. He is kinda sticking out on my board. That probably is what they should do. But this regime at throwing resource at D Tackle.... jeepers creepers.
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