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GunnerBill

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Everything posted by GunnerBill

  1. Here we are.... after multiple re-writes last night and this morning here it is version 3.0 - the mock I will grade myself against tomorrow! I only have one Quarterback here. To be crystal clear I do expect one more to go (probably Sanders but possibly Dart) as a result of a team trading back into the first. But as my final prediction is always a no-trade mock I am sticking and picking for all 32 teams. Enjoy reading folks! 1 – Tennessee Titans – Cam Ward – Quarterback, Miami This pick has been locked down for well over a month now, Cam Ward is going #1 overall and will be the new face of the franchise in Nashville. 2 – Cleveland Browns – Travis Hunter – Cornerback / Wide Receiver, Colorado As I said in version 2.0, this comes down to either Abdul Carter or Travis Hunter and with Myles Garrett signed to a new deal I think the perimeter playmaking ability of Hunter (on both sides of the ball) fills a bigger need. He now feels all but guaranteed to be the pick. 3 – New York Giants – Abdul Carter – Edge Rusher, Penn State The Giants could have fooled everyone and be planning to take a Quarterback at #3 but I don’t think so. Russell Wilson is going to start for them in 2025, and they will take the best player available and add Abdul Carter to their pass rushing arsenal. 4 – New England Patriots – Will Campbell – Offensive Tackle, LSU In a world where both Carter and Hunter are off the board I expect the Patriots to take Will Campbell. While his length concerns me to be a long term left tackle his quick feet and athleticism give him a solid chance to be a successful pro even if that ends up being at guard. 5 – Jacksonville Jaguars – Ashton Jeanty – Running Back, Boise State The word on the street with the Jaguars is expect the unexpected. I am increasingly hearing and believing the talk of Tet McMillan going at this spot but I’m not quite brave enough to pull the trigger here so I will play it safer and project Ashton Jeanty as the selection. 6 – Las Vegas Raiders – Kelvin Banks Jnr – Offensive Tackle, Texas The Raiders are going offensive line. The intrigue is which guy. Armand Membou has been the consensus pick at this spot but increasingly you are hearing that the NFL likes Kelvin Banks Jnr much more than the talking heads do. He is my #1 tackle I’m making him the pick. 7 – New York Jets – Tyler Warren – Tight End, Penn State While I think Jahdae Barron is in play I believe the Jets would prefer to go offense. With Davante Adams gone they are short on passing game targets and their new offensive coordinator is a former tight ends coach too so joining the dots I expect Tyler Warren to be the pick. 8 – Carolina Panther – Jalon Walker – Linebacker, Georgia The entire league believes the Panthers are locked in on Jalon Walker, but I do wonder if Mason Graham still being on the board changes things given that they were in on Milton Williams in free agency. However, Walker is a Carolina kid and is their kind of personality too so I like the fit. 9 – New Orleans Saints – Mykel Williams – Edge Rusher, Georgia I don’t believe the Saints are drafting a Quarterback at this spot and will instead focus on the trenches. Mickey Loomis has a type when it comes to edge rushers – long and toolsy – which is very much a description that fits Mykel Williams. 10 – Chicago Bears – Mason Graham – Defensive Tackle, Michigan I think the Bears would take Kelvin Banks if he reached this spot but given he is gone and Mason Graham is sliding I think the value might be too good to miss. I know the Bears signed Grady Jarrett in free agency, but he turns 32 on Monday. Graham is a longer term solution. 11 – San Francisco 49ers – Walter Nolen – Defensive Tackle, Ole Miss I made this selection in the Virgil v3.0 Mock Draft a few days ago and then lo and behold suddenly all the buzz is about Nolen to the 49ers. Their defensive tackle position is pretty weak right now and Nolen is absolutely tailor made for Robert Saleh’s scheme. 