
GunnerBill
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Everything posted by GunnerBill
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Yea... that is a lot for a one year starter. Makes me feel better about the Bernard deal I suppose although I suppose the Jets are thinking if last season was Sherwood's real level that is a bargain?
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Which levers they pull depends on what they want to do / can do with the money they save. If they think the market is pretty thin they will make two or three smaller moves and resist the temptation to kick the can on any existing deals. If they think there are a couple of bigger ticket items worth investing in they will do it and move money around. Yea you are essentially repeating exactly my point.
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I wouldn't pay him $33m AAV, no. I said before the trade happened yesterday... $30m AAV with about a half guaranteed was my upper limit. I'm not beating any horse. And no, I don't think Metcalf is worth that money or a Tier 1 player either. I'm just stating exactly what you are stating. The Bills have the space they just don't have the guys to use that space on. I'm sure they will add some good players. That's fine. I'll no doubt like some deals they do and like others less. But I don't think lack of good players has been their issue. It has been lack of great ones.
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He does. He still isn't in the class of a Garrett or a Crosby. And he is 30. I like Trey a lot. I wanted him when he was leaving the Saints. But he isn't in that true elite territory, he is just a tick below that. Similar to how I saw DK as a wide receiver. But DK is 3 years younger. Hendrikson will come wanting a long term deal because if he leaves Cincy that is why. And then you are back where you were with Von. Offering a 4 or 5 year deal when really you only expect him to play 2 or 3 on it. If the Bengals cut him and you can do that without the draft capital cost that is one thing. If you have to give up a day two pick and know at the point you re-do his deal you are bound to give yourself a dead cap headache at the end.... yea, I'm not sure how excited that makes me.
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I don't think he will leave Cincinnati. I do think he is a difference maker but he is definitely a level down from the Garrett's and Crosby's of the world. Good players don't move the dial for me really. We have loads of good players. My hope was finding a way to add a high end difference maker. Maybe Hendrikson still qualifies as that, but adding a 30 year old tier 2 edge rusher doesn't get me jumping off my chair either in all truth. That's why I am in on Holland. I think he is the closest to an elite player at his position of everyone in the FA / known available trade pool.
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Agree and that is why despite non-premium spot I think Holland is the guy I'd now be in on. He is the only guy in this pool now who has a case to be top 10 at his position and it happens to be the biggest hole the Bills have.
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I was ahead of the curve on this Beane point. I have been there since after our last AFCCG defeat. That especially in the draft he has struggled aside from Josh to find elite. My take then was "that is the thing he has to do to get us over the hump". But 4 years later we are still here. This isn't a hate on Beane post. He is a really good GM. He misses less than almost all his contemporaries. If he had found one more elite player - at edge or WR - I am convinced the Bills would have a Lombardy and he would be regarded in or around the Howie Roseman class.
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Bolton is just better than Bernard though.... but the difference isn't huge - certainly if Bernard can get back to 2023 form. The Chiefs - Bills rivalry isn't turning on the difference between a B+ middle linebacker and a B middle linebacker. So given the choice I'd probably prefer Bernard at 12 per than Bolton at 15 per. Don't love either deal to tell the truth.
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I think I am back where I started before the chase for Myles and DK became a thing. Jevon Holland is everything the Bills need at free safety. While it isn't a premium position he is so much better than what he is replacing the value above replacement is huge. Agree. If we throw money at Kupp I will find the nearest wall and bang my head against it until September (not literally but you get the point)....
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Yea I had one play with Spotrac around Christmas and I came to the conclusion that the Bills were fine this year cap wise. Unlike last year they can free up money without cutting / allowing to walk starting players. Plenty of room to add a difference maker. Problem is I think they are all off the board trade / FA wise.
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Greg Rousseau Extended (4 years / 80M / 54M Guaranteed)
GunnerBill replied to SCBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think Parsons is a better end than DK is a receiver, but I get the point you are making. While they are both (DK to a greater amount) one trick ponies it is the trick that has the most value for their position. And yea, even though DK is definitely not an elite receiver he is absolutely the type of guy the Bills have a desperate need for. -
2025 Annual Joe Marino Bills Mock Offseason
GunnerBill replied to BillsFanForever19's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yea he was. The question is in evaluating him did their need at corner affect how they had those guys graded? Do you allow your eyes to see something that isn't really there because you so badly want it to be? -
Josh Allen gets record contract extension $330 million
GunnerBill replied to The 9 Isles's topic in The Stadium Wall
Congrats to Josh. And he hasn't asked to re-set the market. He has his recognition. He has the bag. He is just about a ring at this point.- 235 replies
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2025 Annual Joe Marino Bills Mock Offseason
GunnerBill replied to BillsFanForever19's topic in The Stadium Wall
Love the Ward idea. Sweat and Palmer... I get it... they are the types we need but I think they are really base level of the types we need. Not sure either moves the dial much. As for his draft... we don't have a 3rd? Which is a shame cos Winston is the pick of his I like best. Alexander and Ivey with our first two pick would every much not amuse me. -
Greg Rousseau Extended (4 years / 80M / 54M Guaranteed)
GunnerBill replied to SCBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'd go to $30m AAV if he is willing to be flexible over the guaranteed %. I think St Brown (who is right at that $30m AAV marker) got 65% guaranteed. If DK wants that I'm out. If he is willing to be closer to 50% guaranteed I'd go to $30m. If he wants a higher guarantee it has to be in exchange for a lower AAV that allows them to manage the cap beyond the next two years. -
Browns ink Myles Garrett to an Extension
GunnerBill replied to EmotionallyUnstable's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yea I thought Garrett genuinely wanted out. Never believed it on Crosby and sceptical on DK but I actually thought Garrett was sick of losing. Seems not. -
I think that gets us under the cap.
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Ojulari couldn't play in this scheme. He is a 34 OLB only. I think he is overrated too but lots of people like him.
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Yea Benford's numbers in man are very good, just not elite. I don't think he is exclusively a zone guy.
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Ravens Re-Sign Top FA OT Ronnie Stanley
GunnerBill replied to BillsFanForever19's topic in The Stadium Wall
Oh at his best he absolutely was. He was a top 3 left tackle when he signed his last deal. He has barely played between then and this past year when it is fair to say he wasn't the same dominant player. -
Yea that last point is a good one that I confess I am sometimes guilty of missing. Part of the Bills culture is do the right thing, earn it on the field, be a good pro and get your rewards. And that matters. And is likely why they can win 13 games in a re-set season. I want more elite talent, but it is fair to point out the importance for a team like Buffalo of that messaging to players and agents around the league. We are not Philly or Dallas or LA or one of the Jersey teams with NYC on the doorstep. We have show we are a desirable location.
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Reminder from the start that although the cap sites had us c.$10m over at the Combine Beane said his calculations were more like $4m over.
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Greg Rousseau Extended (4 years / 80M / 54M Guaranteed)
GunnerBill replied to SCBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
My problem with that play wasn't that he misdiagnosed it. It was that he gave up. And he 100% did. Whatever he tries to say. Reid ran 5 plays against the Bills they hadn't run all year. And 0 against the Eagles even when they couldn't move the ball. You better believe the Chiefs play the Bills differently than they play other teams.