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Everything posted by BarleyNY
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Crap. Good catch on my math. I’ll run the numbers again and post the transactions. The Browns have a K under contract, DTR is likely the backup QB next season and getting a premier WR entering his prime like Aiyuk under a long term contract would be far more important than re-signing any LB - even one as outstanding as JOK. https://overthecap.com/calculator/cleveland-browns I used this calculator. Additional cap space could be made with more restructures and by adding void years. I did simple restructures though many utilized existing void years. The link resets the calculator so here is what I’ve done. Remember that the Browns have been very aggressive in restructuring almost every dollar: - Cooper trade in 2024 - Bitonio retires and is a post 6/1 cut in 2025 - Simple restructures for Watson, Garrett, Ward, Teller, Conklin, Njoku, Tomlinson, Smith, Jeudy, Okoronkwo, Thornhill and Pocic. - This yields cap space of $30.9M in 2024 and $32.8M in 2025. Plenty to sign Aiyuk, JOK and make other moves.
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Firstly, the Browns have been reported to have another on the table for over $30M AAV. I have not heard of what the trade compensation would be though. As for the cap, it is very manageable. As of now the Browns are rolling over $29.7M and are $59.8M over in 2025. That nets out to $30.1M over in 2025. The Browns will obviously use more space in 2024, but it’s very manageable as it stands. If Cooper is traded away then the only impact on the Browns cap is that they immediately acquire $1.2M in space. 2025 stays the same. Let’s use Amon St. Brown’s $30.2M AAV deal as a guide for Aiyuk. His cap hit in 2024 is $4.9M and $13.9M in 2025. That is manageable for the Browns. The Browns do want to extend JOK, but not Wills. Also as for void years, five years is the max for signing bonus proration so they’d only need one if it’s a four year deal. OTC has a cap calculator here if you want to play with how the Browns can get back under the cap.
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They are utilizing the same model as Philadelphia. They are pushing out nearly every cap dollar they can. The system is calibrated to be sustainable. The estimates I saw was that teams doing this can outspend teams with a more cash-to-cap structure by 15-18%. While this provides a cushion these teams still have to be smart about whom they pay. It’s what makes me think a Cooper plus pick for Aiyuk is something Cleveland would be in on as long as the pick compensation was reasonable.
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That’s not correct. Cooper is only under contract for this season. Beyond that, it’s likely that he’d be part of a trade as SF needs a replacement for Aiyuk this season. Cleveland will be find a with the cap. I can get into why if you’d like.
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I still have no idea why that would matter to you. Owners will maximize revenue and profit so fans pay the same regardless of what cut the players get. By the way, star players ARE the game or the UFL would be as popular as the NFL. Season tickets for UB are super cheap compared to the Bills. Go watch them and save your money.
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The boot helped me.
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Dealt with that a few years ago too. Very painful and it took two years to heal properly.
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https://www.spotrac.com/news/_/id/2418/josh-allen-is-underpaid-now-what Spotrac takes a look at Allen’s current contract and gives some predictions about what might be done with it. TL:DR - Allen is underpaid by NFL QB standards for where he ranks among them. But he still has 4 years left on his deal so it probably won’t be torn up. Most likely scenario is that the Bills adjust his current deal to bring some cash forward.
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Now would be a good time to move Douglas to Safety
BarleyNY replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
You want Douglas to change positions for one season? Based on a few Elam camp practices? Best case is that he would get the hang of it by the end of this season. SMH -
Pic from Hard Knocks: Decode the Giants 2024 Draft Board
BarleyNY replied to Big Blitz's topic in The Stadium Wall
Or possibly position change. IIRC some projected Joe Milton to move from QB to TE in the pros. -
Because it is a bullying mentality. The need to pick on a person (or organization) is tied to feelings of inadequacy and insecurity. That should not be confused with calling out a person (or organization) for foolish or morally corrupt behavior. So calling out the Browns for trading so much to acquire Desean Watson and signing him to the huge, fully guaranteed contract is certainly fair game for ridicule. OTOH mocking everything the Browns do simply because they're the Browns would reflect poorly on those doing it.