12 – Dallas Cowboys – Tetairoa McMillan – Wide Receiver, Arizona Dallas needs to upgrade at wide receiver where beyond CeeDee Lamb the cupboard is bare. I had been thinking Golden might be the pick but all the smoke out there at the moment is about Tet McMillan and I can totally see him landing in this spot. 13 – Miami Dolphins – Armand Membou – Offensive Tackle, Missouri Corner is definitely in play for the Dolphins here too, but they have to be better up front protecting Tua and because he is a lefty if there is any team that can legitimately value right tackle more than left it is the Dolphins. Membou is an upgrade on Austin Jackson. 14 – Indianapolis Colts – Colston Loveland – Tight End, Michigan The Colts have been linked to tight ends right throughout this process and while I have heard whispers that they really like Shermar Stewart too I can’t see them going pass rusher in back to first rounds so I will stick with Loveland to add a weapon in a make or break season for Anthony Richardson. 15 – Atlanta Falcons – James Pearce Jnr – Edge Rusher, Tennessee This is the year! Atlanta is finally going to address its edge rush issues. I believe this will be one of Mykel Williams (already off the board), Mike Green or James Pearce and some people I trust are saying Pearce is the most likely selection. 16 – Arizona Cardinals – Matthew Golden – Wide Receiver, Texas I am told that the Cardinals feel they have done enough with the defensive front seven to free them up to target other positions at this spot. Corner is in play but their GM has talked about needing more speed on offense. Matthew Golden would bring that missing element. 17 – Cincinnati Bengals – Shermar Stewart – Edge Rusher, Texas A&M Even if Trey Hendrikson ends up staying the Bengals need to bolster their pass rush. They are another front office that like to draft length and size and Shermar Stewart is 6’5 with over 34 inch arms. He fits their prototype. 18 – Seattle Seahawks – Nick Emmanwori – Safety, South Carolina I made this pick in Virgil’s mock v2.0 and in the Gunner and Gonzo collab mock. I just think it makes a ton of sense from a scheme fit. Everyone else is pegging Grey Zabel here, and I get that too, but with two second rounders I feel like interior offensive line can be addressed later. 19 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jihaad Campbell – Linebacker, Alabama I have had this match in all three of my mock drafts. He could slide further because of the shoulder issue but the Buccs have done so much work on linebackers this spring I think they might just be willing to take a swing given their long term need there. 20 – Denver Broncos – Emeka Egbuka – Wide Receiver, Ohio State The Broncos have been linked to tight ends and running backs for the longest time, but despite Omarion Hampton still being on the board here the latest noise is saying wide receiver and Egbuka would be a good compliment to Courtland Sutton. 21 – Pittsburgh Steelers – Derrick Harmon – Defensive Tackle, Oregon I do not believe the Steelers will take Shedeur Sanders at #21. I have been hearing for weeks and weeks that they are set on finding Cam Heyward’s long term replacement at defensive tackle and Derrick Harmon feels like a very good fit in that role. 22 – Los Angeles Chargers – Kenneth Grant – Defensive Tackle, Michigan It might be slightly lazy to just keep mocking Michigan Wolverines to Jim Harbaugh and the Chargers, but they do have a major need on the defensive line. Poona Ford played well for them in 2024 but left in free agency. 23 – Green Bay Packers – Will Johnson – Cornerback, Michigan Finally, a pure corner comes off the board and it is no surprise that is to the Packers. Eric Stokes left in free agency and Jaire Alexander’s future remains somewhat undecided. Johnson would be a good scheme fit even if he lacks ideal length. 24 – Minnesota Vikings – Jahdae Barron – Cornerback, Texas Jahdae Barron has admirers in the top 10 to 12 picks of this draft but if he doesn’t go there he is likely to slide into the early 20s because of team needs and his physical profile. Minnesota will likely try and trade back but I think they do want to upgrade at corner. 