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Everything posted by fergie's ire
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Final point differential rankings
fergie's ire replied to Giuseppe Tognarelli's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Some stats people are in love with point differential because it is predictive in other sports. In baseball, for example, if you look at a team at the all star break that is leading a division, but has a bad point differential, they'll probably fade. (There was an exception in recent years...don't remember who...but you can usually tell what teams are frauds.) The problem is that football just doesn't have a large enough sample size and most games are close. Therefore, one blowout can really skew it. It's pretty much meaningless in the NFL. -
Hail Murray a blessing in disguise?
fergie's ire replied to The Red King's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Agreed. I remember Josh saying as much after the game...that they had to learn to stop letting teams back in the game. Plus, it's always a good idea to lose against NFC teams because it helps with the tiebreaker. -
Round 1 Playoff: Colts at Bills - Sat. 1/9 1:05pm
fergie's ire replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I watched a good bit of the game when they beat Green Bay and MVP Aaron Rodgers and thought, "Wow, this team is coming together and is one of the best in the AFC." Then they went out and lost by 20 to Tenn., so I don't know what to make of them. -
If Buffalo wins in the playoffs, it won't matter. That said, I hope he plays more than most people think he will. I think a young team like this needs to learn how to dominate and they aren't there yet. Yes, it would stink if Allen or Diggs were hurt in this game, but I just don't think you can think that way.
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Yes, they DO pull ratings. I think last year they set some kind of record for viewership on Thanksgiving...and pulled big numbers for a night game. The problem is that they are not perceived to be a ratings draw. The networks don't think people will watch (despite the evidence). Now, maybe that has changed with the recent games...and with the Bills hot offense. We will see. But yes, it is based on draw. I remember one year they played a game in NE at night when there was a team further west and much further south (don't remember who, at this point) that would have made more sense as a night game...but they wanted NE in primetime.
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Bojorquez has 37 punts. 2.5 punts per game are needed to qualify for rankings. Therefore, if he has 2 or fewer points, he does not qualify. I know it is not a good reason to risk players being injured....but am I the only one who thinks it would be really cool to have a punter play the entire year and still not qualify?
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Yes, it is difficult or even impossible to teach accuracy, but Allen has never been inaccurate. Calling him inaccurate because of a low completion percentage is the kind of analysis (or lack thereof) that drives some of us crazy. Being inaccurate means that you can't hit a small target. Usually it means a mechanical problem needed to make the throw that leads to the inaccuracy. Tim Tebow is a good example. He needed a big windup to get the kind of velocity on the ball he needed, so it was not accurate. That doesn't mean he would completely miss his target and hit the hospitality tent. It just means that he can't fit the ball into small windows. It's not a problem in college when the game is slower and players tend to get wide open. But Josh has always had that really smooth quick throwing motion. He came out in a great QB class and when they asked quarterbacks in that class to do things like hit the crossbar from the 30 yard line or hit a swinging tire, Josh was the only who could hit those targets. Not only was he accurate, but he was the MOST accurate. His problem was he would mess up his footwork and so not be in a good position to throw...so he would be accurate when he got his feet right, but sometimes completely miss his target because his feet weren't right....so inconsistent accuracy, not inaccurate. There is an important difference. His biggest problem leading to low completion percentage though, was reading defenses and decision making...not knowing where to go with the ball. And those things can be taught. Sorry for the longish rant about things we have heard before...but it just drives me crazy when I hear this. (Not from you, Klos, but from analysts whose job is to cover football and who should do more homework than looking at a completion percentage.) Hopefully, we will be hearing less of this from the Terry Bradshaws of the world going forward.
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Stefon Diggs named AFC Offensive Player of the Week
fergie's ire replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
So, the Bills have played 15 games and had Offensive player of the week 5 times? That's a pretty good ratio. -
On #2, think that what you see is that on the first play Diggs WAS wide open so Josh knows that this is a situation where he can throw with bad footwork. He has room for error. The second was different. The reason it is hard for a quarterback to throw when running to the left is because the throwing arm is downfield. It's hard to get in proper position. On this throw, Josh pivots in one smooth motion...as you mentioned, he barely stops...but he puts himself in perfect throwing position. It was really a thing of footwork beauty.
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Big Ben to the Bench! #2 Seed is ours!
fergie's ire replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
There's no WAY a Steelers team could win the last game of the season against a team trying to make it into the playoffs. Doing something like that would be Bills-y...but maybe now Browns-y. -
When I saw the 50 yard touchdown to Diggs, I thought of training camp when Diggs yelled at Josh to lead him....and the two did the play again until they got it right....and there it was. The receiver was trailing Diggs, Allen hit him in stride and he was gone....just like they practiced it in the summer.
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Week 16 Postgame Thread Bills @ Pats*
fergie's ire replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
They pretty much did. -
Week 16 Bills @ Patriots* PreGame Thread MNF
fergie's ire replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Hmmmm, that is odd then. -
Week 16 Bills @ Patriots* PreGame Thread MNF
fergie's ire replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Could we be protecting him from being signed by someone else....say the Football Team? With Covid protocols, don't know that he would be able to play this weekend....but they need to be looking for solutions. -
Week 16 NFL Power Rankings
fergie's ire replied to machine gun kelly's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Did you know that Marv Levy went to Coe College, too? -
Bills take over #2 seed with Pittsburgh loss
fergie's ire replied to Yav's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Right now, I expect them to lose the division to Cleveland. The way the Colts and Browns are playing, in contrast to how the Steelers are playing, would mean that the Steelers lose out and Browns win out and take the division. As for us playing Pittsburgh? Assuming we lose to the Dolphins (and given this scenario, I expect us to have the 2 seed wrapped up), then we would play the 7 seed. Dolphins, Steelers, and Ravens would be tied for the 6th spot. Steelers and Dolphins would have identical conference records...and better than the Ravens...so not sure how it shakes out at that point. Steelers would be in and I think Dolphins would be in...but who gets the 6th and who the 7th? Not sure. -
I can't matriculate through my morning without it.