BarleyNY

I wish I could give you a good answer. I have done zero film study on those players. I’ve just been reading draft reports on some of them.

Edge is definitely a need that we should address. Murphy is a FA after this season and Hughes has two seasons left on his deal. Time to start getting the next wave of DEs in the door. I see is a slew of players that could be taken in the second or (more likely) third round that can be good DEs. If I’m Beane I’m coming away with a developmental starting DE with upside in this draft.

Not a fit for the Bills but I’m interested in seeing how this plays out. I’m guessing he gets moved for a third or a third and a sixth or something like that. How far he comes off his contract demands is the other thing. He is still of the best LTs in the league and should have a few really good seasons left. I hear that Washington is getting antsy about moving him which means they want it done before the draft. That’s probably smart. Cleveland is landing spot #1 for him and they’ll be taking an OT in round 1 if Williams isn’t already on their roster. I’m sure other suitors are in that boat too. I’m not sure what his final deal looks like or how exaggerated his demands are. I can certainly see his agent floating a high number not only as a negotiation tactic, but also to limit options of trade partners to teams he wants to go to. I think a contract around 3 years, $45M-$48M with a lot of cash up front is where this will land.

I’d like to see the Bills take a quality TE in the draft. There’s not a lot of good prospects this year though. From what I have been reading Trautman from Dayton is the best, most complete in-line prospect though he’ll need some development. He actually looks a lot like Knox on paper. If we’re wanting more of a flex TE somebody like Hunter Bryant in the 3rd would be a good pickup.

Those are great! Thanks for sharing.

I agree. I was more interested in whether BOB could be fired “with cause” for trading Watson. That would mean he wouldn’t get paid through 2022 like he would if he was fired in the usual manner. So sorry, man! I hate to do that to ya.

I’ve been digging a bit. Most teams have a GM or HC who has a contract provision giving them roster control and I do not believe that can have exceptions, even for a QB.* But here’s the kicker, BOB didn’t have that provision when he became HC in Houston. The GM did. BOB was given control of personnel after the GM was fired, but that doesn’t mean he had his contract amended. So I guess my answer is that without seeing his contract we don’t know. * Again, that doesn’t mean that it wouldn’t get someone fired.

Technically the person who has contractually been given control of the roster has the authority to do as they please. Some teams don’t have anyone with that. Dallas, for instance, where Jerruh is the GM. I’m sure there are others. The big caveat is that in the vast majority of cases the person with roster control is expected to consult with ownership before major or controversial moves. Big trades of important players and/or picks are sure on that list. Adding a player with DV incidents is another example. But that’s on a team by team basis. Every team would have its own rules. Trading away the starting QB and face of the franchise would have to be cleared by ownership in basically every case if it’s not something that the GM contractually has to do. Otherwise that GM would be treading into some seriously dangerous territory. I’m not sure what constitutes firing an NFL coach with just cause (so the contract can be terminated rather than paid out), but an owner might be looking to see if something the HC did qualifies if he’s pulling crap like that without approval.

The Texans are just BOB, BOB, BOBbing along.

The other article I read, but haven’t found again broke down the first round further. Later first round picks were less likely to pan out than earlier picks (as you’d expect). overall hit rates in both articles showed about a 50% success rate. However when they further broke down how successful it found that it was 20% high quality/elite, 30% good/very good and 50% poor. That alone makes trading for Diggs a no brainer. Then take everything else into account - time to develop is a big one (as you mention) and it just becomes more so. Even in a great draft for WRs being locked into that singular position hurts our odds. Having 31 other teams know we had to go WR at 22 would’ve necessitated a draft day move up. Teams behind us who wanted our likely target(s) would’ve moved ahead of us for their preferred player(s).

Or maybe someone is just having some fun and seeing who bites

https://www.google.com/amp/s/overthecap.com/multiple-first-round-pick-for-player-trades/amp/ Here is an article from OverTheCap that talks about these kinds of trades. They end their analysis on players traded for two first round picks, but the explanation works for players traded for one as well. I was looking for a different article, but this one touches on most of the same stuff.

Casual fans overvalue draft picks, especially first rounders. In fact, most NFL teams overvalue first round picks. I was stumping for this sort of move before this went down and am very happy it did. If Diggs is a good camper, then we got a good deal. He sure has the talent to make this trade a no brainer for the Bills. Happy there are competent grown ups in charge.

Technicality here. Not that it’s a big concern with Allen or would change my mind (either way), but fifth year options are guaranteed for injury only.

Yup. Incidentally those figures do not include the contracts for Taiwan Jones, Dean Marlowe and Tyler Matakevich.

DiMarco is 31, plays FB and is in the last year of his contract. It’s not a stretch to imagine that convo: We’d love to keep you, but we can’t at your current salary. Let’s look at the numbers and see what we can work out.

Not in this case. It’s only $450k which is minimal to our available cap space. They Bills just asked him to take a straight cut in pay. He’s a FB so that makes some sense. They probably guaranteed the lower salary as part of the deal.

In this case it’s a euphemism for a pay cut.

Sure, but he only started 2 seasons. This is what he became in his second season as a starter.

Wow. Do Burrow and Tebow look remotely like the same kind of player to you? It’s not a litmus test, it’s a box that gets checked or not. Burrow checks that one. And just to clarify what that box is, it’s not the championship. It’s how he reacted to being on the biggest possible stage. At, what? 22 or 23 years old.

5, 18 & 26. Yeah. I do that if I’m the Phins. It doesn’t matter what else they need or get if they don’t have their QB. Get the best one. Burrow is by far the best QB prospect in this draft. He’s very accurate and he’s seasoned. He had ice water in his veins in the college playoffs and was the difference in the championship game.

Effectively next season. They did it as a 10 year extension to the agreement expiring after this season, but did tweak some rules for 2020. The extra playoff team and game in each conference, for example. But the money will take a jump next season (2021) due to the new revenue split kicking in. Then there should be another really big jump for 2023 because the big broadcasting deals expire after 2022.

I was wondering about that. I certainly can see why he’d want to do it under the new CBA.

The Jags are playing this right. They screwed up a lot, but at this point it’s their best option. They’ve got 3 months to let it play out. No sense rushing it while Clowney and others are on the market. Let that clean up and then the remaining teams with a need at DE will know he’s all that’s left. Or they make him play the year out.

I have heard that the Bills have spoken with Higgins and that he hasn’t gotten the kinds of offers he was hoping for. No surprise this offseason. Tons of cheap WR talent to be had in the draft so no need to pay second and third tier FA WRs much. Higgins would be a good pick up at a reasonable price. Perriman too, but I’d think he’d cost more.