BarleyNY

Question on the charts (thanks for posting them btw). Green is a completion, White is incomplete and red is an interception, but what do the blue streaks mean?

Good for Allen. I am a bit surprised because I expected Jackson to get it after that game against Houston. Similar overall numbers (so it was deserved), but I didn’t expect Buffalo/Allen to get love from the national media over Baltimore/Jackson.

I agree on running Josh more. It’s a necessary risk to achieve team success. Agree on him needing to work on his play fake as well as ball security though.

Austin Pasztor has started in this league. I remember him with the Browns. He isn’t good or anything, but he does have some experience.

I am sure they’ll be chipping with RBs and TEs all day

Gotta disagree with the Miami defense characterization. Using DVOA, Miami has the 32nd ranked pass defense, doing a whopping 42.3% worse job than what would be expected from the league average pass defense this season. They’re also ranked 32nd overall and 29th against the rush. We beat a bad team with a putrid pass defense and Allen help us win that game. That’s what was supposed to happen. Good. But that game isn’t going to define Allen. Let’s see what he’s got this week. I’m sure there will be plenty to argue about regardless of the outcome. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef/2019

He sure does. He could get away with that if he was a fast third down back, but it’ll be a real problem for him as a bigger, slower (relatively) power back in the NFL. He won’t have an OL that’s blowing huge holes open for him in the NFL either. He is patient and shows nice balance and change of direction so he has a place in the NFL, but it’ll be as a rotational RB. He’ll be available later on day 3 unless a team reaches.

Allen did a very nice job today. Anyone who isn’t yet sold on him isn’t going to be swayed by a win over a terrible Miami team though. But they should acknowledge that he did what he needed to do to get the win today. That’s not nothing. Now let’s all (believers and non-believers Alike) hope he keeps it up. If he does, then he’ll change some minds.

Solid effort and nice win. We really needed this one. Now we gotta keep rolling as the opponents get tougher.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/we-thought-nfl-kickers-would-keep-getting-better-but-this-year-theyre-struggling/ “For decades, NFL placekickers have been on a seemingly never-ending quest for perfection. Conversion rates increased relentlessly each year like numbers on the National Debt Clock. But a funny thing happened on the road to forever. The field-goal success rate this season is at its lowest level since 2003. And the decline of 4.2 percentage points to 80.5 percent from 2018 to 2019 is the greatest year-to-year drop in efficiency since that from 1975 to 1976, dinosaur days when square-toed kickers still roamed.”

You might enjoy this analysis https://www.google.com/amp/s/fivethirtyeight.com/features/for-a-passing-league-the-nfl-still-doesnt-pass-enough/amp/

I think those are two very different situations. One player is pissed because he sees the fine he got as excessive even though he acted in a way that he knew could lead to said fine. Whatevs. The other guy had his team (the Jest) falsify his medical documents in order to trick him into getting back on the field despite the fact that doing so would jeopardize his health and career. You can see the pull the NFL has with the media. That should’ve been a major story.

Yup. Honestly it’s smart to see who he is right now. Not so much to sign him, but to scout him. He could wind up somewhere and get in a game. Does anyone think BB wouldn’t want to know who’s lining up against him? Do your due diligence.

Draft picks have a lot to do with the salary cap. It’s idiotic to look at something like the salary cap in a vacuum, but you are welcome to do that if you want. It’s meaningless in that context, but knock yourself out. Meanwhile I’m here for reasonable discussions for those who are interested.

That’s weak af. Seriously this has gone off the rails. Those picks would be used on players that would be on 3 rookie deals and could replace veterans making veteran salaries. There’s actually a calculation for what picks are worth in cap dollars. Or maybe we could just consider the extra wins three more quality players could lead us to. Wow.

I am done here. This is just too dumb to even respond to and I only got halfway through it. Have a good night.

Absolutely not. Not ever. I have no desire to ever see the Bills win a Super Bowl.

Round 4, pick 105. Not really a high pick. The guy is an idiot, but that was a reasonable shot at a player with 1st round talent. Maybe the Bengals or Raiders will give him a shot.

Wow, there are some massive reaches in that post. It’s embarrassingly weak. I stopped taking your post seriously after you wrote that using picks 12, 53 & 56 wasn’t a huge investment. I didn’t bring up Jackson, but discounting whether he’d be successful or not here based on assuming that we wouldn’t tailor the offense to him is pathetic. And then you immediately discounted Rosen here. He looks like a total bust, but he’s been on the two worst teams of each of the last two years. Why isn’t that due to HIS situation? Why wouldn’t this have been a better situation for him? Again, for maybe the fourth or fifth time, Tyrod wasn’t the only other choice. I didn’t want to keep him around for $16M when the Browns were offering up the 65th pick. What about players like Kirk Cousins or even Case Keenum? Both were free agents and both have outplayed Allen by a wide margin. Cousins has been very, very good and Keenum has been decent.

Again, I’m not saying we should’ve stuck with Tyrod. My main point is that we spent picks 12, 53 & 56 on Allen (in addition to the $21M for 4 years). That is a huge investment and to ignore it and only look at salary is irresponsible (or intentionally misleading).

Thank you. Tyrod was significantly better than Allen during his time here (passer rating, QBR, DYAR) and I would not argue that he was good enough.

The Bills paid picks 12, 53 and 56 for Allen. Plus a fully guaranteed $21M contract over 4 years. That’s a lot. I am absolutely not saying that Tyrod should’ve been the answer, but don’t act like Allen didn’t cost a lot.

Oh, then you don’t mean dead money. I think you mean that players would be paid half of the remaining contract. Wow. I don’t see teams or players going for that. Teams wouldn’t want to be on the hook for more money to players no longer on their team and players would not want money that could go to current players being siphoned off to those that are out of the league.

You don’t understand what dead money is. It’s any money that’s already been paid, but hasn’t yet hit the cap (usually from prorated signing bonuses) plus any unpaid guaranteed money. I like an 18 week season with two byes. That’d probably help with keeping Thursday night games. Also I agree that a PF should override a non PF penalty. That’s about all I agree with. You're hosing the players pretty bad in general and effectively eliminating divisions. Some of what you mention isn’t even part of the CBA.

Miami isn’t talented, but they play hard and disciplined so a lot depends on which Fitz shows up. The Bills still should win, but Fitzmagic would make it very interesting. If Shitzpatrick takes the field, then I’d expect a blowout Bills win.