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GunnerBill

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Everything posted by GunnerBill

  1. There is a correlation. But that applies to wear and tear injuries which none of those 3 you mention were. It was bad luck.
  2. The only reason the Bills were a better team week 1 last year than week 18 was injuries. And none of the injuries we suffered were the "predictable vet slowing down type." Even the Von ACL all the science says the increased risk after a tear is minimal. It was just a bit of luck evening out IMO. Bills had pretty good injury fortune in 2020 and most of 2021. But since the Tre ACL they have hit a run of injuries. Luck always plays a part.
  3. He does actually understand football and very occasionally it seeps out. But he is has been a massive homer since he got the WGR gig.
  4. I think Milano absolutely can be a game wrecker but not against KC. That is a schematic thing. But I agree down, Hyde, Von, one of Poyer's knees and the proper Tre White the Bills defense wasn't frightening anyone.
  5. Your posts make a lot more sense now. You are living and commenting on an alternate reality where things that have happened didn't happen and where things that didn't happen actually happened.
  6. Of course you don't. But the last two season the Bills have lost too many times with the offense having the ball last. They have to be better. I think that starts up front, but there may be a mental element to it too.
  7. You don't think Mahomes understands the Bills defense better than he understands the Cincy one?
  8. I think he must mean scheme. I think particularly the Chiefs defense matches up better to our offense than they do to the Bengals offense. Our weakness at IOL the Benglas weakness more being at tackle and the Chiefs best guy being an interior guy. Plus Gay and Bolton probably felt like they had the advantage over our slot whereas not so much vs Boyd. And then the two outside guys can just out phsyical the Chiefs corners. Whereas our guys (particularly Stef) rely more on route running. On defense I think the difference is less scheme and more just Mahomes has got his head around our D more than he has the Bengals.
  9. Yea but the NFL is a parity league. There will be 5 or 6 games every year where it comes down to the end. There were years Brady had to pull late game heroics even against bad teams. Of course everyone knows the Bills made mistakes earlier in some of those losses. But they had the ball with a realistic chance to win in all 3 and didn't get it done. They have to be better in those sceanrios.
  10. He had a thousand yards as a rookie. Injuries and QB issues held him back last year. Agree he hasn't justified the #4 pick yet.
  11. Linked to the psychological closing issue is the number if games the Bills lose by 1 score where our offense has the ball last. All 3 defeats last year in the regular season fall into that category and over the last 2 years it has been a recurring issue. That shouldn't be happening with an elite QB and it may well be partly mental. However, I think both - redzone and end of game - are the situations where the pressure rachets up on our pass protection and it invariably has failed.
  12. He hasn't even been a coordinator for a while. He got the Lions OC job mid season, I think when Joe Lombardi was fired if I have my timing right. Then his first full season in charge Matt Stafford produced on of his best Lions seasons and they made the playoffs. However, performance declined and he was let go when Jim Caldwell was fired. He has been a position coach and offensive assistant in the 4 or 5 years since until Shane Steichen hired him this spring to be Colts OC. But you are right that after that good year he had with Stafford when no HC interviews were forthcoming there was a little bit of "is it because of his name?" chatter. I don't think it was personally. It was because of sample size.
  13. Yea and where his drafting for need is most apparent is day 2 of the draft. I do think generally they stick to the board in round 1. The only player they have taken round 1 that wasn't by my board right there as BPA or close to it when they took him was Elam who I didn't have as a first rounder, but the Bills told us they did and the recent Athletic article revealed that Kansas City did too so could have been a case that I was just lower than the league on him.... and I can kind of see why that might be the case because he is a very high ceiling guy and the league tends to love that even when the floor is low which always makes me a bit more wary. Otherwise - Allen, Edmunds, Oliver, Rousseau, Kincaid.... they were all within the 2 or 3 best available.and in truth probably all guys who were expected to be gone by the spot where the Bills took them. But day two... of the first 6 day two picks Beane made as Bills GM (ie. guys whose rookie deals have expired or who will after this season), 2 have walked at the end of their deal (Phillips and Singletary), 2 have been traded away before the end of it (Ford and Moss), 1 is going into contract year having never established himself as a starter (AJE) and then there is one success story who has established himself and signed an extension (Dawson Knox). And a whole lot of those picks had a need element to them. His record on day 1 is good. His record on day 3 remains very good in comparison to his peers. Where he has really struggled is day 2 and I think it is because that is where need has often driven decision making.
  14. I do not think all Bills players are the best. You are just wrong on Dawson Knox.
  15. No you can be on the senior list multiple times. It isn't this year or never. Eventually they will put Tasker in.
  16. Yea unless Josh suffers major injury the Bills are better than the 7th best team in the AFC. It is still Buffalo, KC and Cincy as the 1,2,3. Now I do think there are maybe 7 or even 8 AFC teams that wouldn't be a complete shock if they were the AFC rep in the Superbowl - which hasn't been the case previously.
  17. Oh he can in that there are ways and means. But that isn't how he has historically operated. I am very sceptical that he will be willing to spend cash up front year after year.
  18. The 2017 roster was not the 2015 roster though. The 2015 roster QB apart is one of the strongest the Bills have had.
  19. Not until he gets pissed of them not creating space to improve and pulls a Carson Palmer 😁. But yea he is going to sign a deal shortly I imagine.
  20. I agree but I think where it will hurt the Bengals is I don't see him converting salary into bonus year after year for Burrow and Chase the way the Bills and Chiefs have to flex their cap. Because Brown can't afford to write those cheques every spring.
  21. I don't even think it is true. Sal C likes to sell it as a reason on WGR as to why recent draft classes have struggled to make an impact "the Bills have a very good veteran team" but Greg Rousseau started week 1 as a rookie the year after we went to the AFCCG. They starter a 6th round rookie corner at the Superbowl Champions opening night last year. The Bills find a way to put young guys out there if they think they can handle it. They started Kaiir Elam over Dane Jackson in the playoffs. They did that because by that point in the year they felt he could do it. They started Spencer Brown as a rookie by about week 4 - he hasn't been good enough. The "oh the team is really good" doesn't really wash. None of our picks are sitting behind our best players waiting for an opportunity. If we'd picked a left tackle who was sitting behind Dion or a safety who was sitting behind Hyde and Poyer fair enough. If Kincaid ends up behind Knox this year I might question why they spent a 1st on a flex tight end if they were only going to use 1 and that guy was going to play inline... but I wouldn't question Kincaid because Knox is a really good player. AJ and Boogie have sat behind the likes of Shaq Lawson at times. Cook sat behind Singletary who they then let walk. They traded Moss away... the only guy who could legit claim he sat behind good players is Terrell Bernard... unfortunately when he got his opportunities he also looked worse than Dodson and Klein.
  22. Danna will be allowed to walk. He is a good rotational end. He isn't an every down player. I don't have him anywhere near top 100 status (and I like the guy, had a day 2 grade on him coming out). I imagine Tranquill will be a one year guy too. He is insurance for Gay and Bolton IMO. Jones they will pay and Sneed is gonna get paid. The problem is he is really only a nickel in most schemes. He plays that hybrid role in the Spags scheme where Sneed will be in the slot one down, with McDuffie outside and the next down they switch. His value will be hard to peg. The Chiefs didn't draft well in 2018 and 2019 it was part of what allowed the Bills to catch up to them. But they have crushed 2020, 2021 and 2022 at the same time as the Bills drafting has tailed off a bit.
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