BarleyNY

The were making adjustments during the game. Their defense definitely has a better feel for the plays our offense is running than our defense has for their offensive plays.

Miami not taking a time out with 15 sec left in the half might be the difference in this game.

True

Brutal penalty for Miami.

Yeah. Not all the time, but way too much.

Maybe a catch. Bothers me that TT locked onto Watkins the whole play tho.

I assumed that's what we were talking about. Extending players you want to retain a year before their contract runs out is definitely the way to go whenever reasonable. If the Bills can get Woods at a reasonable price this offseason then I do it. If he thinks he can get starter money somewhere then I kick that can down the road.

Shady really looking not hurt there

It appears so. Edited to add: ....or maybe not.

Oh my!

Nice run by TT - especially since he didn't take a hit.

No he wasn't. He was very good, a top 25 WR in the NFL and promising, but he definitely was not dominant. I hope he becomes a dominant WR for the Bills, but he's not nearly there yet.

That's funny because what I worry about is him never managing to stay healthy long enough to ever be dominant. But I bet if he does he won't have any issues with the fans.

How he values himself matters little. How other teams value him matters a great deal. Let's face it, the reality of the situation is that a team without an average LT would be happy to have him and they'll pay him very well. The other part of that reality is finding a replacement LT should the Bills lose him. Capable or better LTs are usually first round or sometimes early/mid second round picks. Rarely are they found outside of that and even when they are those players don't generally start right away. If the Bills lose Glenn and can't replace him with another capable LT (and I don't see how they do that outside of early in the draft) we are going to see some real problems.

Don't forget Incognito. He is a FA after the season and needs to be a priority assuming a reasonable contract. Extending Gilmore would make a lot of sense and free up some cap space for next season. Glenn shouldn't break the bank and would be nice to retain, but I expect him to hit free agency. Once that happens he's likely gone as some LT needy team will overpay. The Bills probably missed their opportunity with him. Woods would be nice to extend as well. He's not a top talent but he keeps his mouth shut, works hard and (typically) can be counted on to give maximum effort and know his assignment. He's a WR you can start if you need to, but is best as a rotational guy. Teams need guys like him on the roster. If he's willing to take a contract commensurate with that, then sign him to it. Bradham is almost certainly gone. He hasn't excelled in Ryan's scheme and cap space will be tight. Some team will give him a chance and a decent payday based on last year's performance.

Absolutely. Harvin is gone and I don't think the team can count on Watkins being healthy. Even if he is they still need another quality starter. The Bills should have known better and any other team that gives him guaranteed money deserves what they get. If I'm a GM the only way I sign him is to a vet minimum contract with high incentive bonuses for being on the field and performing. Well said.

WTF? Not any good? He was runner up DROY. A risk because of injury concerns? Granted. But "not any good"? Ridiculous.

I'm really not one to call names, but whenever I hear or see "Sammy Watkins" my brain now translates that to "Fragile Sammy Watkins". He'd be a great asset to the team if he could stay healthy (obviously), but the number of injuries he's had and the manner in which they've occurred is not promising. If I'm the Bills I'm still looking to address the WR position in the offseason as Harvin won't be here and Watkins can't be counted on to be on the field. I like Woods and all, but if he's my #1 then I know I have problems.

Any reasonably sophisticated model would take things like that into consideration. But don't forget that those models give odds and report the most likely scenario. Better (and worse) scenarios can have decent chances too.

fivethirtyeight is well know for political predictions (it is unbiased and usually the most accurate) and does a lot with economics, science, etc. They've also been into modeling predictive models for different sports so I'd wager ESPN partnered with them to get their modeling expertise on the sports stuff. The Freakenomics guys do similar modeling and actually showed that Sumo wrestling was fixed in certain cases. Apparently they did the same with horse racing, but instead of making the data and conclusions public they decided it'd be better to continue to bet on the races. Which was probably a really good way to go since a bunch of people in the Sumo community wound up murdered by the Yakuza after that scandal broke.

ESPN is hemorrhaging money so you'll notice a lot of cost cutting measures there.

Thomas has quietly played through some severe injuries in his career, including last year. He's still one of the best LTs in the league and arguably the best in the game today.

Lots of good ones. I'll add Aluminum by The Bare Naked Ladies.

That last bit about wanting to be here and contribute is an odd thing to have to say about a player.

At what? It sure isn't football. A Gino led Jets team is sure a lot more beatable than a Fitzy led Jets team. That matters a great deal to a team that probably has to beat them twice to make the playoffs.