25 – Houston Texans – Grey Zabel – Interior Offensive Line, North Dakota State It has been a spring of turmoil on the Texans offensive line and I think the idea of a guy like Zabel who has played all five spots in college will be attractive as they try and piece together a starting five to protect CJ Stroud better than they did in 2024. 26 – Los Angeles Rams – Maxwell Hariston – Cornerback, Kentucky I had the Rams going Trey Amos in my last version and in the Gunner and Gonzo collab mock but I’m flipping now to Hariston. They would essentially be drafting him as the long term replacement for Darious Williams who has a similar physical profile to the Kentucky corner. 27 – Baltimore Ravens – Malaki Starks – Safety, Georgia Stop me if you have heard this before but the Ravens stand pat at their original spot and have one of the top 10 players in the draft (at least by my board) fall right into their laps. Malaki Starks and Kyle Hamilton has the potential to be an all-world safety combination. 28 – Detroit Lions – Donovan Ezeiruaku – Edge Rusher, Boston College I still like this fit. The Lions get Marcus Davenport back, whose season ended in week two last year, but Za’Darius Smith was released and their depth is questionable. Ezeiruaku feels like their kind of person and their kind of player and steps right in opposite Aiden Hutchinson. 29 – Washington Commanders – Mike Green – Edge Rusher, Marshall Mike Green has had an up and down draft process, wowing evaluators at the Senior Bowl only to have the off-field allegations about him emerge at the Combine. After which teams have stayed away. Only two turned up at his pro day, but one of them was the Washington Commanders. 30 – Buffalo Bills – Trey Amos – Cornerback, Ole Miss I’ve put my neck out on the board and said to me the Bills pick at #30 comes down to Amos, Hariston or Nick Scourton. While I don’t rule out a trade back, with the corner run in the 20s my guess is the Bills would stick and pick if one of the defensive backs reached them. 31 – Kansas City Chiefs – Josh Simmons – Offensive Tackle, Ohio State The latest on Josh Simmons’s recovery from the ACL tear, suffered last October, is that he might miss most of camp but should be full go by the start of the season. Having signed 49ers backup Jaylon Moore in free agency the Chiefs can afford to ease him in gently. 32 – Philadelphia Eagles – Tyler Booker – Interior Offensive Line, Alabama Booker is attending the draft but he is my idea of the guy that slides out of round one if teams coming up from round two for Quarterbacks pushes talent down, but in this scenario Howie Roseman reverts to his tried and tested formula of best big school SEC player available.
  2. Ha. Well I hate nothing more than a radio show / podcast where the hosts sound the same and I can't work out which one is talking. At least we don't fall into that trap 😆
  3. Good job @gonzo1105. I am in the gym with my list in front of me still swapping guys about.... but I think first half of the round is pretty similar to what I have them more differences second half (but largely the same names just different order).
  4. I am glad it wasn't all out Tuesday.... we would have taken 3 hours 🤣
  5. Recent years Charlie and Peter Schrager are the two most consistent. Josh Norris was pretty good when he was at Rotoworld but the last couple of year's less so. Guess where he is now he has less access.
  6. And to add I think we both thought about the guy at #56 earlier but he is a bit more scheme dependent than some of the other edge guys who ended up in front of him. It wouldn't shock me if he went earlier. I think the Bills at #56 is probably that player's floor unless the Bills have gone edge at #30.
  7. I still think Amos and Hariston are the two most likely picks there. Who would I pick? James Pearce.
  8. Yep. Tomorrow morning. I don't think however I will get to my detailed QB write ups this year. Just gonna run out of time I think.
  9. I think Hunter is the slightly superior talent, but for the Bills I'd take Abdul Carter.
  10. My best available are: Barron Starks Campbell Pearce Scourton Revel Simmons Golden Amos Harmon Egbuka Hampton
  11. Unfortunately SDS was clear on no commercialisation.... so we had to drop them last minute. Pity. They reckoned TBD members were their target audience.
