I could sit here and poke holes in all of those teams. I'm sure two weeks ago your list would have been different and two weeks from now it will be different still.
I think everyone gets sucked into the rollercoaster driven by the media's need for daily content creation. One day such and such team is dead, a few weeks later they are an unstoppable juggernaut... Instant overreactions and hot takes to draw eyeballs and engagement.
The Bills are among a handful of true contenders. We'll see how it plays out but I'm not going to ride the rollercoaster.