BarleyNY

The cap is not a myth, it’s just that most people do t understand how it works. Many just look at the bottom line number for next season and nothing else so their understanding is very incomplete. I think it is worth looking a little deeper into Tompsett’s work. Let’s take the $56M under point. The Bills would have 33 players under contract - 9 of whom play on the OL. Our roster would be: QB -Allen RB - Cook FB - Gilliam WR - Diggs, Shakir, Shorter TE - Knox, Kincaid, Davidson OT - Dawkins, Brown, Doyle, Van Demark, Anderson OG - McGovern, Torrence, Bates C - Morse DE - Rousseau, Miller, Jonathan DT - Oliver LB - Milano, Bernard, Williams, Spector CB - Douglas, Elam, Benford, Johnson S - Hamlin K - Bass P - LS - Ferguson There is a lot of work to be done there to field a competitive team. Even with kicking the bigger cap hits down the road on the bigger FA signings we will have to spend wisely and get at least a little lucky.

Personally I would not go so far as to say salacious…….

Me either. Good to see you, Yolo. Glad all is well with you.

Jack Duffin, a sports writer who does a lot of cap and contract analysis, put this together for Desean Watson’s contract. I would expect something similar with Allen’s:

Been thinking about this too. Pegula will do whatever he needs to do to keep interest high for the initial PSL sale.

While the Bills aren’t flush with cap space to burn they aren’t in that bad of shape either. 2024 is easily put into order. I’d start with the following: Restructure: - Allen - Diggs - Oliver Release: - White (w/post 6/1 designation) - Hardy - Poyer Per overthecap that would put the Bills $31.17M under the cap. That doesn’t include any rollover or additional moves.

I would count on White and another player being designated 6/1 cuts. That will kick some of their hits out another year. They will restructure Allen and others to create more space. It’s not great, but it is a lot more manageable than it looks at first glance.

If he violates his contract and it voids the guarantees then the Bills can get out after March 1st by designating him a 6/1 cut. We would no longer be on the hook for any of the 2024 compensation. They might even be able to suspend him for the remainder of this season, which would be another $430k. Next season he already has $10.71M guaranteed with another $6.435M guaranteeing on March 21st. He has another $255k in active roster bonuses in 2024. That adds up to quite the savings - over $17M. I’ll take it if we can get it.

Kelce moved before Phillips did. I think he was reacting to that. For the record, I do not know for sure that it was a false start as he may have still been settling into his stance. But it was at least borderline if not a false start.

You never want to see something like what is alleged happen. But it would be quite the lucky break for the Bills if they can void the rest of his guaranteed money, including the remaining salary this year and next season.

https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-ranking-the-nfls-top-12-most-valuable-quarterbacks-of-the-2023-season “3. JOSH ALLEN, BUFFALO BILLS Wins above replacement: 2.57 The primary reason why the Bills still have anyhope of success this season is that Allen is currently on pace for a career-high PFF passing grade. He has significantly reduced his turnover-worthy play rate, which now sits at 2.3%, with his previous career-best coming in at 3.2%. Josh Allen: PFF grades and passing metrics since 2018 — available with PFF Premium Stats” PFF has Allen ranked the third most valuable QB this season and with the lowest Turnover Worthy Play Rate of his career. I’ve heard them speak about that this season and they have talked about how unlucky he has been in that regard. At one point he had 12 TOW plays and 13 TOs. They compared that to CJ Stroud who at the time also had the same 12 TOW plays, but only 2 TOs. While I’m certain that there’s some bad luck involved, I think Allen is also getting baited into some predictable throws - notably the “honey hole” shot vs Cover 2. I’m not sure how much is on Allen versus his OC, but either way that’s something that he/they can clean up.

And quite frankly so what if we manage to squeak into the playoffs? We aren't going anywhere. This season was supposed to be about a lot more than just getting in.

Not one that he won’t override in critical situations so it really doesn’t matter.

One of those pesky hamstring injuries that lingers for an entire rookie season. Or until other injuries mean he’s needed. Or until the team is eliminated from the playoffs. One of those.

McDermott keeps telling us who he is. More and more fans are finally starting to believe him.

Make the playoffs and then fold to the first quality team we play, thus preserving McDermott’s tenure.

That's why it was ridiculous for the Bills to draft a QB from Wyoming 7th overall, right?

I think that this is the best we can reasonably hope for.

Did you actually read my post? That literally is the reason I said it is unlikely a realistic option. Still, if I were the owner then I’d have a good read on Brady and would have a good opinion on whether he’d be up to it. Still, it’s a very tall task. Ofc we already know exactly what will go wrong if we stick with McDermott. So there’s that.

I agree. I assumed I couldn't go back in time because if that is part of this exercize I'd have made the change a long time ago.

My only decision is whether I'd wait until the off-season to make a change at HC. I think today would be better as it would give the team a chance to win this season, but McDermott has gotten rid of every coordinator with the experience to become interim HC. If I thought that Joe Brady was up to it I'd pull the trigger now, but I doubt that is the case. So it is likely I'd have to wait until the offseason to find my new HC. I'd let him decide what to do at GM.

Lots of quality answers here already, but I have to add something more broad. Everyone talks about how the Bills could not overcome adversity last season and just ran out of gas. I've thought that was a cop out since I started hearing it. It's a nice, face saving narrative that protects McDermott by blaming circumstances. But there have been many teams that have had severe adversity. Some of those teams have folded, while others have circled the wagons and come together as a team to overcome their situations. A select few of those have won it all. We simply didn't have the leadership to do so. I don't think that this team truly believes that McDermott can get them to a championship and it shows, especially in the post season when we play true SB worthy teams. Under McDermott we have yet to beat a single team in the playoffs that is capable of winning it all. The players have known that for a long time even if Diggs is the only one that has publicly spoken up at all. Here's hoping the Pegulas get it right this offseason.

I thought it was an incomplete pass too. I’m not by any stretch defending the zebras’ overall performance today (and I’m not one to B word about bad calls), but I think they got this one right.

When we kicked the FG in OT I thought that realistically our best possible outcome was a tie. There was of course a small chance that we would get a turnover, but an Iggles FG or TD was far more likely. If they got a FG there wasn’t going to be any time left to score again, so a tie.

I think you have to judge a GM by the quality of the process at least as much as their results. Beane has certainly built a team capable of winning it all. He has no sway over the coaches or game day decisions. But it’s really a moot point. (Or a moo point if you’re a Friends fan.) Find your head coach and let them decide what they want to do at GM.