BarleyNY

That’s fair, but Baker would allow them to take Marvin Harrison Jr. I would not be a fan of that either. I haven’t done much homework on the QBs this season so I can’t speak to what they’d be getting at 3. I do know that, in general, even QBs picked in the top 3 are far from a sure thing. Baker and MHJ would immediately give NE a very good chance at splitting games against the Bills (not that they didn’t with Mac Jones last season), but I get your point that if they find a true FQB it would be a bigger long term problem.

It depends on how long they want to tie themselves to him. He’s not going anywhere without guaranteed money tying him to a team for at least two years. Tagging him could be cheaper overall.

This leak could be from the Bucs and aimed at getting Winfield Jr signed to an extension due to the threat of the tag. Once he signs they can tag Baker if needed.

It’s worse than that if Baker goes to an AFCE team. He’s streaky. If he’s on, it can be a problem. Odds are he would be “on” in one of the two games we’d play him every year. I wonder if he’d go to the Steelers? The AFCN would be even more stacked. I think this is likely - and I would prefer it this way.

Agreed. I’ve thought the same regarding the early draft picks. As for Beane vs McDermott, I believe that McDermott is pulling the strings. It fits with the timing of the hired, but without knowing that for certain it’s impossible for me to assign responsibility. Lastly, I am certain that getting the new stadium deal led to some moves (Von Miller for one) and that selling PSLs and suites in the new venue will heavily influence some of the decisions made in the next few seasons.

For two years now I’ve said that the target for a roster reset of expensive vets was next off-season, give or take one season due to circumstances. It’s a matter of how those contracts are structured and how old the players are. I think the Von Miller and Tre White injuries should move it up to this off-season, but I don’t know if they will do it. I’ve no idea how warm McDermott and/or bean think their seats are - and I stress that their perceptions of this are far more important than the reality. How they proceed will tell us a lot.

All of the future years cap hit accelerate to the current season when the contract voids. All of Floyd’s remaining dead money hits in 2024. The reason for using multiple void years is to push more of the hit out to the following season.

That’s the general rule, but Tre has a roster bonus due. If the Bills decline to pay him that roster bonus, then he immediately becomes a FA. Whether or not he can pass a physical does not matter.

Some perspective on this. The Bills are middle of the pack in dead money with $12.2M. While I wouldn’t say that everything is rosy, dead money is really not a problem today. https://overthecap.com/salary-cap-space Edited to add: Dead cap numbers obviously will change in the coming weeks - and they may get bad - but if they do it won’t be because of Floyd’s contract.

The alternative would have been to not sign Floyd as well as one or two players.

They were trying to be competitive in 2023. The Bills had (and still have) a large amount of cap tied up in unproductive defenders. This - and several other contracts - were their work around to mitigate some of that. In general, it is advantageous to kick the can down the road as long as the cap rises. Every cap dollar kicked into a future year is discounted by the percentage the cap has increased. If a team staggers parting ways with high contract players, then they can structure contracts like this indefinitely. Unfortunately the Bills have a logjam of such players.

I have posted about this since before we drafted him. He is not a DE that can bend the edge. Players that can do that are the high sack guys. He can set the edge against the run and play contain against QBs. He has excellent length to shed blocks for the above. He will also get some sacks every season. He must be paired with a “bend the edge” DE to be effective. A healthy Von Miller, for example, can flush QBs to his side where he can shed his block and tackle them. His skill set fits what McDermott wants in his LDE. It’s just that it isn’t a premium skill set and we took him at the end of the first round. That’s going to make re-signing him difficult unless he really wants to be here. The Bills will probably pick up his 5th year option but that’s likely it.

Yes, they would have to account for it. It was money paid so it must hit the cap.

1 year, $7M with 3 additional void years. Salary of $1.165M plus a signing bonus of $5.835M. 2023 cap hit of $2,623,750. That’s the salary plus 1/4 of the signing bonus. 2024 dead cap of $4,376,250, which is the remaining 3/4 of the signing bonus. His contract also had incentives. I believe that he earned an additional $1M which would bring his 2024 dead dead cap up to $5,376,250.

This is a common misconception. Teams regularly structure contracts in this way, often using void years. I understand the thinking behind it. It’s unpalatable to see a large dead cap hit for a player that won’t be on the team so it’s easy to think that such a player can’t be cut. But there at times doing it is helpful. This season I think two possibilities are Poyer and Morse. Both could be restructured with void years to move some of their cap hits out a season. That would help clear some room if the Bills need to take a big hit on Miller, Diggs or White this season. As for Von Miller, if the team keeps him this season then a restructure actually makes a lot of sense. I think the plan all along has been to make him a designated June 1 cut next off-season. As it stands, I can see them moving on from him this off-season, especially if a league suspension voids his guarantees.

last season McDermott blitzed a lot more than we did under Frazier. More M2M coverage is needed if we’re going to continue to do that.

Any team with a franchise level QB that got injured had worse injury luck than the Bills. At least in terms of impact on their team’s ability to win games. Would anyone here trade getting back every injured player we had for losing Allen? I sure wouldn’t. Just in the AFC, the Jets (Rodgers), Cincy (Burrow) and Browns (Watson, Chubb, top 4 OTs, etc) all had worse luck than the Bills.

This is incorrect. several of us have covered injury settlements already, so I won’t go into it again. It doesn’t apply in this situation. Tre White has a roster bonus of $1.5M due on 3/18/24. If the Bills choose not to pay that, then he’s a FA immediately. While teams can’t waive an injured player (at least w/o the player’s approval which usually comes in the form of an injury settlement), there is no such restriction on not paying a roster bonus. This situation is why teams insist on including them in contracts. Players insist on them being as early in the offseason as possible for obvious reasons.

Most highly successful, self-made people give up most of their endeavors quickly. Their common gift is quickly determining which endeavors will be fruitful and which will be a waste of their energy, time, money and other resources.

Just curious, what is the point of this?

An injury settlement makes zero sense. Tre is a vet with a non-guaranteed roster bonus due. If the Bills decline to pay that then he’s a FA. No settlement is needed. Injury settlements are used for young players who get put on IR and want to be released so they can sign with another team and get on the field. Teams do them so they don’t have to pay the player his whole salary for the year while he sits on IR.

I think that it’s been more callers on 550, but I’ve seen a few here as well. He still has value, but more as a higher end #2 or even lower end #1 for another season or two. His salaries the next couple seasons are reasonable for that. It’s the cap hit from signing and restructuring bonuses that’s killing the Bills. That all said, he’s not getting us back a 1 or probably even a 2. It’s easy to look at the Chase Claypool trade and salivate, but that’s an outlier and his salary was negligible. A couple seasons ago Amari Cooper netted a 5th and swap of 6ths - and he was playing a lot better than Diggs is now. That was a steal though. Diggs would net something in between. A third or 4th plus is my best guess.

Agreed. It’s to a point that it’s obvious he’s undermining the team. The plan was always to move on from him next off-season, but things have changed. It’s gonna hurt if it happens, but it’s time. Additional unpopular opinion: if the Bills trade Diggs this off-season, they won’t get nearly what most fans think they will.

https://overthecap.com/calculator/buffalo-bills OTC’s calculator is a good tool to look at options for getting under the cap. While it’s not going to be fun, the Bills are going to be able to get under. They also will be able to get out from under some big contracts if they feel they need to.

No, it does not work like that. When a player is cut or traded all paid signing bonus money that has not been accounted for accelerates to the current year if pre 6/1. Post 6/1 it goes to the following year except for what is already being accounted for in the current year.