  12. With thanks to the mods for agreeing we could post this here, find a link to a full two round mock podcast just recorded with me @GunnerBill and @gonzo1105! We were trying to get through two rounds in an hour and a half but we talked too much so we overran slightly (it's about 1hr 50) but here it is for your pleasure! The sounds quality is only okay, but it is good enough to listen to. https://www.podbean.com/pa/pbblog-zxmgh-abe0f6 Feedback much appreciated... but I'm not gonna tip the Bills picks... you will just have to listen to find out 😄
  13. Yea my lodger who is a uni student does that. Asks ChatGPT to write it, then rewrites it but keeps the structure.
  14. With the 11th pick of the 2025 TSW Mock Draft v3.0, the San Francisco 49ers select: Walter Nolen, Defensive Tackle, Ole Miss Robert Saleh has returned to the Bay area as Defensive Coordinator but when he walks back into the defensive meeting room he isn't going to find the embarrassment of riches he had in his first stint with Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner, Javon Kinlaw and Soloman Thomas ready and waiting to play on the interior of the defensive line. Jordan Elliott and Evan Anderson are currently pencilled in as the starters and that is a major hole on the roster. Nolen is the perfect style of one gapping penetrator that Saleh loves and while there have been character concerns surrounding him they appear to be about maturity and whether his motor runs hot and cold, rather than anything that could cost him time on the field. I considered Armand Membou here, as our offensive line needs help, but if I'm addressing that in round one I want someone who one day can succeed Trent Williams at left tackle and taking college right tackles then moving them to the left side in the NFL almost always fails. The Dallas Cowboys and @RyanC883 are now on the clock. Time to lock Jerry in a cupboard.
  15. Take out the second half blowout of the Jets week 17 and the Patriots game week 18 and almost all his snaps came inside at nickel or dime. I think the Bills see him as a break class in case of emergency option only outside. They view him as a nickel/dime back.
  16. The character concerns we have heard about with Pearce, Nolen and Green all draft season won't go away. On Green specifically a beat reporter who covers an NFC team that I am on occasional DM level terms with on twitter told me about 4 weeks ago the sexual assault allegations that are in the public domain are the "tip of the iceberg" and that there is a "worrying pattern of behaviour." I has since reached out to someone who is a front office NFL exec on a team that is not in a place in the first round where drafting Green was likely to have been on the table at any stage (regular readers might be able to work out who I'm on about) and he said he thought he'd be "off more boards than he was on" given what he had heard about his background. I'm at the stage with Green where I think if he makes it past the Falcons, Cardinals and Bengals at #15, #16 and #17 he will slide out of round 1. There are just so many pass rush needy teams early and if you are a team in the second half of round 1 even if he sticks out on your board you are going to be thinking "what do they all know that we don't."
  17. Yep I have a higher grade than I had on both Bijan (who I loved) and Gibbs (who I liked but in hindsight was too low on).
  18. Yea I love Branch, loved him coming out had a 1st on him. I always forget about Dickerson on the Eagles..... but yea, they are just more renowned for Georgia though... Smith, Davis, Dean, Ringo, Carter etc...
  19. The Eagles? They are Georgia North aren't they? The Lions have a few Bama boys - Gibbs, Williams, Arnold...
  20. Graham makes sense by virtue of BPA. I only have 4 guys with top 10 grades. He is the 4th of them. But Banks is my 6th highest ranked player and left tackle is a long term need in Jacksonville.
  21. I don't think it is a reach. I think it is a great pick. He is the best left tackle in this class.
  22. I will be in front of the tv for every single pick. From the stage walks on night 1 to the craziness of picks being announced from zip wires and by men dressed as sharks on day 3.... right through to stump the truck! Nights 1 and 2 normally just some nachos and snacks. Takeout pizza on day 3 normally.
  23. It was this regime. Not this franchise.
  24. This list isn't correct. Scourton visited. I hadn't heard Thomas or Grant did but wouldn't surprise me on either.
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