GunnerBill

Yea he had a poor 2023 but a very good 2022 and 2024. Definitely the best punter since Moorman. Although only a punter.

I did forget Dennison. And on Frazier, I don't think. I know. From as close as you can get to the horses mouth.

He has fired 2 OCs and 2 STCs. Think it is fair to question the hires he has made to the STC role.

I think the Packers off was a 2nd plus Romeo Doubs. I'm not sold that constitutes an unbeatable offer.

Sorry you are correct. I forgot about Rick. 2 OCs fired in 9 years and one left for a HC job.

If DK is saying he only wants a contender it means he is willing to come in at the lower end of his range (roughly $22-26m AAV) on a new deal. The Bills can absolutely make that work. Something like: 3 years, $72m, $40m guaranteed. Signing bonus $32m. 2025 salary: $2m (guaranteed) 2025 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2025 cap hit: $8.4m 2026 salary: $10m (of which $6m guaranteed) 2026 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2026 cap hit: $16.4m 2027 salary: $28m (zero guaranteed) 2027 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2027 cap hit: $34.4m 2028 salary: VOID 2028 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2028 cap hit: $6.4m 2029 salary: VOID 2029 amortised signing bonus: $6.4m 2029 cap hit: $6.4m Those first two years work very easily in our cap the you have a decision after 2026. Cutting him at that point gives you a dead cap hit in 2027 of $19.2m which looks scary but against where the cap is now is really not. The anticipated cap in 2027 via Spotrac is $337m and they have been coming in low on their estimates the past couple of years. Using their estimate that dead cap his would equate to 5.6% of the cap but you could spread the pain over two years as a post 1 June ($6.4m in 2027 and $12.8m). Equally if DK us still performing at a high level in 2026 you could redo his deal at that point. You'd have leverage because he'd have no new guarantees left on the deal. So you'd say "we will give you some guaranteed money up front if you agree to spread some of the salary across 2027 and 2028 turning them into 'real' years on the contract." Teams care about cap numbers. Players care about cash. You might to chuck $5m or so additional in as a sweetener (rather than just guaranteeing money that wasn't guaranteed before) but there is a pretty easy, by NFL standards, negotiation to be done there if DK wants to stay and he is still performing. Is it a bit of a chips in play? Sure. Does it come without risk? No. But it is something the Bills can definitely do without being completely all or nothing. It is exactly the sort of controlled aggression that I want to see from them this offseason.

McDermott has fired precisely 1 O/D coordinator. Dorsey. He has fired two STCs and let another walk at the end of his contract. Going into year 9 that is actually pretty solid consistency.

You mean in the league? Cos that is not true of the Bills.

Beane at the Combine last week said we were about $4m over the cap currently on his calcs FWIW.

He isn't a lost cause. But if he needs to be part of the package to get me DK he is disposable.

To develop the point I think the other factor linked to NIL is if you had a 3rd round grade previously from the advisory committee you came out because 3rd round rookie money was better than no money (I know was never really no money). Now if you think stay in college I could be a first round guy next year and get NIL money in the meantime that becomes a more attractive long term play.

He has formally requested a trade and Seattle are allowing him to explore options!!!

Spotrac have the AAV at $13.25m as well, so there might be something off there or he signed for less than reported. But on the option bonus stuff they are right, they just can't show that as counting yet because it doesn't count yet. Even though in reality we all know it will.

Nah, in reality it is more than that. It's as I predicted they'd have to do if they wanted to keep the 2025 hit down. A small pro-rated signing bonus (only $7m spread over 5 years) with another chunk - $9.1m - as an "option bonus" that triggers in 2026 and is amortized at $1.8m for the remaining 4 years of the deal and a 5th void year. If you cut him before the 2027 season there would be $4.2m of the original signing bonus left as dead cap and $7.3m of the 2026 option bonus left as dead cap. So it would be a total of $11.5m to cut him before 2027. Reducing by $3.2m per year thereafter.

And redirect money from guard to tackle possibly? Their need at left tackle is desperate. It is bigger than any single positional need the Bills have on their roster.