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Yep. To me the trade and contract looked like it was simply a case of an owner throwing a tantrum and demanding that he get his new, shiny toy (aka FQB). In response to a question about it Haslam has even said that he was sick of "being in QB purgatory". Barring another big off the field incident Watson will be a Brown through at least next season. That's because his guarantees would void. The earliest that they can realistically move on from him is after 2025. At that point the Browns could take the lion's share of his salary and cap hit for his last season under contract (2026) and dump him for a throwaway pick. He's obviously got this year and probably next to prove he is worth a but contract though.
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First thought on seeing the link was, “Oh boy, what did he say now?” That’s was probably the point of it though. Let’s face it - and how can I put this delicately? He likes to show off that Clemson education. Ahem. But then it was nothing but him saying he’s going to block out the noise, focus on football and try to be the best teammate he can be.
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Agreed. It’s a substantial risk for the Phins, but I don’t see a lot of other options for them. Tua fits their scheme so well (even if it was designed to fit him). This regime can’t blow it up and start over. Not with where they’re at with skill players. What other choice do they really have?
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Seems to be the case after looking at the details. Much more so than just seeing the initial numbers at least. To me it looks like a deal where they split the difference between the Daniel Jones two year guarantees and the top of market deals. Fair for both sides. He’s getting paid and is set to be a Phin for three seasons - thru 2026. But they didn’t tie themselves to him beyond that.
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Dark Horse Candidates and Surprise Cuts
BarleyNY replied to Rocky Landing's topic in The Stadium Wall
Collins is a big name and was quite a good player, so I get why you’d name him a surprise cut. But he sure seems cooked at this point. I’d be shocked if he makes the roster. -
Dark Horse Candidates and Surprise Cuts
BarleyNY replied to Rocky Landing's topic in The Stadium Wall
That’s very selective. Hollins has been in the league since 2017. Hit total receiving yards is 1,691. You reference his best season - 2022 when he had 690 yards. His second best season was 2023 when he had 251 yards. I think he will be in Buffalo as a depth piece this season. He is an athletically limited pro who can be counted on to know his responsibilities. That’s worth something. But I don’t see him making any kind of positive difference on this team. At least not on the stat sheet. Maybe in the locker room tho. Hollin’s STATS -
https://www.spotrac.com/news/_/id/2414/breaking-down-tua-tagovailoas-2124m-extension Excellent breakdown of Tua’s contract in this above link. Worth the read. Here’s a snippet: THE EXTENSION TERMS Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins came to terms on a 4 year, $212.4M extension yesterday that keeps the QB under contract through the 2028 season. It easily surpasses Tyreek Hill’s $120M contract as the largest total value deal in Dolphins’ history, while the $212.4M figure ranks 11th among active NFL contracts. The $53.1M contract average is the 2nd largest figure in NFL history, but Tua now ranks 4th in AAV behind Burrow, Lawrence, and Love - all who clock in at $55M. Against the current $255.4M league salary cap, Tua’s AAV represents 20.79%, which ranks 12th in the league (behind Lawrence, ahead of Goff).
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Owners are going to maximize their revenues regardless of what percentage goes to the players. The salary cap is literally a percentage of league revenue - 48.8% IIRC. The fans would pay the same prices if that was 40% or 55% - or even 25%. But the beauty of the system is that it self corrects. if it’s so expensive that it turns fans like you off, then you won't spend your money on the NFL and its sponsors and they’ll take in less revenue. If enough people do that, it’ll have an impact. Obviously we haven’t seen that yet.
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Except Geno’s teams usually have more talent than almost every team they play. While most NFL WRs can play more than one position, their success depends (in part) on their abilities. You need look no further than Gabe Davis running quick outs to see how poorly it can go when a WR is asked to do something they don’t have the talent to do well. That all said, there’s nothing wrong with Brady’s comments. See what your guys can do and mix it up as you can. And keep the league guessing as to what you’re doing as much as possible.
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It’s worth noting that Rodgers has to play 8 regular season home games on that same turf. I don’t wish injury on him, but if I were to pick a betting side……..
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FIFY