GunnerBill

I'd rather have the most talented difference making player I can get. At the start of the offseason I'd have ranked them as 1. Garrett, 2. Crosby, 3. DK Metcalf, 4. Hendriksen. Crosby is off the market. So my order of preference is as remaining. I think the Bills need to stop, both in FA and the draft, thinking in terms of this position vs that position and start thinking premium position difference makers ranked by pure ability. Take the best one first whether he is an edge or a receiver.

Oh boy did his arms come in at 32"? If so the Bills would pass even if he was.

Yea he had a poor 2023 but a very good 2022 and 2024. Definitely the best punter since Moorman. Although only a punter.

I did forget Dennison. And on Frazier, I don't think. I know. From as close as you can get to the horses mouth.

He has fired 2 OCs and 2 STCs. Think it is fair to question the hires he has made to the STC role.

I think the Packers off was a 2nd plus Romeo Doubs. I'm not sold that constitutes an unbeatable offer.

Sorry you are correct. I forgot about Rick. 2 OCs fired in 9 years and one left for a HC job.

If DK is saying he only wants a contender it means he is willing to come in at the lower end of his range (roughly $22-26m AAV) on a new deal. The Bills can absolutely make that work. Something like: 3 years, $72m, $40m guaranteed. Signing bonus $32m. 2025 salary: $2m (guaranteed) 2025 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2025 cap hit: $8.4m 2026 salary: $10m (of which $6m guaranteed) 2026 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2026 cap hit: $16.4m 2027 salary: $28m (zero guaranteed) 2027 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2027 cap hit: $34.4m 2028 salary: VOID 2028 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2028 cap hit: $6.4m 2029 salary: VOID 2029 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2029 cap hit: $6.4m Those first two years work very easily in our cap the you have a decision after 2026. Cutting him at that point gives you a dead cap hit in 2027 of $19.2m which looks scary but against where the cap is now is really not. The anticipated cap in 2027 via Spotrac is $337m and they have been coming in low on their estimates the past couple of years. Using their estimate that dead cap his would equate to 5.6% of the cap but you could spread the pain over two years as a post 1 June ($6.4m in 2027 and $12.8m). Equally if DK us still performing at a high level in 2026 you could redo his deal at that point. You'd have leverage because he'd have no new guarantees left on the deal. So you'd say "we will give you some guaranteed money up front if you agree to spread some of the salary across 2027 and 2028 turning them into 'real' years on the contract." Teams care about cap numbers. Players care about cash. You might to chuck $5m or so additional in as a sweetener (rather than just guaranteeing money that wasn't guaranteed before) but there is a pretty easy, by NFL standards, negotiation to be done there if DK wants to stay and he is still performing. Is it a bit of a chips in play? Sure. Does it come without risk? No. But it is something the Bills can definitely do without being completely all or nothing. It is exactly the sort of controlled aggression that I want to see from them this offseason.

McDermott has fired precisely 1 O/D coordinator. Dorsey. He has fired two STCs and let another walk at the end of his contract. Going into year 9 that is actually pretty solid consistency.

You mean in the league? Cos that is not true of the Bills.

Beane at the Combine last week said we were about $4m over the cap currently on his calcs FWIW.

He isn't a lost cause. But if he needs to be part of the package to get me DK he is disposable.

To develop the point I think the other factor linked to NIL is if you had a 3rd round grade previously from the advisory committee you came out because 3rd round rookie money was better than no money (I know was never really no money). Now if you think stay in college I could be a first round guy next year and get NIL money in the meantime that becomes a more attractive long term play.

He has formally requested a trade and Seattle are allowing him to explore options!!!

Spotrac have the AAV at $13.25m as well, so there might be something off there or he signed for less than reported. But on the option bonus stuff they are right, they just can't show that as counting yet because it doesn't count yet. Even though in reality we all know it will.

