I love the WGR statisticians treating football like baseball... Way too many variables to accurately quantify. What's the Math on 4th and 1 in a god damned blizzard with your third string QB?
With the way the punts were sticking like a lob wedge, there was a good chance that we could pin them inside the 10 and put some pressure on them. Didn't work out that way, but I was ok with the call- in those conditions. You obviously don't punt if you know you are only going to net 15 yards.