GunnerBill

Yep. His completion percentage against is under 60% for his career as well, which is the standard of the top guys - be in the 50s. His TDs given up are down each year, from 5 as a rookie to 4, to 3. I think the "he gets burned a ton" is way overblown. For a corner as aggressive and who makes as many plays as him, he actually gets burned fairly infrequently.

In terms of do I think Kincaid and Knox will both be out there more than 40%? Yes. I repeat though they will be in a traditional 11 formation. Diggs and Davis wide, Kincaid in the slot, Knox at tight end. I doubt Dalton Kincaid plays more than maximum 25% of his snaps as a tight end as a rookie, he just isn't that kind of player. And the Bills use a conventional tight end on about 85% of their plays. I expect 12 to be their base personnel. I just don't expect them to run a lot of traditional 12 formation stuff. They are going to play 3 wides, Kincaid is just going to be one of them.

Puts him joint 5th among corners in AAV and there are people above him who I think are more overpaid than he. Probably a slight overpay by reference to his peers but the list of really good young corners from recent drafts isn't long... Pat Surtain and Sauce spring to mind but not a lot of others have proven it. So if Diggs hit the market I fancy he'd get at least what Dallas paid him on the open market.

I do not "X" every one of your posts. But you say a lot of unsubstantiated stuff and make a lot of claims that are just wrong. So when you do that I "X" them.

Yea that is fair. But the tape bears it out too. Knox gets open. Edit: and he is still going to be the traditional tight end. So he is still going to be the guy picked up by linebackers and occasionally safeties. To the extent that anyone is going to be covered by a corner in that situation it is Kincaid.

And where we use Knox as a high volume tight end - redzone - he produces like a top 5 tight end and is our second most productive player over the past 2 seasons. Now 4th and 8 at your own 25 isn't the same as the redzone, but it can still require a guy who can get open in condensed spaces and catch the ball. Knox has proven he can.

Knox separated better than all our receivers except Diggs last year by NextGen stats. Now okay, we have added Sherfield and Harty etc... maybe they separate better, but until I see it proven otherwise, yes, I think Knox and Kincaid will separate better than every receiver except Diggs. Will we be in 12 a lot of the time? I think our personnel grouping will be 12 a lot, yes. I think formation wise it will still look like we are in a lot of 11. If we are taking Knox off the field to get Kincaid on the field or not using Kincaid because we have Knox then the Bills screwed the pooch in April. I think Brandon Beane will be desperate not to have another season where his first round pick struggles to get on the field. When that happens back to back years eyes inevitably go to the General Manager's office.

Yea I expect three tight ends IF they have a third guy worth keeping. They won't keep three tight ends to keep an inferior player and lose a guy they like at another spot, but we know they already like Morris some and as I said above they liked Sternberger enough to bring him in pre-draft back in 2019. I think that could develop into a nice little camp battle for TE3. They will keep Reggie Gilliam though, unless something really odd happens. He is a core special teamer, can play traditional full back, in line tight end and H-back in a pinch. There is value in that multi-functionality.

The very same. Although we know their QB calls were driven by Frank Reich he has admitted as much. It is what got him fired. I think on Evans though it isn't just that the Colts let him go after taking one look in OTAs.... the whole career trajectory in the NFL suggests he isn't at the level.

This is a move I like. He has a legit shot at making the 53 if we keep 3 tight ends.

You don't give up on a day 2 pick after two years just because it is crowded in front of him. You do that because you determined he can't play at the level required. Since then he managed to earn just 14 attempts with the Bears and then was cut after OTAs by the Colts. It doesn't mean it is impossible that he suddenly breaks out into a legit NFL running back but I think the odds are very firmly stacked against. And his receiving ability is a total tbc... he has 7 targets and 5 receptions for a career. I get it he offers some return ability and got on the field a bit for that as a rookie. If what the Bills really wanted to do here was just add another guy to the camp mix as a returner I suppose I get it. If they were looking to strengthen the running back room I maintain - there are better alternatives on the street. Well the Colts had him in for a cup of coffee in OTAs and stuck with Zack. So it doesn't say a lot.

They are both among our four best receiving weapons.

Couldn't get on the field in Tennessee who were willing to cut their losses on a day 2 pick after 2 seasons. That isn't a ringing endorsement.

He reminds me a lot of Singletary.

That's him. Jordan Mims. His name escaped me for a moment.

I like the Fresno State kid. I thought he was worth a day 3 pick. Given there is an opening he might have a shot to make the team.

You talk nonsense. You said he scapegoated the safeties coach who "had the best unit on the team during the McDermott era." You haven't got a clue what you are on about. Best if you bow out now.

Crikey. There must be better available on the street than him.

But he got the ball where it needed to be. Nobody is confusing Tua's arm for a cannon.

Salgado was only safeties coach in 2022. He was a defensive quality control guy for 3 years and then a nickel coach in 2020 and 2021. The safeties struggled last year. Health and inexperience was an issue but the playoff loss was Jordan Poyer's (who was injured in fairness) worst game as a Bill. I think it is very legit to say the safeties coach last year did a poor job. And he cannot claim to have had the "best unit on the team" before that.

Compared to Derek Carr it does. When a team voluntarily and knowingly makes itself worse at QB it is legit to ask what is going on.

Lots of people reminding me Harty has history as a returner. Yes I forgot about him. In my defense he wasn't called Harty at the time!

We don't have a returner.

Tua threw over the Ravens secondary when they blitzed in a very similar scenario the week before.

He was in the good TE class of 2019, from which the Bills drafted Dawson Knox. From memory I think they had Sternberger in for a pre-draft visit that spring. They looked hard at that group and were determined to draft one. They took a flier on Kahale Warring a couple of years ago on the practice squad as well. He was the same, came out of that class, went in the 3rd, flamed out in Houston. So I suspect this is another guy who has been on their radar a while.