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BarleyNY

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Everything posted by BarleyNY

  1. I appreciate that. Thanks. And I certainly enjoy you and other posters who like to do this sort of thing.
  2. Punters impact field position, which isn’t difficult to translate to EPA/p.
  3. Spotrac now has details: $1.035M salary (non-guaranteed) $75k roster bonus to be paid on 3/18 $25k work out bonus Still some dead money from his signing bonus to account for - $700k total, spread out over this year and next.
  4. Over the years it’s really been a group effort.
  5. Last season they were top 5 across the board from what I’ve seen. The team isn’t perfect, but I think that legit. Also ELO is another good metric. Here are some links: https://www.nfeloapp.com/nfl-power-ratings https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2021-nfl-predictions/ Explanation of EPA: https://www.thescore.com/nfl/news/2193857/amp I think the most important part of using any statistic or metric is to understand its limitations. People rip on PFF a lot, but their grades are useful in context. They are grading players on how well they execute their assigned duties within their scheme. That’s much different than asking how much a player is capable of. Players like Kirk Cousins (6th) and Allen (3rd) were not really that close as QBs last season. Cousins operated well in a limited role within a scheme that asked him to be efficient - and he was. But compared to what the Bills asked of Allen and his outsized role in his offense, there’s no real comparison.
  6. A well determined EPA/play statistic is pro the best option. The nature of that metric has positional weighting built in. DVOA is another good metric.
  7. Safety net. They’ll bring in another punter. Teams always do.
  8. I was wondering if there were any guarantees written into this. $1.035M is the vet minimum for 4-6 accrued seasons. If I had to guess - and it’s just a guess - is that no more than $100k is guaranteed. And guarantees could be as low as nothing. The team is just bringing him in to compete at a reduced salary. His salary can’t be lower than $1.035M. The roster bonus had to be reduced to $100k or less.
  9. Probably no one. They are just playing it out to see if a bad team where FAs don’t want to play (unless it’s for way over MV) steps up.
  10. You gotta take emotion out of the equation at times like this. WRs at the bottom of the depth chart have to be good returners or have potential for upside. You can give guys a chance, but you turn them over when they don’t pan out.
  11. Now, that’s funny Ah. The public vote of confidence. Always a great sign.
  12. They’re probably using him wrong and they don’t have a good enough DL in front of him. Also he MADE A PRO BOWL (second team All Pro!) and is still really young for a player drafted in 2016. He is basically still a rookie.
  13. The minimum for a vet with four accrued years is $1.035M. I expect that to be his contract. I do not believe that he is eligible for a VSB cap credit because he wasn’t with us for those four years. If his contract is a lot bigger than that, then that’s a different story.
  14. You are making the exact unfounded assumption I was referring to. Kumerow made the most he ever had for a season in 2021. He made $920k. I expect he won’t be making much more this season IF he even makes the team. I also expect zero (or very close to zero) guaranteed money. If that’s incorrect and his pay jumps to triple last year’s salary, then we can all complain. But there’s no reason to think that will be the case.
  15. Lotta people getting worked up without seeing contract specifics. Probably a very modest contract with little or no guaranteed money.
  16. I’m honestly not sure what you’re saying. DE depth “was not a problem”? Last year? Or this year prior to any signings? Because we have 3 Edge player that have any value at all under contract for 2022 right now: Rousseau, Epenesa and Basham. That’s it, unless you’re counting free agents or players that we already know won’t make our 53 (Bryan Cox & Mike Love). I don’t know about you, but that group is extremely underwhelming to me and I see almost no depth as Basham is still a big question mark.
  17. Absolutely. But a lot of DEs can set the edge but can’t get to the QB. The edge setting kind is about all the Bills have right now anyway.
  18. I heard from a knowledgeable source that Washington and Philly both offered more than the Broncos. Wilson would not waive his No Trade Clause for them. He wanted to go to Denver so Seattle got what they could from them.
  19. Something to consider for all of the “we need run stoppers on first and second down” folks: https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/passing-first-down-pct Only two teams in the league ran more than they passed on first down last season. Stopping the run when you need to do that is important (obviously). Cheap depth guys like Lawson are a good way to address that. I’m not enthusiastic about using first round picks or spending large on players who primarily do that however.
  20. I don’t think a signing like Lawson points to anything other than that the Bills are addressing DE depth. 13 seasons and over $79M in earnings. If he plays another year for $3M or so it will be because he wants a ring and/or still loves playing. At some point it becomes about how your body is holding up and how far you want to push that though. He will be 34 for next season.
  21. Lotta fans take too much of an extreme view of the cap - either we can sign whomever we want or we can only dumpster dive. Neither is true. The Bills are at the point where they have to make decisions that involve real trade offs. It’s the point where you see what kind of GM and organization you really have.
  22. Yup. Pulled pork sandwiches topped with bbq sauce, coleslaw and pickles is a staple for large summer gatherings. I feel like I have that one pretty dialed in. I’m not a sauerkraut fan so I like it on Reubens too
  23. I do love a good coleslaw. Not the super vinegary ones, but creamy ones with a tangy vinegar kick. And some fresh dill.
  24. Well, the Rams left after 1945. The Browns did win 4 AAFC championships from 1946-1949 and 4 NFL championships in 1950, 1954, 1955 and 1964. So they had a pretty good run immediately after the Rams left. It’s since then that has been the issue.
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