GunnerBill

I mean this narrative that they only spend draft capital on defense.... there is some truth to that in terms of first rounders. It is 7 on defense 2 on offense. They did obviously trade a first rounder for a receiver too, so 7 and 3 if you factor that in. But then it's 9 offense and 5 defense of their 14 day two picks. On day 3 picks it is 15 offense, 13 defense, 2 specialists. I don't think there has been a problematic over commitment to defense in terms of draft capital. I think the one big issue draft capital wise is they have under emphasised receiver. To have had 6 drafts (since 2018) without taking a receiver in the first two days..... there is only one other team in the NFL that have not picked a receiver in the first two days of the draft in that same period (major kudos points to anyone who can get the other team without googling btw). That has been a major oversight.

Definitely true. I agree on the Ravens as well. Almost every year it feels like I look at the entire classes at the end of draft weekend and think "man the Ravens crushed it again." They stick to the board and they pick the best football player. It is actually startlingly simple. They don't over complicate it.

Darius Robinson seems to be the guy really getting a lot of pop. Some of the clips of him rushing he looks faster than I thought he looked on his Mizzou film. If teams believe in his ability to win around the edge he is going to fly up boards because he has the power and violent hands.

Jags makes a lot of sense.

What would have been better for the Lions is drafting a stud corner with one of those first two picks. I have LOVED their draft work in 2021 and 2022 and I loved their second round in 2023. But a running back and a 1980s linebacker with two top 20 picks is bad draft strategy.

Eating.

Ohhhhh. JPJ could go round 1. For sure. And zero point zero chance he gets to #60.

Yea very possible the Bills were the first to offer him DC. At that point if you reject that and come up empty elswhere then you feel pretty foolish. There is a very real game of chicken going on here.

That is high for a 1T who I am not sure rushes the passer all that well. But Pittsburgh is a 3-4 team so taking him as a nose... I can see it. But I wouldn't say that's a great pick.

I like Ladd but he is built for a Shanahan style WCO off the stretch zone. I expect him to be higher on those boards than teams running more spread or E-P.

He will go between 25 and 40.

Yea I'd hate Sweat in round 1 because of positional value. He won't make it to #60 but if he did I'd sprint to the podium.

JPJ is going to be a plug and play 10 year starter at center in the NFL. If he were to get to us at #60 I'd do it. My views on Legette are well known. I was imploring people not to overreact yesterday, I say the same today. His tape is a day 1 player to me. I am resolute on that.

The Bills haven't opened with New England since EJ's debut in 2013. I predict we open home to New England at 1pm. Week 2 on the road in prime time. Possibly the Rams but I can see the Dolphins on the road as an MNF.

He will anyway. Only Diggs, Shakir and Shorter are under contract.

Todd Wash is the best DLine coach on the market that I can see but Marcus West is a credible internal candidate for promotion too. For QB coach Frank Reich has been mentioned. I think his route back to a top job is a long one but feels a considerable demotion. Sean Ryan has been mentioned and makes sense too. Shane Bowen is one I'd interview at Linebackers coach. Been the DC in Tennessee the past couple of years, but is a linebacker coach by trade. If you have guys consistently misplaying their technique that is a position coach issue. So it can have an inlfuence.

Frazier called the plays. I don't think Babich will. Brady will be what he was the 2nd half of this season. But he will have the spring and summer to install his version of this offense.

I don't need to hope. I actually never believed this year was a likely Superbowl year. Did they have a puncher's chance? Yes. They always do with Josh Allen. But I am way more optimistic at this stage than I was a year ago. I think we have started to see the development of Josh Allen era v2.0 with some young guys stepping up. I have higher expectations for the 2024 team than I did for the 2023 team. I was kinda at hope a year ago. I am not at hope now.

Well if they'd found the first down throw on the 2nd and 9 play instead..... then KC is using time outs (they only had 2) you score... I mean I think 2-4 if I stretch it one is realistic. But equally, had the Shakir play been a touchdown and then the defense had folded in on itself again and let KC score a touchdown that is a different conversation to what happened. Who knows what we might then be considering.

It was Next Gen Stats. I have never said the game just came down to the final drive. That has never been my argument. But after 58 minuted of football the Bills were in position and if they had executed 2 or 3 plays at the end they would have won.

But that's the thing..... it didn't. The awful defense and the awful special teams still left us a 73% win percentage probability by the analytics at the 2 minute warning.

Gonzalez was fantastic the first month of the year. He tore his shoulder in about week 5 and was done for the year, but he looked an absolute stud out there. Porter has been excellent. Forbes struggled early, played a bit better late. His main issue is he needs to add bulk. But I had Witherspoon, Gonzalez and Porter all as excellent plug and play immediate impact starters. They were the clear top 3 to me. I'd have happily picked any of them. EDIT: I loved Branch as well. I only had 11 first round grades last year, and two of them lasted to day 2 - Joey Porter and Brian Branch. Think it is safe to say in re-draft both would be slam dunk first rounders.

This was excellent, thanks. Some of it was stuff I have had explained to me before and I sort of understood but actually the way he describes pattern matching is the best and simplest explanation I have ever heard in terms of the box and the triangle. Pattern matching was a Belichick - Saban development during their time together with the Browns. They basically found they couldn't beat the Steelers playing zone because of the amount of vertical routes the Steelers were running and the speed they had meant the traditional cover 3 - read and react left their defenders too little time to get to the spot. They then tried playing man but they were just out-talented by the Steelers receivers on their DBs. So Saban wanted to mix the zone and man concepts and came up with pattern matching. One of the most interesting things in the video (and one of the newer things for me) was how the cover 6 takes away crossers. I think we have seen that frustrate the Bills offense some, particularly under Dorsey. They either end up with the crosser bracketed - and Josh has thrown a couple of picks trying to pit balls in between the bracket to his receiver - or with them held up enough clearing the coverage that the QB has to come off that and look elsewhere because his internal clock is sounding. On defense Bills have been doing the split field coverages pretty much since McDermott has been here. They are the best in the league over his tenure at preventing explosive pass plays. They force teams to throw underneath a lot. While they don't always achieve it the exact ways set out in the video (that I have seen they are not a big pattern matching team - although they do some) the objective is the same. Don't give anything big up, make teams dink and dunk. It is a definite trend in the NFL the last two years that defenses have fought back. It also explains why everyone is running these quick hitters to the flats so much. One of the things I have liked with Brady so far that is different to Dorsey is how he has used pre-snap motion to re-gain the leverage advantage in the middle of the field on inbreakers and slants - particularly with Shakir - where he almost gets a running start. It isn't novel.... the 9ers and Dolphins do it a ton, but it has generally been the preserve of those Shanahan style WCOs rather than E-P based schemes and the way Joe has managed to mesh that concept in mid-season has been impressive. It is one of the things that gives me real hope for him as permanent OC.

No they didn't. Witherspoon, Gonzalez, Forbes and Banks all went in the 1st. Joey Porter Jnr should have and went pick 33.

No, no. Just come out of a meeting on deaths in custody settings. Believe me you need the light relief this place brings.