Nah, in reality it is more than that. It's as I predicted they'd have to do if they wanted to keep the 2025 hit down. A small pro-rated signing bonus (only $7m spread over 5 years) with another chunk - $9.1m - as an "option bonus" that triggers in 2026 and is amortized at $1.8m for the remaining 4 years of the deal and a 5th void year. If you cut him before the 2027 season there would be $4.2m of the original signing bonus left as dead cap and $7.3m of the 2026 option bonus left as dead cap. So it would be a total of $11.5m to cut him before 2027. Reducing by $3.2m per year thereafter.

And redirect money from guard to tackle possibly? Their need at left tackle is desperate. It is bigger than any single positional need the Bills have on their roster.

I think it makes sense for the Chiefs. Thuney is still a significant loss, make no mistake, but if they are rebuilding that offensive line building it around Creed and Trey makes sense. Paying 4/5 spots on your Oline only to put trash out there at left tackle is a bad strategy.

I think Egbuka can play wide as a Z. I don't think he is a strict slot in the way Shakir is. I know he has played overwhelmingly in the slot for Ohio State, but there are plays wide where he looks good to me. It is a bit of a projection though, I grant you.

I second this, and the arm size likely means the Bills will discount him. I know they met with him but they love arm length.

First, this has nothing to do with Worthy. Not sure why you want to keep making every topic about Worthy. It is the second time in the last few weeks you have done it in a place where it has zero relevance. Starting to feel like trolling. Second, this also has nothing to do with the Bills. Deebo hasn't been traded to the Bills. Nor was I talking about whether I would or wouldn't have wanted the Bills to trade for him. I was talking very explicitly about the trade that has happened in reality not a fictional one that hasn't. But I will answer what I don't like about Deebo the player.... I think he is slightly overrated by a lot of people even within Kyle's scheme. He only has one thousand yard receiving season in his career and before people scream about his rushing yards he only has two thousand yard years in terms of yards from scrimmage. I have long since argued he is one of the most scheme specific players in the entire NFL. He doesn't do a ton of receiver things all that well. He doesn't really run routes. He doesn't get off press coverage. He isn't good at the catch point if there is any sort of competition. What he can do is use his combination of wiggle and power when he gets the ball in his hands to make people miss in space. A lot of his success in San Francisco is a direct result of Shanhan being the best play designer in football who has found more was to isolate Samuel in single defender looks than I believe any other coordinator could do. Every OC uses iso concepts. Not many, if any, have as many ways to use them and get to them when the defense thinks something else is coming as Kyle. And don't just take my word for it on the specificity of his fit in that scheme. When he was trying to hold out for a contract a couple of years ago Deebo's market was considerably softer for a trade than he and his agent expected. Now when he is traded it is for a 5th round pick. That is like Diontae Johnson compensation. It is not like Deebo is 32 like Hopkins either (who also fetched a 5th). He is just turned 29 in January. Nor is his contract an albatross - one year $17.5m. So why was his market not hotter? Injuries play a part, sure. But it is because a lot of NFL teams look at him the same way I do. Potentially elite (at his peak) in Shanahan's scheme. JAG in most others. I don't see the fit in Kliff Kingsbury's offense to be honest. He doesn't use a ton of isolation concepts in fact I think I read a stat last season that no OC lined up his two primary receivers on the same side of the formation more than he did. He tries to beat you by flooding you and putting your defenders in a bind. That requires receivers who understand the nuances of how to stack defenders and run routes which isn't Deebo's game. For that reason I don't think this moves the dial for Washington. They obviously think given the cap room they have and the low level of draft compensation it is worth the risk.

I think all 4 will be gone too. But of the four Burden is my least favourite and I am not sure I'd take him for the Bills. I maintain I think he has the hardest transition to the NFL game.

I just don't think what he does well is as easy a conversion to the NFL. Honestly when I watch his tape I get Laviska Shenault vibes.

Burden is overrated. I'd take Golden and Egbuka before him. Burden isn't even someone I'd consider must pick for the Bills at #30. I personally think Tet shoukd be clear WR1, but others are lower and that brings others into play.

He isn't as thick as Tre. But I do like him. I think without the health concerns in 2024 woulda been a first round lock.